Posted on 05/29/2014 10:20:13 AM PDT by Mikey_1962
Republican challenger Tom Cotton still holds a narrow lead over incumbent Democrat Mark Pryor in Arkansas’ U.S. Senate race.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide survey of Likely Arkansas Voters finds Cotton, a U.S. congressman, with 47% support to Pryor’s 43%. Four percent (4%) like some other candidate in the race, while six percent (6%) remain undecided.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Arkansas was conducted on February 4-5, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
By my count I have the R pick ups as:
West Virginia South Dakota Montana Arkansas Louisiana North Carolina
With Alaska and Colorado as 50/50
Pryor at 43% is a very bad sign for Democrats. An incumbent who is well liked and has almost universal name recognition and is below 50%. That’s a pretty clear foreshadow of a very long and disappointing election night for him.
What’s your count for R losses in the Senate?
Post the end results as IMO polls are opinions and like noses and some other body parts, everybody has one.
Really ,if I were Democrat, I would be so ashamed. Harry Reid? Pelosi? failed obamacare? Beegahzi!! IRS? the VA disaster? All their pathetic fault.The only reason to vote Democrat is the get free stuff from other people who work.
I knew the Marist and NY times polls were bogus.
GA is possible.
Nice to see an accurate poll on this race for a change.
But Cotton hates old people. A Pryor ad says so. Cotton wanted to raise the retirement and medicare ages to 70, but Pryor introduced a bill [didn’t say whether it passed] to save social security and medicare.
Another Pryor ad says Cotton took money from big corporate interests. [Not sure what that means. Salary? Donations? Where is Pryor getting his money for reelection?]
I think this one will go down to the wire.
Of course you need to be careful with polls, especially the public ones. But they are one indicator among many that bear watching. What is more telling is to observe the changing behavior of the parties and their campaigns. They pay big money for private polls that we never see and they have a pretty good idea of what the result is going to be, at least within a couple of weeks of election day.
The governor’s race could also be close. Mike Ross (D) seems to be slightly ahead of Asa Hutchinson (R). Both are former state Reps.
That's the only thing required to get the Democrats dangerously close to a permanent majority in any national election. Fraud and corruption will usually be enough to close the gap and get them over the top.
The poll was conducted Feb 4-5? Its now June, almost.
Poll from the 1st week in Feb. Election in Nov.
I’d guess things have and will changed.
I don’t think we will lose any “R” in the Senate. However, I believe we will lose quite a few in the Governorships. With 29 Governorships, it was bound to happen. The most vulnerable are FL, PA, and GA.
I think Rassmussen screwed up the news release. At this link they give the questions
for a May 27-28 survey which is what they are reporting.
I think you’re right
Rumors of Pryor’s undeath were apparently greatly exaggerated
“Quite a few”, as in three ?
The GOP stands to gain several as well, where they tie or are leading in: AR, CO, CT, HI, IL, RI (and potentially competitive in MA, MN, NY, OR).
At present, I think the GOP may lose just 1 (in PA) with a sitting incumbent (although Corbett still has time to turn it around, especially in an anti-Dem year, as even the weakest Dem sisters did in 2006).
FL, Scott and Crist are effectively tied. I think Crist has enough baggage that Scott will pull it off.
GA, polling is crazy. I cannot see Jimmuh Carter’s grandson winning over a GOP incumbent. Dem candidates tend to max out at around 45% or so there, and that probably will be what he ends up getting.
The problem is the date of the poll... it’s 4 months out of date. That’s a lifetime in politics.
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