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Cantor's Loss Puts Establishment GOP Meme To Rest
talkingpointsmemo.com ^ | 6/11/14 | Ed Kilgore

Posted on 06/11/2014 5:15:25 AM PDT by cotton1706

For the first post-primary Wednesday this year, I’m not having to poke holes in the pre-ordained MSM narrative for this campaign cycle, The Year of the Republican Establishment, wherein the Great Big Adults of the GOP were supposed to put down the unruly Tea Folk and position their “pragmatic” party perfectly for smashing victories in 2014 and maybe 2016 as well. I’d say the Republican voters of the 7th congressional district of Virginia put that meme to rest for the immediate future.

Yes, in case you weren’t anywhere close to political news outlets (or Twitter, which exploded) last night, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, poised to inherit John Boehner’s gavel any old day now, and usually thought to be safely to Boehner’s right, was denied renomination by the Republicans of his district. By a 56-44 landslide. To a “nobody” that he outspent at least 20-1.

So now Randolph-Macon College economics professor David Brat is the GOP nominee for Congress in the 7th District, and unless Cantor chooses to roll the dice on a general election write-in campaign (which would, of course, kill his leadership career even if he won, and might even throw this strongly red district to a Democrat), he’s history. And speaking of history, there’s no recent precedent for a House or Senate Majority Leader’s deposition in a primary. The closest analog is Newt Gingrich’s (then serving as the number two Republican in the House) near-death experience in a 1992 primary immediately after a redistricting force him to move into unfamiliar territory. Two years later, Newt stood astride Washington like a colossus. Cantor can only imagine what might have been.

(Excerpt) Read more at talkingpointsmemo.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections
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To: Liz

“An avalanche of 18,000 more Va Repub voters turned out this year than last time.”

RATS chose their candidate before the primary, a bunch of those may be crossover rat voters.


21 posted on 06/11/2014 6:02:15 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Unions are an Affirmative Action program for Slackers! .)
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To: Liz

Yes! I am disappointed not to see more photos of Cantor and others looking confused and down...I want to GLOAT, dammit!


22 posted on 06/11/2014 6:04:11 AM PDT by ArtDodger
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To: Liz

Cantor lost, fair and square.

Cantor is one of the US Chamber of Commerce’s star Amnesty Whores that has become a lame, (but still very dangerous), duck, and there are many, Many more Amnesty Whores to go.

It is time, - - - - time for a change.


23 posted on 06/11/2014 6:15:46 AM PDT by Graewoulf (Democrats' Obamacare Socialist Health Insur. Tax violates U.S. Constitution AND Anti-Trust Law.)
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To: Liz

He’ll just move into another district that’s more in line with his ideology and then he’ll run again. When then Faux conservative congressman Jay Inslee(D) was defeated in 94 for the WA 4th district (eastern Washington) he moved to liberal Bainbridge Island and was elected back to congress from there. Of course he didn’t have to pretend to be conservative and was free to express his ultra liberal views. He could have stayed there forever until he decided to run for governor. Now were stuck with him and his global clan are change BS that he spews every waking moment.


24 posted on 06/11/2014 6:17:02 AM PDT by shotgun
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To: shotgun

Mmmmm......but Cantor’s got a monkey on his back no matter where he goes......the Tea Party.


25 posted on 06/11/2014 6:28:55 AM PDT by Liz
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To: All
Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif) heralded the Cantor loss: “The tea party
defeated Republican leader Eric Cantor, who is one of the most
extreme members of Congress.”

"Eric, I'm glad you came to the amnesty strategy meeting w/ Nancy and me."

26 posted on 06/11/2014 6:31:06 AM PDT by Liz
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To: Beagle8U
Musta been Dummycrat crossovers there.....my thoughts exactly
27 posted on 06/11/2014 6:34:30 AM PDT by Liz
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To: cotton1706

At some point he drank the Obama kool-aid, so I’m glad he’s gone. But now will the district flip for the Dems?


28 posted on 06/11/2014 6:37:59 AM PDT by 12th_Monkey (One man one vote is a big fail, when the "one" man is an idiot.)
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To: cotton1706

Goober used the McCain strategy of going right for the primary but revealing his true colors in the general election campaign. Unfortunately, people bought it, as they did with McCain.


29 posted on 06/11/2014 6:39:05 AM PDT by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: Beagle8U; Liz
RATS chose their candidate before the primary, a bunch of those may be crossover rat voters.

The Dems don't have a candidate. Brat will be opposed by a Green and a Libertarian in the general.

Consequently, there was no benefit to them turning out to vote for Brat.

30 posted on 06/11/2014 6:43:50 AM PDT by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: Ignorance on parade.)
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To: 12th_Monkey

No - it’s a very strong R district.


31 posted on 06/11/2014 6:43:59 AM PDT by Principled (Obama: Unblemished by success.)
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To: okie01

“The Dems don’t have a candidate.”

The Dems HAVE a candidate, a demonrat one!

They didn’t need to list his name on the primary ballot because the Dem party gave him their nomination in advance of the primary!


32 posted on 06/11/2014 7:17:26 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Unions are an Affirmative Action program for Slackers! .)
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To: ArtDodger
I want to see photos of Cantor looking confused and down...I want to GLOAT, dammit!


33 posted on 06/11/2014 7:18:45 AM PDT by Liz
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To: Liz
His arrogant "we got it made" attitude---so dismissive of tea partiers---proved to be his undoing. His rudeness to callers was a sign of his contempt----in his mind he was "untouchable."

Good call Liz - you've got it...

34 posted on 06/11/2014 7:19:42 AM PDT by GOPJ (#2 reply spot RESERVED for Tokyo Rose comments: "nothing works - give up - it's all hopeless".)
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To: okie01

“Because the district is so reliably Republican and Cantor being so powerful, the democrats did not even field a candidate: until Monday this week. His name is Jack Trammel, a professor from the same obscure liberal arts college a few miles off interstate 95.”

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/06/11/1306086/-The-Coup-D-Etat-in-Virginia-s-7th-District#

He is their Dem candidate, the party gave him their nomination.


35 posted on 06/11/2014 7:25:56 AM PDT by Beagle8U (Unions are an Affirmative Action program for Slackers! .)
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To: okie01; Beagle8U
(Musta been Dummy crossover votes for Brat......)

EDITED--Eric Cantor's Pollster Tries to Explain Why His Survey Showed Cantor Up 34 Points.
Ntl Journal By Shane Goldmacher, June 11, 2014

Less than a week before voters dumped the House majority leader, an internal poll for Cantor's campaign, trumpeted to the Washington Post, showed Cantor cruising to a 34-point victory in his primary. Instead, Cantor got crushed, losing by 10 percentage points. How did Cantor's pollster, veteran Republican survey-taker John McLaughlin, get the historic race so terribly wrong?

In an email to National Journal, McLaughlin, whose firm has been paid nearly $75,000 by Cantor's campaign since 2013, offered several explanations: unexpectedly high turnout, last-minute Democratic meddling, and stinging late attacks on amnesty and immigration. "Primary turnout was 45,000 2 years ago," McLaughlin wrote. "This time 65,000. This was an almost 50% increase in turnout."

Translation: McLaughlin's estimate of who was a "likely Republican" voter was way, way off the mark. But Cantor's total number of votes still shrunk, even as the total number of primary voters went up dramatically in 2014. He secured 37,369 primary votes in 2012 and less than 29,000 this year, with 100 percent of precincts reporting.

Meanwhile, McLaughin wrote that "attacks on immigration and amnesty charges from the right in last week hurt." Then McLaughlin cited the "Cooter" factor – the fact that former Rep. Ben Jones, a Georgia Democrat who played Cooter in The Dukes of Hazzard, had written an open letter urging Democrats to vote for Brat to help beat Cantor.

"Over the weekend Democrats like Ben Jones and liberal media were driving their Democratic voters on the internet into the open primary," McLaughlin wrote. "Eric got hit from right and left. In our polls two weeks out Eric was stronger with Republicans at 70% of the vote, but running under 50% among non Republicans.""Untold story," McLaughlin continued, "is who were the new primary voters? They were probably not Republicans."

SOURCE http://www.nationaljournal.com/politics/eric-cantor-s-pollster-tries-to-explain-why-his-survey-showed-cantor-up-34-points-20140611

36 posted on 06/11/2014 7:27:16 AM PDT by Liz
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To: Beagle8U
...the democrats did not even field a candidate: until Monday this week. His name is Jack Trammel...

Thanks for the update.

37 posted on 06/11/2014 7:34:48 AM PDT by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: Ignorance on parade.)
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To: Liz
Then McLaughlin cited the "Cooter" factor – the fact that former Rep. Ben Jones, a Georgia Democrat who played Cooter in The Dukes of Hazzard, had written an open letter urging Democrats to vote for Brat to help beat Cantor./I>

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm.

Is it conceivable that the "Cooter Factor" might be worth 20,000 more voters?

38 posted on 06/11/2014 7:39:41 AM PDT by okie01 (The Mainstream Media: Ignorance on parade.)
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To: Liz

Ahhhhhh! Very nice.


39 posted on 06/11/2014 7:41:44 AM PDT by ArtDodger
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To: Liz

The entire chattering class, the pundits...not one in 1,000 saw Cantor’s defeat coming..they couldn’t even entertain the idea. Yet in the 3 hours since the results were announced (9PM EST) they produced hundreds of articles explaining the meaning and significance of it, and how it would all hurt Republicans..


40 posted on 06/11/2014 7:48:06 AM PDT by ken5050 ("One useless man is a shame, two are a law firm, three or more are a Congress".. John Adams)
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