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New CBS/NYT Poll Shows Possible GOP Senate Wave Forming
redstate.com ^ | 7/29/14 | Leon Wolf

Posted on 07/29/2014 11:22:19 AM PDT by cotton1706

A new CBS/NYT poll has been released which is thus far the most exhaustive simultaneous battleground poll that has been taken this election season. It shows Republicans holding all their “close” seats, with McConnell leading Grimes 50-46 and Perdue leading Nunn 50-44. Obviously, these races are still very competitive and could flip although I think that as time goes along Perdue will pull away from Nunn while McConnell looks to be in a dogfight to the very end.

As predicted, John Walsh is all but officially toast in Montana, trailing Danes 56-40. The plagiarism scandal seems to have mortally wounded Walsh in what was a long shot race for them to begin with, and we may not have yet seen the fallout from that one. As expected, Mike Rounds is winning the open seat in SD in a laugher, which puts the GOP at a solid +2. Shelly Moore Capito is shown with a high single digit (51-43) lead in WV, which is consistent with other polling. Absent a stunning development in one of these races the GOP begins the election season looking at a +3 advantage, confirming everything we thought we knew thus far about the race for the Senate.

That is where things get ugly for the Dems. This poll shows the Dems also losing Arkansas (Cotton +4), North Carolina (Tillis +1), Louisiana (Cassidy +1), Iowa (Ernst +1), and Michigan (Land +1) – which, if true, would give the GOP 53 seats in 2015. Obviously, a number of these races are very close and, in the case of Michigan in particular, bucking a state’s partisan trend. But where many of these races are “too close to call,” the Dems are also up by “too close to call” in AK (Begich +2), and CO (Udall +4).

(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections
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To: SMGFan

There are NO RUN-OFFS in a General Election. The top vote-getter wins; that simple. Clinton was elected two times and never got 50% of the vote.


61 posted on 07/29/2014 7:31:12 PM PDT by Din Maker (I've always been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept me from going insane.)
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To: SMGFan

I’m not aware of a serious third party candidate in Georgia.

In the general election, all the states I know about just require a plurality, not a majority.

I will guess Georgia is the same.


62 posted on 07/29/2014 10:56:22 PM PDT by zeestephen
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To: Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
If history is any guide,

You mean before computerized voting and tabulation?

63 posted on 07/30/2014 1:50:09 AM PDT by itsahoot (Voting for a Progressive RINO is the same as voting for any other Tyrant.)
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To: Din Maker

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G14/GA

Tuesday 6 January 2015 - Federal General Election Runoff. Polling hours 7:00a EST (1200 UTC) to 7:00p EST (0000 UTC).


64 posted on 07/30/2014 2:04:25 AM PDT by SMGFan (Sarah Michelle Gellar is now on twitter @RealSMG)
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To: SMGFan

WOW! That’s a shocker! First I ever heard of a General Election run-off. Do all 50 States have this?


65 posted on 07/30/2014 7:54:16 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've always been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept me from going insane.)
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To: SMGFan

WOW! That’s a shocker! First I ever heard of a General Election run-off. Do all 50 States have this?


66 posted on 07/30/2014 7:54:54 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've always been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept me from going insane.)
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To: BigEdLB

This article says that Thad Cochran is also under 50% in Mississippi. See my Post #60 regarding that situation in MS.


67 posted on 07/30/2014 8:01:46 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've always been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept me from going insane.)
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To: Din Maker

No, but Louisiana jungle primary is in November 4 with all candidates on ballot, if you don’t get 50%, top voter getters runoff Dec 6.


68 posted on 07/30/2014 1:35:06 PM PDT by SMGFan (Sarah Michelle Gellar is now on twitter @RealSMG)
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