It's BRUCE BAILEY, don't you dumbass conservatives even know his name?
Posted on 10/11/2014 4:29:39 AM PDT by Din Maker
The Washington Post's Election Lab -- our statistical model designed to predict outcomes of the various races on the ballot this fall -- is currently showing Republicans with a 95 percent chance of winning the Senate. While most political handicappers suggest Republicans have an edge in the battle for the Senate majority, few would say it is as heavily tilted toward the GOP as Election Lab. And, even other statistical models -- kept by FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times -- project far more caution about the likely outcome in 25 days time. Nate Silver's model pegs it at a 58 percent chance. The New York Times' at a 66 percent chance.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
My point being that there’s little that can be sprung from DC that has an impact in a state or local election.
In a presidential, you can reveal a drug bust in the past of a candidate, and that will impact the entire electorate.
You can’t tell me Thad Cochran slept with 3 gypsies and a Nazi in Mississippi, and have it impact McConnell in KY.
Rove a distant memory? Pshaw! He’s going to be stick around like a zoster.
He’s been losing since ought 6 and we can’t shake him!
It sounds like Tillis won the last Debate. But, I wonder if it had a large viewing audience.
“......about his lack of support from Tillis....
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Did you mean lack of support “for” Tillis?
I’d think there would be more news out there if the Dems thought MS was in play for them.
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They do. And, they are working and wooing disenchanted Republicans They are flying under the radar. Keep watching.
Does the model factor in voter fraud?
Thanks. I respect your answer.
It's BRUCE BAILEY, don't you dumbass conservatives even know his name?
You are wrong on all counts. A conservative democrat with a tight senate means Reid can’t provide cover votes. They are also a target to flip.
Rinos who vote with Reid on key votes like closure are the exact thing we do not need. If you think Senator Cruz was helped by shutting down his filibuster, you don’t have a strategy that I am interested in.
I am pulling my hair out over the incompetence of Tillis and few other campaigns.
With due respect, I’ll stick with my analysis. This is not my first rodeo.
You also assumed something i never said - you assumed that I don’t think there are some risks and some negatives with RINOs in the Senate. That’s stupid. I never said that. I never said anything that would lead a thinking person to think that.
Read. Carefully. Think. Do not ASSume.
I live in NC. The state is deteriorating.
I responded to exactly what you wrote. Not my fault your position as a GOPe cheerleader is a tough one.
For this election, the drawbacks of a rino outweigh the drawbacks of a conservative democrat. To prove me wrong you have to list some benefit that will happen with a GOP senate. This has gone round and round and the GOPe side never scores.
Obama is not up for re-election, forcing him to veto does nothing.
Appointees get rubber stamped. Rinos scream, faint and fold in budget battles. Rinos love the media attention they get when they criticize their own party.
The drawbacks are that rinos will use that window to pass “moderate” legislation while giving Dems bipartisan cover. Every rino in office is one more vote for weak/moderate leadership. It is easier to get rid of a red state dem than a rino. The message to the GOPe that Mississippi can never happen again needs to be loud and clear.
I can list lots of problems with more rinos in the senate. Still waiting for any positive beyond pointless showvotes and prom queen / majority leader.
you don’t understand that you are the loser....... you advocate electing democrats
This is where you lose all credibility. That's a retarded lie. You can't find one single syllable to support that you pathetic troll.
Women and minorities hit hardest.
I split my time between Colombia and the US...have grand kids here in S Florida. We bought a condo in a waiting to die compound...90% NYers..all whiney libs! The few normals folks, conservatives, are Italians from NY.
Ive heard a few times libs mention NC and I just cringe. Id hate to see this type move into NC......
Do everything possible to discourage them from moving to good ol NC....lol!!!
Pollsters: Someone who roll your dice for you at the crap table.
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