Charles Krauthammer: Handicapping the 2016 Field, Round Three

National Review ^ | 08/14/2015 | Charles Krauthammer

[SeekAndFind]

Both presidential nomination contests having been scrambled by recent events — the FBI taking control of Hillary Clinton’s private e-mail server and a raucous, roiling GOP debate — the third edition of the Racing Form is herewith rushed into print.

Legal disclaimer: This column is for betting purposes only. What follows is analysis — scrubbed, as thoroughly as a Clinton server, of advocacy. (Unless I simply can’t resist.)

[nhwingut]

Strange headline NRO gave to a writer who is in a wheelchair.

Reminds me of ‘Stand up Chuck.’

[jmaroneps37]

Liberals are sooo cute when they try to act relevant.

[Man from Oz]

Dr. Krauthammer continues to wear his rose colored glasses. Bush 3 simply cannot talk his way out of a wet paper bag.... even in Spanish. Pffft

[Covenantor]

Bush 3 (aka ¡JEB!) simply cannot talk his way out of a wet paper bag.... even in Spanish. Pffft

You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one...you see a wet paper bag, I see churros and tamales for lunch

;>)

[Conscience of a Conservative]

I think he's wrong about Bush's odds. Much, much lower. But his analysis of the Trump ceiling is pretty spot on:

Nonetheless, his core support, somewhere around 20 percent (plus or minus a couple), remains as solid as that once commanded by Ron Paul and Ross Perot. Which means Trump will likely continue to lead until the field whittles down to a handful, at which point 20 percent is no longer a plurality.

Teflon Don. Solid constituency, fixed ceiling. Chances of winning his party’s nomination? About the same as Sanders winning his.

Sounds about right.

[Bluewater2015]

It would not be difficult Mein Fuehrer ... I mean, Jonah.

[LS]

No, VDH (strangely for him) constantly underestimates Trump’s support. First, we’ve had polls with him in the 30s already (Pretty amazing). Second, we have several non-establishment candidates, including the very conservative Cruz, vying for those same voters. Really that wasn’t the case in previous elections. I think, if it comes down to Trump vs. an establishment type, you can pretty much combine most (not all) of Cruz, Carson, and Fiorina’s support behind Trump.

[Hawthorn]

>> Strange headline NRO gave to a writer who is in a wheelchair <<

Leftists get apoplectic and hysterical about such verbal matters. Normal citizens like you and me, not so much.

[Hattie]

Krauthammer is wrong so much I can’t figure out why anyone even listens to him anymore.

[Georgia Girl 2]

Kraut needs to accept that Jeb is just an unattractive candidate. No amount of lipstick is going to change that.

[V K Lee]

Some guys keep talking not knowing they’ve lost their voice. How long will it take? Bets are open and now being tallied.

[Man from Oz]

Now that was downright witty!!