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Cruz catches Carson (Tied for second place) [Trump 28%, Cruz 18%, Carson 18%]
Red State ^ | November 20, 2015 | Dan Spencer

Posted on 11/21/2015 10:08:37 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

A new national NBC News/SurveyMonkey online poll finds that Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 100% has moved up 8% as Ben Carson dropped 8% leaving them tied for second place at 18%. Donald Trump, who was tied for the lead with Carson at 26% in the last NBC News/SurveyMonkey poll, is now in the lead at 28%. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) 94% also moved up 2%, to 11%, and remains in fourth place. The rest of the Republican candidates remain at 4% or less. The two point moves by Trump and Rubio fall within the poll’s 2.9% margin of error.

Other interesting findings from new the NBC News/SurveyMonkey poll include:

â—¾Carson is losing his support among evangelicals. He is now backed by just 25% of this group while Trump and Cruz have 23% and 22% respectively.

â—¾Cruz now has the highest level of support among those who identify as very Conservative, with 40%, overtaking both Carson and Trump.

â—¾Carson, Cruz, Rubio and Trump receive nearly equal levels of support among those with college degrees.

The upward movement of Cruz could be attributed to his organizational efforts with politically active church goers. And some credit should surely go to his response to the Paris terror attack we reported on here and here.

Carson’s fall, or as Trump calls it “free fall,” is the result of questions about Carson’s grasp of foreign policy. Most, 71%, of the Republican insiders surveyed this week by The POLITICO Caucus said Carson was the most vulnerable Republican presidential candidate on foreign policy — far more than any other candidate.

Don’t take this new poll too seriously. There are still more than two months before the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. That’s a very long time at this stage of a presidential campaign.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California; US: Florida; US: New York; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bencarson; california; carlyfiorina; carson; cruz; election2016; elections; florida; jebbush; marcorubio; newyork; polls; tedcruz; texas; trump; trumptrain
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1 posted on 11/21/2015 10:08:38 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Go Ted Go!!!


2 posted on 11/21/2015 10:13:22 AM PST by glasseye
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
What amazes me with this whole poll thing is i dont know a soul that has Carson as their 1st pick...NOT ONE!!!....is there anyone here on FR that picks Carson 1st??????
3 posted on 11/21/2015 10:16:39 AM PST by M-cubed ( Their hope is to find a way to pick a nominee who, if elected, would actually stay the course the w)
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To: M-cubed

No one on FR that I’ve seen. I do know a lot of people outside of FR like him. A lot. I don’t think the polls have been overly (just partially) cooked.


4 posted on 11/21/2015 10:19:32 AM PST by Lakeshark
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To: M-cubed
....is there anyone here on FR that picks Carson 1st??????

I think most FReepers are MUCH more politically sophisticated than the average Carson supporter.

While Carson seems to be well regarded here, most don't believe he has the chops to rule over people who don't wish him success.

5 posted on 11/21/2015 10:21:26 AM PST by papertyger
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To: M-cubed

No doubt there are Carson advocates but the most vocal and abusive cartel on FR effectively silences them.


6 posted on 11/21/2015 10:24:16 AM PST by FourPeas ("Conservatism's worked every time it's been tried." -Rush)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Carson is losing his support among evangelicals.

It would be interesting to know what factors caused this shift. There are many possibilities.

7 posted on 11/21/2015 10:26:49 AM PST by FourPeas ("Conservatism's worked every time it's been tried." -Rush)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

A Republican acquaintance told me he was for Carson or Fiorina!

When I said I liked Cruz, he made a face. Same with Trump.

And he claims to be Conservative.


8 posted on 11/21/2015 10:29:54 AM PST by Calpublican (Boehner minus the alcohol and orange spray tan= Ryan.)
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To: M-cubed

Not I, but I know some Carson supporters who are good folks. I have only talked with two of them since the Carson controversy and the targeting of him began and one still supports enthusiastically (and defensively) and the other is waffling a bit with Cruz as #2 and Trump as #3.

One thing I believe about Carson supporters is they are most likely to vote for the GOP nominee no matter what.

Just my .02 based on personal observations and not media coverage.


9 posted on 11/21/2015 10:31:59 AM PST by volunbeer
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To: M-cubed
I'm in MD and the most bumper stickers I see are Sanders, then Carson...no Clinton or Trump.
10 posted on 11/21/2015 10:33:01 AM PST by Vision (Obama is not a well man.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Ennnn B C.

Reuters average has Trump at 38, Carson 14, Cruz 7.


11 posted on 11/21/2015 10:38:47 AM PST by bigbob
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Cruz is gaining support- I've always been a supporter and have met with skepticism by family- now they are starting to pay attention.
12 posted on 11/21/2015 10:42:58 AM PST by austingirl
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

As the article says, it’s still over two months until the Iowa caucus. A lot can happen in that time.


13 posted on 11/21/2015 10:52:52 AM PST by Blood of Tyrants (There's a right to gay marriage in the Constitution but there is no right of an unborn baby to life.)
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To: Vision

I saw a ‘Sanders’ sticker here in rural East Tennessee the other day...assuming it was a college student.


14 posted on 11/21/2015 10:57:45 AM PST by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.com)
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To: bigbob

It is interesting the wide difference in the Rueters and the NBC/Survey Monkey Poll. NBC survey more people but includes lean republican. Not sure which is better.


15 posted on 11/21/2015 10:59:15 AM PST by 11th Commandment ("THOSE WHO TIRE LOSE")
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To: who knows what evil?

We have people in our town supporting bernie. I’ve seen a sign or two. Some of them had a debate watching party.

I wonder if they were disappointed when he covered hillary’s ass on the emails...


16 posted on 11/21/2015 11:00:24 AM PST by Califreak (Hope and Che'nge is killing U.S. Feel the Trump-mentum!(insert ireallysupportCruzdisclaimerhere/))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I think a lot of us thought when it all shook out it would be Trump and then Cruz as the first primaries started to poll


17 posted on 11/21/2015 11:01:33 AM PST by Lib-Lickers 2
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Everyone keep calm and CRUZ ON!!!


18 posted on 11/21/2015 11:02:53 AM PST by gwgn02
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To: gwgn02

“And I said to the king to send for Churchill!”


19 posted on 11/21/2015 11:07:21 AM PST by Dr. Ursus
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To: FourPeas

This Poll

Trump 28
Cruz 18
Carson 18
Rubio 11


20 posted on 11/21/2015 11:10:09 AM PST by CPT Clay (Hillary: Julius and Ethal Rosenberg were electrocuted for selling classified info.)
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