Donald Trump Leads Ted Cruz in Florida 32-21%

Overtime Politics ^ | 1/6/16 | Fred

[BigEdLB]

Donald Trump sports a comfortable 11 point lead in the Sunshine State, besting Ted Cruz 32-31%. Marco Rubio, who is from Florida, picks up 18% of the vote.

While most states, especially the ones that vote before March 15th, are competitive for Cruz and Rubio in the sense that they can at least win some delegates, Florida issues all of theirs to the person with the most votes. Finishing 2nd or beyond gets you 0 delegates, while 1st place gets 99. Right now, in order for either of them to win anything in Florida, they would have to un-seat Trump from the driver’s chair.

Marco Rubio holds a very large advantage with the Hispanic vote, beating Jeb Bush by 24 points. The popularity of Rubio among Hispanics in Florida is why he is comparatively high in the Presidental Percentages updates, when compared to Ted Cruz. This is primarily because Rubio has a better chance than most of the other candidates of winning Florida during a general election,

[BigEdLB]

Rubio 3rd and Bush 4th in their home state? Matches the Opinion Savvy from Mid-December...

[BlackFemaleArmyColonel]

GO TRUMP!!!

[The Ghost of FReepers Past]

I started months ago giving serious thought to Rubio and now I will not vote for him under any circumstances. He is dishonest — has very bad character.

[DoughtyOne]

[SubMareener]

SIC: Donald Trump sports a comfortable 11 point lead in the Sunshine State, besting Ted Cruz 32-31%.

Should be: Donald Trump sports a comfortable 11 point lead in the Sunshine State, besting Ted Cruz 32-21%.

[BigEdLB]

yeah it is a typo. that is the original text shoulda caught and fixed

[CPT Clay]

Shouldn’t Bush and Rubio be the favorites in Floriduh?

[Mollypitcher1]

You’re absolutely correct. He is nothing but a bought and paid for RINO as evidenced by his Gang of Eight fiasco. He doesn’t represent the people who voted for him and appeals only to some Hispanics and a few women who think he’s pretty.

He fooled us once, but he won’t get away with it the second time. Same goes for Bush. Common Core wiped Bush off the map for Floridians along with his big government mind-set.

Florida will go Trump if we can keep the fraud out of the ballot boxes.

[gwgn02]

“likely voters” this far out really doesn’t predict much of anything

[BigEdLB]

I am going to inform the Bush campaign that my son is unavailable to use the common core geometry he is being taught in High School to triangulate Jeb to 1st place in Florida

[Thud]

Interesting. Trump does best with lower income black males according to this poll.

[exit82]

Good one!

[WENDLE]

Does anyone remember bush or rinio? Let me tell you this. The Republican party is ours. The establishment has been removed. They were terrible. If you were establishment — you now can hold your nose and vote for Trump against Gore. You blew it. You capitulated and squandered your vehicle and now you are homeless. Good riddance.

[montag813]

11 points is hardly what I would call comfortable. After Cruz wins Iowa, that could vanish overnight

[Starstruck]

Are these likely voters? Registered voters? Maybe thought about possibly registering to vote voters? Once talked to a voter, voters?

[usafa92]

Here’s the pdf with demographic and economic detail. All very impressive for Trump.

http://overtimepolitics.com/pollingdata/OvertimePolitics.comJan2-Jan5RepublicanPrimaryPoll-Florida.pdf

[gwgn02]

Don’t confuse the Trumbots with serious questions.

[Albion Wilde]

Make America Great Again
2016!

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* * *

Selected Trump articles on FR, from 2:45 to 11:45 PM EST, 1/6/15:
Donald Trump Leads Ted Cruz in Florida 32-21%
TRUMP: I'M READY TO TACKLE CLINTON
3 questions evangelicals should ask about Donald Trump
Melania Trump's American Dream
Donald Trump's campaign issues 20,000 tickets for 1,400 rally seats (in Burlington VT)
Trump Goes Birther on Cruz -- And the Drive-Bys Eagerly Await My Response [Limbaugh]
Greenfield: Protecting Muslims from Trump
Controlled by shadow government
Fox News Keeps Megyn Kelly on Team for its Next GOP Debate
Trump to scrap UK investments if barred from Britain
Bill Clinton rape accuser: Hillary 'tried to silence' me [Juanita Broaddrick endorses Trump]
Eric Trump: My dad's immigration plan includes amnesty after deportation
Paul joins Trump in Cruz eligibility concerns
Trump: I didn't try to 'woo' Megyn Kelly
A Tale of Two Cities: Hillary's Sioux City vs. Trump's Lowell, MA [pix]
Trump: I'm questioning Cruz's citizenship for his own good (Cruz should seek declaratory judgment?)
Courts unlikely to entertain, let alone sustain, challenge to Cruz's qualification to be president
Bettors Know Better Than Pundits [John Stossel]
Islamic Radicals Fear Trump More Than Hillary
Scalia: Natural Born Requires Jus Soli ("of the soil")
Donald Trump Keeps Pushing Ted Cruz Citizenship Issue [NYT]
Congressman Readies Ted Cruz Eligibility Lawsuit With Eye on Mom [Rep. Grayson]
Ted Cruz Responds to Trump's Birther Claims [Video]
Donald Trump's premeditated attack on Ted Cruz's Canadian birth [CBS News]
Experts Agree: Trump Is Wrong, Ted Cruz Is Eligible for the White House
U.S. Republican Trump: China should solve N.Korea problem - FOX
Silly British MPs Set to Debate Trumped Up, Make-Believe Donald Trump Petition
Donald Trump should tell Brits where to stick their crumpets
Trump Maintains Lead in NH; Dem Race Close (Trump 29%, Rubio 15%) [PPP]
NH poll: Trump leads, Rubio rises to second [Trump 29% Rubio 15% Christie/Kasich 11% Cruz/Bush 10%]
Trump: I Will Change the Electoral College and Win NY, PA, OH, FL and MA
Samuel L. Jackson Might Be the One to Bring Down Donald Trump's Campaign

[BlackFemaleArmyColonel]

GO TRUMP!!!

[ripnbang]

Using the Huckabee and Santorum strategy?