Posted on 02/17/2016 1:31:03 PM PST by catnipman
The other question raised by a Trump victory in South Carolina, though, is why that dynamic would change. In CNN's poll, Trump beats Ted Cruz by a wider margin among evangelical voters than he does among voters overall -- a voting bloc that is supposed to be in Cruz's corner.
(In Iowa, where the majority of Republican voters identified as evangelical, Cruz won evangelicals by 12 points. In South Carolina, Trump leads with them by 20.)
Trump also leads with conservative voters in South Carolina, although by a smaller margin than he leads overall.
If that holds, it's not clear why Trump wouldn't then win most of the other Southern states that make up the March 1 primary, much less most of the other states between now and March 15.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
1) Cruz won’t just drop out.
2) Kasich will hang on til Super Tues.
3) By that time, it’s over, regardless of what the GOPe and Rubio do.
BTW, get inside the national Q-Poll: it showed Cruz and Rubio with higher numbers on “experience” and “honesty” than Trump . . . But Trump utterly crushes them on “likely to change things in Washington.” (It was something like 60-16). I think this is the albatross neither can overcome.
It’s also why I think Trump can smash either Bernie or Hillary or even Biden-—they all ARE “Washington.”
Thank you.
The funny part is that if Cruz backs down now, he looks like a puss. This was evidently well planned by the Trump campaign.
Trump’s a liberal. He has donated to numerous democrats. He supports planned parenthood. He repeated the code pink tripe about Bush lying, and even went so far as to insinuate that Bush caused 9/11 to happen. He has supported partial birth abortion.
He says many of the right words, but his past actions say otherwise.
He is no conservative.
I won’t vote for him.
LOL, I think you can file all things Dick Morris away into the garbage. After 20 years of being perpetually wrong about everything (like every other establishment “expert” stooge), he’s now basically “predicting” that there will be a sunrise tomorrow, which may or may not be cloudy. That guy is an insufferable weasel.
That's, Latino Teddy Haskell, of Princeton/Harvard bath robe fame.
LOL
Talk to me after Super Tuesday. Nothing matters until then.
I don’t think we’ll know for awhile. As the other candidates drop out someone will get all those votes.
I wonder how many conservatives will sit this one out in November if the choice is between two loud-mouth overbearing liberals?
I’ll vote for Rubio over Trump the Howard Stern clone.
Those things are difficult to forecast.
Hometown boy Ted Cruz got 130,000 less votes than Mediocre Mitt in Texas in Nov 2012.
Just a point of information for everyone:
Cruz endorsed by James Dobson today.
I don’t want to be responsible for what either one does. In a worse case scenario, one could allow a nuclear war, and the other may start one. There is no way of telling what might happen or when with either one. I am not a gambler when the stakes are so high and the outcome so uncertain, think I will stay home.
I think it’s already over. I’m pretty sure it will be after a win Saturday and Tuesday. 2 States that quickly looks like a juggernaut and is.
It’s over.
“Talk to me after Super Tuesday. Nothing matters until then.”
Well, maybe not quite nothing, but yeah, the world’s going to be a different place one way or the other after Super Tuesday.
“I’m Hillary Clinton and I approve this message.”
If you want the GOPe/”Conservative Media” spin right out of the horse’s mouth just tune in to FNC’s “The Five.” GOPe lackey Dana PeRino is slobbering all over the Nikki Haley endorsement of Rubio to go along with Gowdy’s and Scott’s.
“Three powerful SC politicians with enormous popular approval will add strength to Rubio’s campaign.” says PeRino.
This means Bush is toast, that Cruz is on his way out, and the all-out offensive against Trump begins in earnest. Hold on to your hat.
“As the other candidates drop out someone will get all those votes.”
It depends on WHEN they drop out. If enough of them stay in long enough that only Trump consistently reaches the state primary 15%/20% threshold to qualify for receiving any delegates at all, and the rest either don’t reach the threshold or don’t consistently reach it in multiple states, then the-winner-take-all/most delegate allocations will have already been won by Trump, potentially giving him an unstoppable lead in the delegate count.
“Just a point of information for everyone: Cruz endorsed by James Dobson today.”
Thanks for posting such game-changing information already posted 500 times today on FR, even though it’s 100% irrelevant to this thread.
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