Posted on 11/03/2016 4:20:09 AM PDT by FlyingFish
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton remained tied at 44% with the election just four days away, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll.
Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson continues to get 4%, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein has 2%.
On an unrounded basis, Trump has 44.1% and Clinton 44%, with Johnson at 3.9% and Stein at 1.9%. In a two-way race, Clinton gets 44.3% and Trump 44%.
The latest survey of 867 likely voters from Oct. 29-Nov. 2 has a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. On a weighted basis, the poll has 329 Democrats, 291 Republicans and 234 independents.
Just five days ago, Clinton's lead over Trump was 4 points. That was right after FBI Director James Comey informed Congress that he was reopening the bureau's probe into Clinton's private email server while she was secretary of state.
(Excerpt) Read more at investors.com ...
The usual BS D +8 oversampling. Its getting old...
Prediction. This poll will break like the state polls are breaking......
ABC tracking poll has Clinton up two this morning. Darn....going in the wrong direction
Hoping WikiLeaks saved something extra special for the weekend.
If so, it pushes Trump well beyond the “Fraud Zone” and locks this thing up.
If it does, it has to do it in three days or less. And those bigots at ABC/Washington Post are hyping their “Hitlery is winning” poll again.
Which equates to 39%D 34%R 27%I or a +5D sample. Better than some of the polls like Washington Post that have a +8D/+10D sample. But still I think it an overestimate of Dem turnout, the electorate was +6D in 2012 which was considered a banner year for democrats with Obama on the ballot, with the news coming out of black turnout being down by at least 25%-30% in early voting, there is no way that democrats will get anywhere near the turnout they had in 2012. Personally I think the electorate will probably look more like 2004 which was a +0D/+0R (tie) or perhaps even the 2014 midterms which were +2R.
Is that confirmed?
What would you expect? The wheels are coming off her campaign, of course they’re going to try to say all is well, but two point margin nationally has got to have her campaign very worried especially in light of the state polls showing a Trump surge and low turnout in a key demographic. Remember, 10 days ago the race was “over” with her having a double digit lead in some national polls. I’d much rather be where Trump is now then her. He’s looking at an upset, she’s looking at an indictment.
I wondere how much the ABC poll is D + oversampled?
As you know, polls are way off in regards to turnout...
It wont look like any midterm. In presidential years, every booger eating, low information voter comes out.
ABC tracking poll has Clinton up two this morning. Darn....going in the wrong direction
....
You have been here since 2004...I’m disappointed you haven’t learned more. So you believe and trust the poll?
OH please! It is going the wrong way. If you want to think the polls and the media are telling the truth then s be it, but some of us are not that naive at best.
Wish Bill Mitchell would wake up and analyze today’s ABC/WaPo poll. He has not tweeted yet this morning.
The new CBS/NYT poll has her up by three within MOE—but only giving Trump a four point lead among independents and merely two percent of black voters.
Last night, Pastor Darrell Scott told Lou Dobbs that Trump may well get 25% of AA support.
The ABC and IBD/TIPP polls are heavily over sampling dems. They stand to look really foolish on Nov. 9.
As for ABC with a 2 point lead.....likely to keep the dems sane for today.
I assumed they’d try to salvage their credibility at the end.
I assumed wrong.
Let them, national polls are completely meaningless at this point, it's state polls that will decide the electoral college and Hillary is crashing in "safe blue" states like Michigan, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, and Pennsylvania.
Personally I don't give a rat's a$$ if Hillary wins the national popular vote or not. In fact it would be rather amusing to see the liberals screaming and pulling their hair out about how the first female president was robbed by those dead old white guys that created the electoral college.
No. Just increase the D+ to maintain a tie
Yup.
ABC is creating the illusion of momentum for Hillary where none exists.
People don’t change their minds like that close to the election.
Sheer panic is setting in amongst the MSM...
Woohoo!
Race tied with a D+8 sampling!
No way Hillary is going to get a higher turnout than Obama! LOL
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