"Safe and effective" Covid-19 vaccine may be widely available by April 2021, Fauci says

cnn ^ | 10/14/2020 | Virginia Langmaid

[ChicagoConservative27]

A Covid-19 vaccine may be widely available by April 2021, Dr. Anthony Fauci said in an interview with CBS News Wednesday.

Fauci said researchers should know by “November or December” whether some vaccines trials have a safe candidate and that even in the event that a safe candidate is determined, initial quantities will likely only be a few million doses.

Pushing back against an assertion made by the President that the US can expect 100 million doses by year’s end, Fauci said that the 100 million number is only possible if every vaccine candidate currently in trials is determined to be safe and effective. Even in the event that every tested vaccine is determined to be safe, the timeline for widespread vaccine administration would be toward the end of the first quarter of 2021, Fauci said.

[conservatism_IS_compassion]

Normal vaccine test time is 10-15 years.

“Be not the first by whom the new is tried,
nor yet the last to lay the old aside” - Pope

Doing it in a few months is crazy for good reason

. . . depending on the life expectancy of the patient.

“Desperate ills are by desperate measures cured
or not at all.” - Shakespeare

My estimate of the risk:reward ratio is a function of my age and sex. Your estimate of that ratio could obviously be wildly different if you are, say, kindergarten age and likely to care - a lot - about a side effect which won’t show up until I am dead and gone..

I need neither the absolute assurance of perfect safety nor the absolute assurance of perfect efficacy. I just need it to be very probably safe and very probably effective. Only one “very” in each case, and the more probably safe, the less crucial the proven probability of efficacy becomes. If it just might save me from Covid, who cares if I drink one glass of water more, or one less?

(Actually, my Dr. wants me drinking much more water. But you get the idea).

[Revel]

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