Posted on 10/12/2021 1:16:36 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Surely there are other democrats who don’t want to participate in the destruction of America?
Cities are gone.
Conservatives should be looking at things like this as an opportunity to advance, not simply writing it off as impossible. What a bunch of ineffectual losers we have here on FR.
Hopefully the KY legislature can drastically reconfigure this seat to return it to the GOP.
It's the only solid Democrat district in Kentucky to Pelosi will wind up with another Democrat in his place.
Then I guess Conservatives there should just roll over and die. There’s a winning strategy.
There are a lot of sickening surrender monkeys here. You don’t see this type of whining and gnashing of teeth from libtards. Even when they lose, they are always moving forward. They never quit. Us? We have so many pathetic cowards who love to grovel and whine and complain and surrender at the first sign of trouble.
The reality is that redistributing is happening. With Yarmuth retiring there is less of an incentive to refrain from cracking his district.
With an aggressive push, the legislature can make Kentucky 6-0, so long as they are careful and don’t draw a dummymander.
Kentucky is red enough to pull it off.
Agreed. The only thing to prevent it is a lack of will.
I didn't say that. But I'm also not going to bury my head in the sand and ignore reality.
Well, he is a major, major player and a key part of any DemoKKKrat majority.
Maybe not but this is a huge canary in the coal mine. When chairmen start retiring, it means they doubt they’ll be in power in the next election, just as we saw with the Rs in 2018.
“Hopefully the KY legislature can drastically reconfigure this seat to return it to the GOP.”
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It certainly *can* do so (all it takes is to split Jeffco in two and add GOP suburban and rural counties to each of those CDs, and the Dem Governor’s veto can be overridden with a simple majority); the question is whether it will. The legislature also should shore up the Lexington-based KY-06 by attaching Fayette County to hyper-Republican counties to its south and southwest. Drawing a 6-0 map for KY is relatively easy, and I hope the the legislature goes for it.
Typical virtue signaling, black-loving / excusing / alibying /rationalizing,et al, White / Jewish, leftist, that have polluted Lousyville’s political landscape, since - when else? - the 196660s, and the local Communist majority press love.
I hope they do. Indiana though totally crapped out and left CD-1 alone, I don’t get it. You are right about ARK as well. We aren’t doing great so far.
If you haven’t seen it yet.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/
Proposal out in IL. Newman can’t be thrilled.
Seems absolutely ridiculous that the IL Demonrats could try for a 14D-3R delegation. I think it may end up backfiring trying to stretch it that wide given the demographics of the state.
I agree that the new gerrymander of IL is a monstrosity, but I don’t think that RATs in IL were foolish to try for 14-3, although I think that they left open too many flanks the way that they did it. But they would have had some of the same problems had they gone for 13-4.
The new East St. Louis-to-Champlain CD is as Democrat as they could have made it, and if they didn’t draw all of those communities together those Democrats would have been drawn into GOP districts that would have been very hard for Democrats to contest. The new CD is not safely Democrat, but strongly favors them, and there was no downside for them to go for it there.
The new iteration of IL-17 (the CD that Bustos is vacating) is also pretty much as Democrat as they could draw it, and the only Democrats there that could have propped up other marginal districts were those from Rockford that could have helped out Underwood in IL-14. If working-class whites continue to move towards the GOP, we likely will take this CD, perhaps as soon as 2022, when it will be open, but the RATs certainly were smart to try to retain it, and they did about as well as they could have in drawing it.
Speaking of Underwood’s IL-14, it was made more Democrat, but still will be very competitive, and if 2022 looks as good for us as it does right now I think that a prominent suburban Republican would beat Underwood. The RATs should have given Underwood some more heavily RAT suburbs instead of making IL-06 and (especially) IL-08 so safely Democrat. (Well, they’ll be safely Democrat unless the Chicago suburbs return to pro-2008 form.)
What was an unforced error was the IL-03. The RATs should have sacrificed Newman and drawn a second Hispanic CD in Chicago and the suburbs, which wouldn’t have hurt the other Chicago-area RATs very much. New man has two problems: First, if Lipinski tries to get his old seat back in the RAT primary, he’d have a good chance, since the suburban and exurban areas added to the IL-03 don’t have that many moonbats. Second, Newman may be too Leftist to win a general election in that district, and a suburban Republican can win there in 2022 if Newman is the nominee.
So, in conclusion, IL RATs had the right instincts when they redrew the congressional districts, but they may have had a bit of hubris regarding their hold of suburban and exurban districts.
Yeah, IN Republicans wussed out. Drawing a strongly GOP-leaning IN-01, while drawing seven other safe GOP CDs (including by propping up the IN-05) wouldn’t have been all that difficult even if they didn’t want to split Lake County. And the IN-01 is only 19% black, so there are no VRA issues about which to worry. They could have drawn a very clean, probable 8-1 map with a potentially competitive IN-01 (although, if working-class voters continue to swing to the GOP it would become safely GOP seat within a few years), and only the Indianapolis IN-07 going to the Democrats; and if they decided to split Lake County, they could have drawn an 8-1 map that would have no competitive CDs. I don’t understand why they didn’t go for it, particularly the option in which they don’t split Lake County and surrounding CDs are safely GOP (if that was their concern).
-PJ
BTW, I did some back-of-the-envelope math for a possible IN-01 that starts at Lake County (keeping it whole) and goes south through counties on the border with IL, and then a county or two east, thus avoiding both 56%-Trump Vigo County and 48%-Trump Tippecanoe County, and Trump would have carried it over Biden by around 53% to 45%. That would give us a likely pickup in 2022, and would only become more Republican as time went by until it was safely GOP before the end of the decade. If you want to know the specifics of the CD, it would include all of Lake, Newton, Benton, Warren, Vermillion, Fountain, Parke, Montgomery, Putnam, Clay, Owen and Greene counties and around 21,000 residents of western Morgan County. Drawing such a district would not be inconsistent with drawing seven safely GOP CDs in the rest of the state, for an 8-1 GOP House delegation. So IN’s GOP legislature had no logical reason not to draw an IN-01 with a strong GOP lean.
Frankly, the IN Republicans should’ve gone for a 9-0 delegation.
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