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Shutdown of airlines aided contrail studies
Science News ^ | 05/10/02 | Sid Perkins

Posted on 05/10/2002 1:32:58 PM PDT by Bobber58

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Week of May 11, 2002; Vol. 161, No. 19

September's Science: Shutdown of airlines aided contrail studies

Sid Perkins

Immediately after four hijacked airliners slammed into New York's World Trade Center, the Pentagon, and a field in southwestern Pennsylvania, the Federal Aviation Administration shut down all U.S. commercial air traffic for 3 days. The unprecedented grounding of airliners enabled airports to step up security measures. At the same time, scientists stepped up to a unique opportunity to study the influence of high-flying aircraft on Earth's climate.

LOFTY SUNBLOCK. An armada of long-lived aircraft contrails wafts above the Great Lakes in this Oct. 9, 2000, satellite image.

LOFTY SUNBLOCK. An armada of long-lived aircraft contrails wafts above the Great Lakes in this Oct. 9, 2000, satellite image.
Orbimage/NASA

One way that aircraft may affect climate is through their cloud like contrails, which appear behind jets flying at high altitude. Contrails are made of ice crystals that form within seconds around the small particles present in aircraft exhaust, says David J. Travis, an atmospheric scientist at the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater. Although jet fuel produces water vapor as it burns, more than 90 percent of the ice in long-lived contrails comes from water vapor already present in the air, says Travis.

Wispy cirrus clouds are the only ones that form naturally at the high altitudes where jets cruise. These thin clouds slightly cool Earth's surface by blocking some incoming sunlight, but they moderately warm the lower atmosphere by trapping a portion of Earth's outbound infrared radiation. Scientists have suspected that contrails have similar but stronger effects.

Travis and his colleagues looked at the average diurnal temperature range (DTR)—the difference between the day's high and low temperatures—reported at more than 4,000 weather stations across the continental United States. During the 3-day hiatus of air traffic last September, the average DTR was a little over 1°C wider than normal, even though the average DTRs computed for the 3-day periods immediately before and after that period were below normal.

Furthermore, says Travis, the Pacific Northwest, the Midwest, and the Northeast—areas of the country typically blanketed with aircraft contrails in mid-September—showed the largest changes in diurnal temperature range, mostly from increased daytime high temperatures. This bolsters the argument that contrails can significantly affect climate, Travis contends. He and his colleagues will report their findings next week in Portland, Ore., at a conference of the American Meteorological Society.

Travis' results are difficult to argue with, says Patrick Minnis of NASA's Langley Research Center in Hampton, Va. He and his colleagues will report their analyses of satellite images of contrails at the same conference. In a series of photos taken Sept. 12, individual cloud trails of high-flying military aircraft stand out clearly in a nearly cloud-free region west of Washington, D.C. In just a few hours, six contrails—each of which started out a few meters wide—spread to cover more than 20,000 square kilometers. The observations of these single contrails along aerial highways normally crowded with dozens of aircraft may help scientists develop better models of how contrails spread and affect climate, says Minnis.

References:

Duda, D.P., P. Minnis, and R. Palikonda. 2002. A study of contrail spreading over the Great Lakes. American Meteorological Society 10th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology. May 14. Portland, Ore. Abstract available at http://ams.confex.com/ams/13ac10av/10ARAM/abstracts/39764.htm.

Minnis, P., et al. 2002. Spreading of isolated contrails during the 2001 air traffic shutdown. American Meteorological Society 10th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology. May 13. Portland, Ore. Abstract available at http://ams.confex.com/ams/13ac10av/10ARAM/abstracts/40538.htm.

Travis, D.J., A.M. Carleton, and R.G. Lauritsen. 2002. Jet aircraft contrails: Surface temperature variations during the aircraft groundings of September 11-13, 2001. American Meteorological Society 10th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology. May 14. Portland, Ore. Abstract available at http://ams.confex.com/ams/13ac10av/10ARAM/abstracts/39365.htm.

Sources:

Patrick Minnis
NASA Langley Research Center
Mailstop 420
Hampton, VA 23681-2199

David J. Travis
Department of Geography and Geology
University of Wisconsin-Whitewater
Whitewater, WI 53190

From Science NewsVol. 161, No. 19, May 11, 2002, p. 291.


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TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: airlines; contrails; globalwarminghoax

1 posted on 05/10/2002 1:32:58 PM PDT by Bobber58
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To: Bobber58
Waiting for the chemtrails tinfoilers bump
2 posted on 05/10/2002 1:40:10 PM PDT by Poohbah
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To: Poohbah
This was an outstanding opportunity - probably never to be repeated - for research. They saw the chance and used it well.

Kudos!

3 posted on 05/10/2002 1:44:52 PM PDT by glorgau
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To: Poohbah
Here's a classic from 'back in the day".
4 posted on 05/10/2002 1:48:42 PM PDT by Senator Pardek
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To: Bobber58
There are other variables, not mentioned in the article, that may account more for the temp rise than just jet contrails. The nation, for about a week, was in a state of both shock and heightened readiness resulting in less ground vehicle pollution than normal. I don't see any reference to the possibility of other causatives in this "study" that seams to be a conclusion searching for a cause.

The British did contrail studies in WWII, but for reasons other than weather. Photo-Recon Spitfires (the SR-71 of WWII) would expose themselves if they started their recon flight over occupied Europe while in contrail inducing atmospheric conditions (yes piston engines can and do produce contrails).

If the contrail/weather theory has any validity than the trails of hundreds of B-17's and B-24's, day after day for 3 years should have effected Europe's weather during the war and disaffected it after.

5 posted on 05/10/2002 1:54:04 PM PDT by elbucko
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To: Senator Pardek
hehehehehehehahahahahahaha
roflmaololololollolol!
6 posted on 05/10/2002 1:54:22 PM PDT by Bobber58
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To: Senator Pardek
"flying overhead emitting huge clouds of chemical contrails."

Interesting from your link. The Brits went to a lot of trouble to investigate "condensation trails" beginning in the 1940's. It is water vapor turned to ice by virtue of the the engine concentrating the water vapor and emitting into an atmosphere that is very very cold.

For bombers entering Europe during WWII it gave every Nazi fighter plane and flack battery a calling card as to position and altitude.

7 posted on 05/10/2002 2:10:26 PM PDT by elbucko
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To: *Global Warming Hoax
index bump
8 posted on 05/10/2002 2:12:09 PM PDT by Fish out of Water
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To: Bobber58
c[����cn`hort sighted causality(no airplanes = temp. change), why don't we just take it one step further and say every time two 110 story buildings fall, the temp will change.

I agree with the other poster, I'd guess that there was a significant change to the regular usage of that dreaded internal combustion engine during that time frame as well. I seem to recall lots of stories about people not going shopping , or to other types of entertainment. Seems like a lot fewer cars on the road to me. ?????

9 posted on 05/10/2002 2:53:07 PM PDT by SengirV
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To: SengirV
So guess what -- human activity curtails "global warming"!
10 posted on 05/13/2002 6:00:30 PM PDT by NativeNewYorker
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