EXCLUSIVE: MONDALE DROPS 7 POINTS AS POST-WELLSTONE MEMORIAL BACKLASH DEVELOPS

World Magazine ^ | 11/01/81 | By Joel C. Rosenberg, WORLD magazine contributor

[sonrise57]

* * * * WASHINGTON UPDATE * * * *

EXCLUSIVE: MONDALE DROPS 7 POINTS AS POST-WELLSTONE MEMORIAL BACKLASH DEVELOPS

Plus: Exclusive internal GOP tracking poll numbers from key Senate and House races

By Joel C. Rosenberg, WORLD magazine contributor (www.worldmag.com) (WASHINGTON, 10/31/02) -- Just got off the phones with several top GOP Senate and House strategists. Fascinating developments.

Exclusive new poll numbers will soon be posted at www.worldmag.com and www.JewishWorldReview.com.

SENATE SNAPSHOT: MINNESOTA -- COLEMAN SURGES 7 POINTS AS MONDALE FACES INDEPENDENT BACKLASH

A political backlash against Walter Mondale is developing after Democrats turned the memorial service for Sen. Paul Wellstone into a campaign rally, WORLD magazine has learned.

Internal GOP tracking polls over the past week show Republican Norm Coleman gaining 7 points since Tuesday night and now in a statistical dead heat with Mondale, 43% to 42%

The first GOP poll taken last weekend when Mondale's name was first floated to replace Wellstone put the 74-year old Democrat ahead of Coleman by 3 points, highly-placed GOP sources say.

By the Tuesday before the memorial service, internal GOP polls show Mondale had climbed to a 7 point lead, and Republicans were deeply concerned they couldn't overcome the "Mondale Mystique." An independent, public poll showed Mondale up 8.

"Everything changed Tuesday night," said a top Republican operative. "The Democrats' political rally really turned off independent voters. It alientated [Minnesota Governor Jesse] Ventura. And we saw Coleman's numbers rise almost immediately, and intensity for Coleman has significantly increased."

What happened?

"Basically, we're back where we were when Wellstone was alive," the GOP source said. "Independent, undecided voters really didn't like Wellstone. Now they're looking cautiously at the guy who's filling in for the guy they didn't like."

President Bush will now campaign in Minnesota with Coleman on Sunday.

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: ARKANSAS

New internal GOP tracking polls:
* Republican Sen. Tim Hutchinson -- 44%
* Democrat Mark Pryor -- 44%
* Republicans operative most worried about this race

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: GEORGIA

New internal GOP tracking polls:
* Democrat Sen. Max Cleland -- 44%
* GOP challenger Saxby Chambliss -- 41%
* Perhaps best shot at a GOP pickup
* President Bush campaigns for Chambliss on Saturday

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: NEW HAMPSHIRE

New internal GOP tracking polls:

* Rep. John Sununu -- 44%
* Gov. Jeanne Shaheen -- 42%
* But three independent polls show Shaheen ahead by 3 to 4 points.
* Sources say AFL-CIO sending in 500 employees to help Democrats get out the vote

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: COLORADO

* GOP Sen. Wayne Allard -- 45%
* Democrat Tom Strickland -- 41%
* GOP operatives say strong top of ticket -- Republican Gov. Bill Owens -- helping boost Republican turnout, helping Allard over the top

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: LOUISINA

New internal GOP tracking polls:
* Democrat Sen. Mary Landrieu -- 44%
* If she doesn't get more than 50%, she'll face a run-off.

**************

HOUSE SNAPSHOT: IOWA

* Desperate Iowa GOP House incumbents -- and Senate candidate Greg Ganske -- need the "Bush Bounce," so the White House political operation sending the President to Cedar Rapids on Monday.

* The redistricted and thus newly embattled GOP Rep. Jim Leach is now in the 1st Congressional District. He appears to be scratching and clawing his way to a lead, but House operatives remain worried. New internal GOP polling shows Leach ahead of Democrat challenger John Norris 52% to 40%.

* GOP Rep. Jim Nussle in the 2nd Congressional district is also in a brutal battle against TK. But Nussle now seem to be closing the sale with voters. He's up 54% to 46%.

* GOP Rep. Tom Latham is now up 8 points, but still below 50%. New polling shows the race at 48% to 40%. Speaker Dennis Hastert is going in to stump for Latham on Sunday.

* Christian conservative GOP state representative Steve King is strong to pick up a newly created Congressional seat in southeastern Iowa.

* Democrat incumbent Rep. Boswell is suddenly facing an incredibly strong GOP challenge from Stan Thompson. Boswell had been fine for months, but is dropping steady and is now under 50% -- 48% to 42%.

* Voter fraud in Iowa becoming major issue. Some districts have seen requests for 20,000 to 40,000 absentee ballots, almost none of which are coming from registered Republicans. "Abnormally high," says one GOP operative. "We're watching it real closely. These could be serious fraud cases developing."

**************

HOUSE SNAPSHOT: GEORGIA

* Republican strategists fear a net loss of House seats in Georgia of one to four seats due to aggressive redistricting by Democrat governor and legislature.

* But...the newly created 12th Congressional district could be a pickup for the GOP. Republican Max Burns has pulled slightly ahead of Democrat Champ Walker, 52% to 48%.

* Also...in the redrawn 11th Congressional district, Republican state senator Phil Gingry is finally gaining steam. Latest poll puts him down 3 points -- 43% to 46%. Speaker Hastert heads there to campaign with Gingry today.

HOUSE SNAPSHOT: KANSAS

* GOP operatives believe they now have a shot at defeating incumbent Democrat Rep. Dennis Moore Kansas's 3rd Congressional District. Republican Adam Taff, a former Naval aviator -- now a pilot for United Airlines -- is surging in the past two weeks and Washington is sending extra resources.

Moore -- 47%
Taff -- 44%

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[DrewsDad]

the rally, er, memorial.

I think the term FUNERALLY that someone posted in another thread earlier seems appropriate.

[NewsFlash]

[billhilly]

"Yep, he needs to stay out of small aircraft."

In his condition he should stay out of the bathtub.

[Timesink]

Here's my call: The Wellstone memori-rally will indeed energize the Wellstone base. The problem for the RATS is that the hardcore Wellstone base isn't all that Democratic: They're greens.. Wellstone didn't really think like a RAT and certainly had too much integrity to be part of the RAT inner circle; in beliefs and deeds, he was more of a Green than anything else. He just ran as a Democrat because he know that no Green is ever going to get elected.

Well, now he's gone, and say what you will about Mondale, he's no ultra-left Green. Which means the big time Wellstone supporters are going to vote for whoever the Green candidate is, most of the independents are going to vote for Coleman because of their disgust with the DNC/DFL's actions, and a good chunk of the Democratic voters are either going to vote for Coleman or just not vote at all because they're embarrassed, humiliated and disgusted over what their party has become.

Result: Coleman win.

[eureka!]

'I think the term FUNERALLY that someone posted in another thread earlier seems appropriate'

Cute. I also liked the one: "Rats, putting the 'fun' back in funeral!"

[mewzilla]

Bwa ha ha ha. Thank you, Bill and Hill.

[Common Tator]

I am confused

Not only that you just proved you can't read.

Mondale was up by on saturday. But by the night of the memorial service he had risen to an 8 point lead.

The story says that the memorial he fell by 7 points to give Mondale a one point lead.

[bigjoesaddle]

And for that, we as conservatives should feel blessed. The myth making and the romanticizing of Wellstone was shattered by the shrill shrieking of his strangly unmournful son's populist rallying cry.

This is who they are, this is who Wellstone was, and Minnesota is realizing that there is something wrong there.

I agree, that was literally an ol' fashoned church revival, and Liberalism is the religion! And, no matter what, for any reason or for all the money in the world, and what Demorcrats do not understand, REPUBLICANS COULD NEVER, NEVER HAVE DONE WHAT THEY DID AT THAT MEMORIAL...WE SIMPLY ARE NOT CAPABLE OF IT!

[Slainte]

Couldn't have happened to a more deserving group of folks.

Go Norm!

[Free_at_last_-2001]

Whoa . . . RATS still have four days to replace Mondale. - Classic!

[bigjoesaddle]

Voter fraud in Iowa becoming major issue. Some districts have seen requests for 20,000 to 40,000 absentee ballots, almost none of which are coming from registered Republicans. "Abnormally high," says one GOP operative. "We're watching it real closely. These could be serious fraud cases developing."

I'm an Iowa guy, so what type of fraud are we talking about, do these people not exist? Are they going to double vote; absantee AND at the polls? What exactly are we worried about? Open discussion for all FReepers PLEASE.

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

LOL LOL LOL LOL

Ivan that photo and caption were outstanding.

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

Say Big Joe,

I have been listening to WHO today and the Iowa GOP has just been pounding Norris with ads. As you no doubt know, Norris was Jesse Jackson's Iowa campaign manager. The airplay has been thick all day. Latham is safe.

[enough]

A very well thought out analysis. I'm in MN and agree Coleman should win this. If he doesn't, nothing much more could be done to help him that hasn't already been done by the Dem's. If he doesn't take the Senate seat now then it was impossible to begin with, IMHO.
(Maybe I'm just rationalizing so I'm not totally devastated if he loses on Tues)

[syriacus]

Does X-42 have a shiner?

His nose certainly looks shinier.

[tracer]

That photo!! I just missed hurling on my keyboard. And I just asked my ophthalmologist to meet me at the ER.... 8~)

[Dog Gone]

Where the heck have you been for the past few months? I put on APB out for you without any luck.

[Dog Gone]

Voter fraud in Iowa becoming major issue. Some districts have seen requests for 20,000 to 40,000 absentee ballots, almost none of which are coming from registered Republicans. "Abnormally high," says one GOP operative. "We're watching it real closely. These could be serious fraud cases developing."

I don't like the sound of that at all.

[tracer]

LOL!! I presented on another thread Keillor's name for Ventura's temporary Wellstone replacement.....

[ambrose]

Not only that you just proved you can't read. Mondale was up by on saturday. But by the night of the memorial service he had risen to an 8 point lead. The story says that the memorial he fell by 7 points to give Mondale a one point lead.

Thank you, but I can read quite well. I am still confused: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/778059/posts

This has Mondale up by 2 as of Sunday, not the three mentioned in the article. Moreover, the alleged internals which had Mondale surging on the night before the service were never released.

I support Coleman and have donated money to his campaign, but I am not so supportive that I will blindly accept leaked poll numbers at face value.