EXCLUSIVE: MONDALE DROPS 7 POINTS AS POST-WELLSTONE MEMORIAL BACKLASH DEVELOPS

World Magazine ^ | 11/01/81 | By Joel C. Rosenberg, WORLD magazine contributor

[sonrise57]

* * * * WASHINGTON UPDATE * * * *

EXCLUSIVE: MONDALE DROPS 7 POINTS AS POST-WELLSTONE MEMORIAL BACKLASH DEVELOPS

Plus: Exclusive internal GOP tracking poll numbers from key Senate and House races

By Joel C. Rosenberg, WORLD magazine contributor (www.worldmag.com) (WASHINGTON, 10/31/02) -- Just got off the phones with several top GOP Senate and House strategists. Fascinating developments.

Exclusive new poll numbers will soon be posted at www.worldmag.com and www.JewishWorldReview.com.

SENATE SNAPSHOT: MINNESOTA -- COLEMAN SURGES 7 POINTS AS MONDALE FACES INDEPENDENT BACKLASH

A political backlash against Walter Mondale is developing after Democrats turned the memorial service for Sen. Paul Wellstone into a campaign rally, WORLD magazine has learned.

Internal GOP tracking polls over the past week show Republican Norm Coleman gaining 7 points since Tuesday night and now in a statistical dead heat with Mondale, 43% to 42%

The first GOP poll taken last weekend when Mondale's name was first floated to replace Wellstone put the 74-year old Democrat ahead of Coleman by 3 points, highly-placed GOP sources say.

By the Tuesday before the memorial service, internal GOP polls show Mondale had climbed to a 7 point lead, and Republicans were deeply concerned they couldn't overcome the "Mondale Mystique." An independent, public poll showed Mondale up 8.

"Everything changed Tuesday night," said a top Republican operative. "The Democrats' political rally really turned off independent voters. It alientated [Minnesota Governor Jesse] Ventura. And we saw Coleman's numbers rise almost immediately, and intensity for Coleman has significantly increased."

What happened?

"Basically, we're back where we were when Wellstone was alive," the GOP source said. "Independent, undecided voters really didn't like Wellstone. Now they're looking cautiously at the guy who's filling in for the guy they didn't like."

President Bush will now campaign in Minnesota with Coleman on Sunday.

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: ARKANSAS

New internal GOP tracking polls:
* Republican Sen. Tim Hutchinson -- 44%
* Democrat Mark Pryor -- 44%
* Republicans operative most worried about this race

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: GEORGIA

New internal GOP tracking polls:
* Democrat Sen. Max Cleland -- 44%
* GOP challenger Saxby Chambliss -- 41%
* Perhaps best shot at a GOP pickup
* President Bush campaigns for Chambliss on Saturday

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: NEW HAMPSHIRE

New internal GOP tracking polls:

* Rep. John Sununu -- 44%
* Gov. Jeanne Shaheen -- 42%
* But three independent polls show Shaheen ahead by 3 to 4 points.
* Sources say AFL-CIO sending in 500 employees to help Democrats get out the vote

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: COLORADO

* GOP Sen. Wayne Allard -- 45%
* Democrat Tom Strickland -- 41%
* GOP operatives say strong top of ticket -- Republican Gov. Bill Owens -- helping boost Republican turnout, helping Allard over the top

**************

SENATE SNAPSHOT: LOUISINA

New internal GOP tracking polls:
* Democrat Sen. Mary Landrieu -- 44%
* If she doesn't get more than 50%, she'll face a run-off.

**************

HOUSE SNAPSHOT: IOWA

* Desperate Iowa GOP House incumbents -- and Senate candidate Greg Ganske -- need the "Bush Bounce," so the White House political operation sending the President to Cedar Rapids on Monday.

* The redistricted and thus newly embattled GOP Rep. Jim Leach is now in the 1st Congressional District. He appears to be scratching and clawing his way to a lead, but House operatives remain worried. New internal GOP polling shows Leach ahead of Democrat challenger John Norris 52% to 40%.

* GOP Rep. Jim Nussle in the 2nd Congressional district is also in a brutal battle against TK. But Nussle now seem to be closing the sale with voters. He's up 54% to 46%.

* GOP Rep. Tom Latham is now up 8 points, but still below 50%. New polling shows the race at 48% to 40%. Speaker Dennis Hastert is going in to stump for Latham on Sunday.

* Christian conservative GOP state representative Steve King is strong to pick up a newly created Congressional seat in southeastern Iowa.

* Democrat incumbent Rep. Boswell is suddenly facing an incredibly strong GOP challenge from Stan Thompson. Boswell had been fine for months, but is dropping steady and is now under 50% -- 48% to 42%.

* Voter fraud in Iowa becoming major issue. Some districts have seen requests for 20,000 to 40,000 absentee ballots, almost none of which are coming from registered Republicans. "Abnormally high," says one GOP operative. "We're watching it real closely. These could be serious fraud cases developing."

**************

HOUSE SNAPSHOT: GEORGIA

* Republican strategists fear a net loss of House seats in Georgia of one to four seats due to aggressive redistricting by Democrat governor and legislature.

* But...the newly created 12th Congressional district could be a pickup for the GOP. Republican Max Burns has pulled slightly ahead of Democrat Champ Walker, 52% to 48%.

* Also...in the redrawn 11th Congressional district, Republican state senator Phil Gingry is finally gaining steam. Latest poll puts him down 3 points -- 43% to 46%. Speaker Hastert heads there to campaign with Gingry today.

HOUSE SNAPSHOT: KANSAS

* GOP operatives believe they now have a shot at defeating incumbent Democrat Rep. Dennis Moore Kansas's 3rd Congressional District. Republican Adam Taff, a former Naval aviator -- now a pilot for United Airlines -- is surging in the past two weeks and Washington is sending extra resources.

Moore -- 47%
Taff -- 44%

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[BradyLS]

I voted early this year and so glad I did. My pet, illogical theory is that there are ten people out there pretty much like myself. If I don't vote, then it's very likely they won't either. But if I DO vote, those ten will, too, and probably vote the same way I do. (Cuz we think alike, too. Get it?)

Illogical, I know, but it's one of the strongest self-motivators I've been able to develop.

So, if you vote, ten people will get up, somewhere, and VOTE WITH YOU!

[BradyLS]

The airplay has been thick all day. Latham is safe.

Where RATs are involved, no candidate is safe! I don't care if the lead is in the double-digits. You have to fight like you're 3 points behind at all times to beat these guys.

[11th_VA]

And this just in - Indiana 7th District in play

(snip)

With four days left, Julia Carson, the democratic incumbent, is no longer riding comfortably in the driver's seat. According to a new Eyewitness News - Indianapolis Star poll, Carson leads McVey by one percentage point. Carson has 43%, McVey with 42% and Libertarian Andrew Horning holds five percent.

Forty-six percent of likely voters in our poll have a favorable opinion of Carson, 38% unfavorable.

As for McVey, 38% have a favorable opinion of him with 18% unfavorable.

Carson, who did a radio interview Friday, is still upset about negative ads in the campaign. It's the reason she walked out of last Wednesday's debate.

[CaliforniaOkie]

Some good news here, but its going to be a squeaker---- VOTE!VOTE!VOTE!VOTE!VOTE!VOTE!VOTE!VOTE!VOTE

You should check this author out. He could be a relative of Colman. Colman has first cousins by the same name as the author of this peace.

[Brandon]

This would be more interesting if they could at least get the candidates' names and districts right:

HOUSE SNAPSHOT: IOWA

* Desperate Iowa GOP House incumbents -- and Senate candidate Greg Ganske -- need the "Bush Bounce," so the White House political operation sending the President to Cedar Rapids on Monday.

* The redistricted and thus newly embattled GOP Rep. Jim Leach is now in the 1st Congressional District. He appears to be scratching and clawing his way to a lead, but House operatives remain worried. New internal GOP polling shows Leach ahead of Democrat challenger John Norris 52% to 40%.

Actually, Leach is now in the 2nd district, and his challenger is named Julie Thomas.

* GOP Rep. Jim Nussle in the 2nd Congressional district is also in a brutal battle against TK. But Nussle now seem to be closing the sale with voters. He's up 54% to 46%.

Nussle is in the 1st District.

* Christian conservative GOP state representative Steve King is strong to pick up a newly created Congressional seat in southeastern Iowa.

King is running in western Iowa.

[Radix]

I see dead people!

[floriduh voter]

I recommend using DNA technology to test each absentee ballot. Match each absentee ballot to an actual voter, kind of like matching luggage to each passenger. If there's no match, where's the trash?

That's why the dems always say "Let every vote count." They don't care about the voter one wit but, they care a whole lot about stuffing the ballot box. Let every vote count - including fake ballots. (That's the true last half of that sentence.)

[ladyinred]

I know that turnout will be the key. Rats are better at getting out the vote. They bus them in from old folks homes, the skid row areas etc. They pay for votes. We seriously have to vote in huge numbers to overcome the fraud. Encourage every conservative you know to vote!

[Republican Wildcat]

Moreover, the alleged internals which had Mondale surging on the night before the service were never released.

When internal polls show candidates dramatically losing ground they typically don't release them, which only makes sense.

[Saundra Duffy]

The democraps must be held accountable for that despicable display of partisanship. How rude! I like the way Gov. Ventura handled it. Gave 'em hell, and rightly so. I was shocked! Glad they didn't get away with it. It got so bad, I shut off the TV. Made me sick. Did Trent Lott ever make a statement? Go, GOP!!! For victory & freedom!!!

[GOPJ]

bump

[yield 2 the right]

NOVEMBER 5, 2002!!!!!!!

[rwfromkansas]

No....the massive backlash is that the first poll was two..then starting on Monday, the internal poll showed him up 7. After Tuesday night's event, it shifted dramatically down 7 points.

[MadIvan]

It may interest you lot to know that the arch-leftist Keillor actually does voiceovers for Honda here in Britain.

Regards, Ivan

[GOPJ]

bump

[GOPJ]

bump

[GOPJ]

bump