Posted on 07/15/2003 10:58:45 AM PDT by johnqueuepublic
Let Them Eat Yellowcake - Reflections On A Failed Political Smear
By William A. Mayer
A consequence of the rush to judgment by much of the media over the now controversial juxtaposing of the trip-wire terms "Iraq", "yellowcake" and "Niger" in the Bush administration's 2003 State of the Union address, is the fact that in their haste to crucify George W. Bush on a cross of uranium, they may well have made both a major tactical as well as a factual blunder.
That blunder is two-fold.
1. They have either misread or more likely intentionally misinterpreted CIA Director Tenet’s July 11, 2003 statement as having made the conclusion that the Niger – Iraq fissile material transfer did not take place.
2. They have ignored the very clear facts surrounding the case, facts which – far from supporting any assertion that it was the intention of the Bush administration to stampede a nation into war – reveal a very long, and independently verifiable, Iraqi pattern of seeking out and obtaining the most critical nuclear bomb making component – uranium - either on the open market or clandestinely from underground sources for nearly a quarter-of-a-century.
Confidential sources close to the intelligence community have confirmed to us that the Tenet clarification in no way rules out the possibility that the Iraqi-Niger transaction took place. All that it states is that the high standards upon which such a determination should have been made were not sufficient for it to have been included in a speech as important as the State of the Union address.
In short the supposition cannot currently be verified.
Tenet’s main point is unambiguously clear; it was the sense of the Intelligence Community [IC] – as set out in a 90-page National Intelligence Estimate report - that Iraq was indeed quickly jump-starting its nuclear weapons program:
“…most agencies of the Intelligence Community judged that Iraq was reconstituting its nuclear weapons program…”
It is this very “reconstitution” process which was so troubling to the Bush administration and appears to have been one of the primary motive forces behind the Iraq liberation operation. Noteworthy also is the clear impression that this “sense of the IC” rested not at all on an alleged uranium deal between Saddam and an impoverished African nation.
The decision to go to war would have been the same irrespective of this little bit of unsubstantiated intelligence.
It was not necessary for the administration to quote from allegedly forged British documents or in any way assemble a case built on deception to prove Iraq’s long history of seeking uranium wherever it was available.
As is the case in many of these “controversies” the public record is already replete with information that can be quite compelling. In the present case the United Nation’s International Atomic Energy Agency [IAEA] catalogued at least 8 instances wherein fissile material was imported into Iraq.
The following from: Fact Sheet: Iraq’s Nuclear Weapon Programme – International Atomic Energy Agency, 25 April 2002
1. Imported 4,006 kg of natural uranium and 6,005 kg of depleted uranium (DU) from Italy in 1979
2. Imported 1,767 kg low enriched uranium (LEU) from Italy in 1982
3. Imported almost 50 kg of highly enriched uranium (HEU) from Russia and France
4. Procured 429 drums containing 138,098 kg yellowcake from Portugal in 1980
5. Procured 487 drums containing 148,348 kg yellowcake from Portugal in 1982
6. Procured 432 drums containing 137,435 kg of yellowcake from Niger in 1981
7. Procured 426 drums containing 139,409 kg of yellowcake from Niger in 1982
8. Imported 24,260 kg of uranium dioxide from Brazil between 1981-82
What was Saddam doing with 550 tons of bomb making material, approximately 250 tons of which had been obtained from the very country mentioned in the President's State of the Union Address?
The answer lies within the same report; which details Saddam's successful efforts in enriching this treasure trove of contraband, with the obvious intent of producing a working nuclear device, the ultimate WMD.
Produced 109 tonnes of uranium in 168 tonnes of yellowcake at Al Qaim uranium recovery plant, which was constructed between 1982-84
Produced 420 drums containing 99,457 kg uranium dioxide at Al Jesira uranium conversion facility
Produced UF6 at Rashdiya Engineering and Design Centre
Processed uranium dioxide to produce UF4, uranium metal and UF6 at Tuwaitha Chemical Laboratories
Processed UO2 and yellowcake to produce UO2, U3O8, UO3, UO4, UF4, and uranium metal at Tuwaitha Experimental Research Laboratory for Fuel Fabrication
Processed UO2 to produce UCl4 at Tuwaitha Chemical Engineering Research laboratories
To any but the most dull - or more likely, ideologically blinded, partisan - the fact that Niger and Saddam had an ongoing nuclear arrangement spanning over 20 years should have been a red flag, cautioning restraint in any criticism of what Mr. Bush said in his national address.
That such criticism would come from Joseph C. Wilson, an individual [former acting ambassador to Iraq and the man who put together Clinton’s hysteric, $42+ million 1998 Great White Father tour of Africa] with an apparent ideological axe to grind [what diplomat tries to embarrass his president by crafting Op-Ed pieces in the New York Times?] is in no way surprising.
On March 3, 2003 this “career diplomat” wrote the following in an article for The Nation magazine, a lefty wet-dream periodical:
“Then what's the point of this new American imperialism? The neoconservatives with a stranglehold on the foreign policy of the Republican Party, a party that traditionally eschewed foreign military adventures, want to go beyond expanding US global influence to force revolutionary change on the region. American preeminence in the Gulf is necessary but not sufficient for the hawks. Nothing short of conquest, occupation and imposition of handpicked leaders on a vanquished population will suffice. Iraq is the linchpin for this broader assault on the region. The new imperialists will not rest until governments that ape our worldview are implanted throughout the region, a breathtakingly ambitious undertaking, smacking of hubris in the extreme.”
Intemperate language and barely suppressed hostility from an obviously left-biased political operative.
Mr. Wilson is now affiliated with a pro-Palestinian, DC based think tank - again hardly the profile one would expect of one who has dedicated his life to the deft art of international political negotiation.
The audacity of the press to once again engage in a seemingly vain attempt to create a smoking gun to grant the mantle of legitimacy to the cacophonous whining of the "stolen" election crowd is somewhat surprising.
Having failed in the, half-dozen or so, of their most recent efforts has neither decreased their lusty embrace of anything even remotely anti-Bush, nor has it in any way damaged the credibility and historically high approval ratings of the man who sends them into paroxysms of uncontrollable hate.
It smacks of a terrible desperation on their part and is a wondrous and beautiful thing to behold!
©2003 PipeLineMedia, all rights reserved.
NP. This article is otherwise great, and I would love to have as many people read it and burn it into their memories as possible. While only a part or the administration's overall case for military action against Iraq, the entire left is bound and determined to obscess on the smoking WMD gun and ONLY the smoking WMD gun.
There's far more credible intelligence on Saddam's attempts to aquire uranium and the public will know for a VERY long time.
I also need to correct a previous post : I think it might have been El Bodyboy who broke the story on the receipt forgery and DeVillain just ran with it.
Economy: The economy is heavily dependent on the extraction and processing of minerals for export. Mining accounts for 20% of GDP. Namibia is the fourth-largest exporter of nonfuel minerals in Africa and the world's fifth-largest producer of uranium. Rich alluvial diamond deposits make Namibia a primary source for gem-quality diamonds. Namibia also produces large quantities of lead, zinc, tin, silver, and tungsten. About half of the population depends on agriculture (largely subsistence agriculture) for its livelihood. Namibia must import some of its food. Although per capita GDP is five times the per capita GDP of Africa's poorest countries, the majority of Namibia's people live in pronounced poverty because of large-scale unemployment, the great inequality of income distribution, and the large amount of wealth going to foreigners. The Namibian economy has close links to South Africa. Agreement has been reached on the privatization of several more enterprises in coming years, which should stimulate long-run foreign investment.
Unemployment:30% to 40%, including underemployment (Tell Willie Green)
Religons: Christian 80% to 90% (Lutheran 50% at least), indigenous beliefs 10% to 20%
International Disputes: None
Correct. I think I heard that a draft contained Niger but the CIA nixed that specific reference.
Hubris is what wrote this stupidity.
He still hasn't corrected the mistake I noted in post #6 about "the very country mentioned" in SOTU. No country was mentioned in SOTU. He did change "Niger" to "Africa" in the first paragraph.
"I think the best thing would be to actually quote Bush's SOTU -- since hardly anyone does, and people don't even know what he actually said:
"The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa."
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