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Super Bowl 38 pick: Rams over Raiders
Yahoooooo Sporting News ^ | 08/28/03 | Dan Pompei

Posted on 08/28/2003 9:43:12 AM PDT by bedolido

What makes a Super Bowl winner?

The cliche answer is great defenses, and the last three Super Bowl winners -- Tampa, New England and Baltimore -- support that logic. But before the 2000 season, the argument can be made that 12 of the previous 13 Super Bowl winners (the lone exception being the 1990 Giants) were offense-dominated teams.

So great offenses also can win. In fact, it says here great offenses will win this season when the Rams beat the Raiders in the Arena, er, Super Bowl.

What wins Super Bowls are transcendent players who redefine their careers at the ultimate moments. Think John Elway helicoptering to a first down in 1998. Think Joe Montana dissecting the Bengals on the game-winning drive in 1989.

What wins Super Bowls are coaches who give transcendent players advantages by putting them in positions to succeed. Think Jon Gruden and Bill Belichick the last two seasons or, if you prefer, Joe Gibbs in 1988.

Assuming Kurt Warner and Marshall Faulk are healthy and can play as they did two seasons ago, no team has more game changers than the Rams. Some would say it is a big assumption that they will be healthy, but it may be a bigger assumption that two of the most gifted players in the game can lose their gifts so quickly.

This team also has the premier offensive mind in the game. Mike Martz is the coach whom offensive coaches at every level of football study in order to better prepare their teams.

Think Warner throwing beautiful spiral after beautiful spiral on February 1 in Houston, just as he did when he was the NFL's Most Valuable Player in 1999 and 2001. Think Faulk dancing through gaps, around linebackers and by defensive backs. Think Isaac Bruce and Torry Holt bursting out of their breaks, making effortless catches and then running away from everyone.

Think Martz making 11 offensive players look like 18, temporarily paralyzing a defense that can't possibly keep up with so many shifts, motions and personnel changes.

Think Rich Gannon throwing short, precise strikes, each one a dagger, to Jerry Rice, Jerry Porter, Tim Brown, Charlie Garner, Doug Jolley, Teyo Johnson and Tyrone Wheatley. But those short strikes don't hurt as much as Warner's long ones.

Think Rams 34, Raiders 28.

AFC picks

Division winners: Dolphins, Steelers, Titans and Raiders Wild-card teams: Colts and Bills AFC championship: Raiders over Dolphins

NFC picks

Division winners: Eagles, Packers, Bucs, Rams Wild-card teams: 49ers and Giants NFC championship: Rams over Packers

Super Bowl winner: Rams

Award picks Defensive player of the year: DE Jason Taylor, Dolphins Offensive rookie of the year: TE Dallas Clark, Colts Defensive rookie of the year: CB Terence Newman, Cowboys Comeback player of the year: QB Kurt Warner, Rams Coach of the year: Gregg Williams, Bills

Senior writer Dan Pompei covers the NFL for Sporting News. Email him at pompei@sportingnews.com.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Philosophy; US: California; US: Missouri
KEYWORDS: bowl; football; nfl; pick; raiders; rams; super; vicariouslyliving
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I have to admit... I LOVE THIS GUY... He really knows what he's talking about (GO RAMS!)
1 posted on 08/28/2003 9:43:13 AM PDT by bedolido
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To: bedolido
(GO RAMS!)

uhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh..................

GO NINERS!
2 posted on 08/28/2003 9:46:26 AM PDT by WhiteGuy (It's now the Al Davis GOP...........................Just Win Baby !!!)
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To: bedolido
Raiders will not be in the Super Bowl again. They are just too damn old.

As for the NFC Central, the Pack might win the division IF Favre's receivers learn how to catch (they couldn't last year), but don't rule the Bears out. Bears will get a wildcard.
3 posted on 08/28/2003 9:47:16 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo
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To: Thane_Banquo
Watch out for the Vikes!!
4 posted on 08/28/2003 9:48:26 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: bedolido
I love The Sporting News, but their powers of prognostication leave something to be desired. This year, they pick Auburn to be National Champs - seems like a long shot to me. Was it last year or the year before they picked the Lions to win the Super Bowl?
5 posted on 08/28/2003 9:48:34 AM PDT by GodBlessRonaldReagan (where is Count Petofi when we need him most?)
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To: bedolido
WHAT? Where is Cincinnati?
6 posted on 08/28/2003 9:48:59 AM PDT by Hotdog
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To: bedolido
Raiders? I don't think so.
7 posted on 08/28/2003 9:49:54 AM PDT by GSWarrior
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To: bedolido
Are any of these pre-season predictions ever correct?
8 posted on 08/28/2003 9:50:37 AM PDT by My2Cents ("I'm the party pooper..." -- Arnold in "Kindergarten Cop.")
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To: bedolido
I would imagine that the Eagles, Bucs, Giants, Packers, Vikes, Saints, Falcons, and Niners might have a little something to say about that. Warner looked like rattled when he wasn't injured last year, and the O-line and Martz are overrated.

As for the AFC, I think the Titans have one more solid run left in the tank.
9 posted on 08/28/2003 9:51:25 AM PDT by ABG(anybody but Gore) (Dammit Jim, I'm a doctor, not a Tagline!)
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To: Hotdog
WHAT? Where is Cincinnati?

In Ohio.

10 posted on 08/28/2003 9:51:36 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: My2Cents
Are any of these pre-season predictions ever correct?

None that I know of... just fun to post this stuff and watch what happens.

11 posted on 08/28/2003 9:53:35 AM PDT by bedolido (None of us is as dumb as all of us!)
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To: bedolido
Bucs and Dolphins, Dolphins win. You read it here first. Of course, that was my prediction last year too...JFK
12 posted on 08/28/2003 9:54:04 AM PDT by BADROTOFINGER (Life sucks. Get a helmet.)
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To: bedolido
Here's one pre-season prediction that is correct, the Cowboys are going to suck.
13 posted on 08/28/2003 9:54:53 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator
There's a Cincinnati, Iowa too...
14 posted on 08/28/2003 9:56:26 AM PDT by Hotdog
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To: dfwgator
Watch out for the Vikes!!

I'll be sure and check the tabloids and police reports when I can. LOL.

15 posted on 08/28/2003 9:59:01 AM PDT by babaloo999
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To: bedolido
I like the chargers but they are in a division that will beat each other up. The browns are getting better. I also like the dolphins.
I dont think gruden will be able to hold the bucs together. I like the packers and the rams.
So I am gonna root for a charger-packer stuporbowl
16 posted on 08/28/2003 9:59:14 AM PDT by winodog
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To: bedolido
The Rams have a big test in Week 1 against the New York Giants. I predict that this will be a "bellweather" game that will set the tone for the entire season for both teams. If the Rams lose this game, they may be in for a disappointing season.

Something else to consider is that picking a "dome" team to reach the Super Bowl is never a great bet, since these teams usually have to first secure home field advantage throughout the playoffs. I don't care how good the Rams are on paper -- there's no way in hell they're going to win an NFC Championship Game in January in Green Bay, Philadelphia, New York, etc.

17 posted on 08/28/2003 10:01:42 AM PDT by Alberta's Child
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To: dfwgator
The Vikes won't go anywhere as long as they keep relying on Pretty Boy Randy "I play when I want to" Moss to win games. He doesn't care very much who wins as long as he gets paid.
18 posted on 08/28/2003 10:04:58 AM PDT by Thane_Banquo
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To: bedolido
Dolphins in the AFC championship? No way.
19 posted on 08/28/2003 10:11:21 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: bedolido
The Sporting News is published in St. Louis. This might have a wee bit of influence on the pick. Still, the Rams are strong.
20 posted on 08/28/2003 10:12:28 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: winodog
The browns are getting better

On offense maybe but not defense. They couldn't stop a pee-wee league on defense. They were extremely lucky to make the playoffs last season (after which they ditched all of their starting linebackers). They have zero pass rush & a totally inadequate secondary.

And I say all this as a Browns fan.

21 posted on 08/28/2003 10:12:42 AM PDT by gdani
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To: Thane_Banquo
Raiders will not be in the Super Bowl again. They are just too damn old.

I agree...scratch Oakland. Tenn is top choice in my book (IMO-the toughest, most physical team on both sides of the ball in the league) followed by Pitt, Miami, and NE in a tree way tie.

NFC: Eagles.
22 posted on 08/28/2003 10:17:17 AM PDT by mr.pink
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To: Thane_Banquo
As for the NFC Central, the Pack might win the division IF Favre's receivers learn how to catch (they couldn't last year), but don't rule the Bears out. Bears will get a wildcard.

I think the Vikes will climb past the Bears for second in that Div. The Vikes impressed me with the way they finished last year...I had them pegged for the type of team that would just give up and play out the string, but they showed pride and toughness.
23 posted on 08/28/2003 10:21:32 AM PDT by mr.pink
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To: Alberta's Child
Love those Banff photos on your profile, BTW. My college roommate's parents were schoolteachers, and every summer they'd take him and his brother on cross-country car trips, eventually seeing all of the U.S. and Canada.

I asked him what was the most beautiful place he saw on all their travels, and without hesitation he said, "Banff." I have always meant to get up there one day. The kind of place us skyscraper-bound NYers dream of.

TO FOOTBALL: The Giants should have no excuses this year. They have addressed the special teams problems, the offense is high-powered with a motivated and healthy Hilliard added to the Shockey/Toomer/Tiki nexus, and the defense should be dominant.

With Sehorn gone, the secondary is outstanding; the linebacking corps of Barrow/Short/Dhani were FLYING against the Jets; and I'm getting excited about the 2 new guys on the line, Yumeiora and Joseph, plus the return of Hamilton. And the Eagles are weakened...

24 posted on 08/28/2003 10:23:54 AM PDT by Jhensy
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To: bedolido
The Buccaneers will repeat.


25 posted on 08/28/2003 10:25:20 AM PDT by rdb3 (They've read all the books but they can't find the answers...)
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To: bedolido
Martz is showing no reform on his pass whackiness. He hardly uses Marshall Faulk and he loses games because of it. You need to control the clock to control the game and to conrol the clock you must run the football. Martz doesn't like to run the football, that's why they lost in the Super Bowl that's why they stank last season and that's why they're going to continue to stink until he stops believing his own press and start calling a more balanced game.
26 posted on 08/28/2003 10:26:55 AM PDT by discostu (just a tuna sandwich from another catering service)
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To: bedolido
Here's a prediction... ANYBODY beats the Raiders in the Super Bowl.

They may be my team but I'm still waiting for them to actually show up for a clutch game these recent years. Notice that I think they'll get there... they're good at that. They just seem to have a tendency to say "now what?"...
27 posted on 08/28/2003 10:27:02 AM PDT by pgyanke (Die hard Raider fan... will work for consistency...)
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To: bedolido
"I have to admit... I LOVE THIS GUY... He really knows what he's talking about (GO RAMS!)"

Totally clueless. Most writers are picking a repeat winner:


28 posted on 08/28/2003 10:27:59 AM PDT by Beck_isright (Shenandoah and Blue Ridge will re-emerge as the investment of the 21st Century....)
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To: bedolido
JUST WIN BABY ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !
29 posted on 08/28/2003 10:28:11 AM PDT by showme_the_Glory (No more rhyming, and I mean it! ..Anybody got a peanut.....)
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To: pgyanke
My pick for Superbowl 38 is... The Bengals and the Lions... and if that happens, check to see if Hell has frozen over
30 posted on 08/28/2003 10:28:46 AM PDT by bedolido (None of us is as dumb as all of us!)
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To: Thane_Banquo
The Bears took Kordell Stewart, they're doomed. He has a genetic need to throw interceptions. NFC North is a walk for the Pack because they're the only remotely compitent team in the division. The two dumbest pickups of the year were the Bears grabbing Stewart and the Broncs getting Plummer, both quarterbacks stink on ice and no matter how bad their predecessor was these were downgrades.
31 posted on 08/28/2003 10:29:56 AM PDT by discostu (just a tuna sandwich from another catering service)
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To: Hotdog
I believe the Bengals have already been eliminated from the playoff hunt.
32 posted on 08/28/2003 10:31:33 AM PDT by discostu (just a tuna sandwich from another catering service)
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To: bedolido
No friggin way the Dolfish are gonna win the AFC East.

The Pats have solved the running game.

33 posted on 08/28/2003 10:36:11 AM PDT by StatesEnemy
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To: mr.pink
had them pegged for the type of team that would just give up and play out the string, but they showed pride and toughness.

And I think Randy Moss is getting his "head right with ball", I am looking for him to have a monster year. And I am no Vikings fan, I am a Lions fan so I hate the Vikings, but I am objective. The Vikes are my sleeper to win the whole thing.

34 posted on 08/28/2003 10:41:46 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: My2Cents
Are any of these pre-season predictions ever correct?

I'd keep an eye out for who Phil Mickelson put's his money on, his Super Bowl pick does better than most of the "experts" and, gets a nice payday to boot.

35 posted on 08/28/2003 10:42:26 AM PDT by capydick ("We are still masters of our fate. We are still captain of our souls.")
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To: discostu
I believe the Bengals have already been eliminated from the playoff hunt.

Along with Dallas. If you compare this years Cowboys' roster with the 89 team, they actually look even worse than that bunch. 0 and 16 is not out of the question, but watch for them in a couple of years, Parcells will get it turned around just like Jimmy did.

36 posted on 08/28/2003 10:43:50 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator
Parcells won't stick around long enough to get it turned around, being completely unfamiliar with the concept of loyalty he's not into long tenures.
37 posted on 08/28/2003 10:48:59 AM PDT by discostu (just a tuna sandwich from another catering service)
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To: bedolido
Pittsburgh Steelers. Great on both sides of the ball and the first year without Kordell to screw everything up for us.
38 posted on 08/28/2003 10:51:11 AM PDT by Texas Federalist
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To: dfwgator
And I think Randy Moss is getting his "head right with ball", I am looking for him to have a monster year.

When it comes to Randy, I'll pretend like I'm from Missouri...he'll have to "show me". The guys got such tremendous ability.

And I know what you mean about being objective...I'm a Steeler fan but I have to give Tenn it's due.
39 posted on 08/28/2003 10:52:27 AM PDT by mr.pink
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To: bedolido
The Rams suck, and so does their murderess old-whore owner. (Yes, Georgia was indeed a high-priced hooker in her younger days, and she ordered the murder her husband Carrol Rosenbloom).

The Raiders are my team, but I have to admit that they probably hit their peak last year, and after this season's (predicted...by me) debacle will probably have to rebuild.

40 posted on 08/28/2003 10:56:14 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: discostu
Parcells is only interested in getting the ship in the right direction, I think Jerry only wants him there to clear up the mess, then as soon as Jerry thinks things are going in the right direction, he will again take over and hire another patsy for head coach. Jerry doesn't want Parcells around that long either.
41 posted on 08/28/2003 10:56:26 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: pgyanke
hey just seem to have a tendency to say "now what?"...

My take was Oakland walked into a Superbowl streetfight when they were mentally prepared for, and expecting, a coronation.
42 posted on 08/28/2003 10:59:52 AM PDT by mr.pink
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To: dfwgator
Yep, the egomaniac Jones doesn't like the fact that he didn't get full credit for the success of the great Cowboy teams of the early 90's, and he doesn't want that to happen again.
43 posted on 08/28/2003 11:00:02 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: Mr. Mojo
The Rams suck, and so does their murderess old-whore owner. (Yes, Georgia was indeed a high-priced hooker in her younger days, and she ordered the murder her husband Carrol Rosenbloom).

Yeah I know the history. Been a Rams fan since 1955 (I was 11 years old and saw them at the LA Colisiem (sp). Jon Arnett and "Crazy-Legs" Hirsh. I wouldn't call her that name, however, I do think she's ruined a great franchise. Rosenblooms son should've won his lawsuit against her when she took over the team.

As far as the Rams "suck"ing, we'll see. If they stay healthy, I don't think there's a team that can beat them.

44 posted on 08/28/2003 11:01:11 AM PDT by bedolido (None of us is as dumb as all of us!)
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To: Texas Federalist
If Pitt's secondary plays at the same level they did last year they won't get past the AFC champ game....hell, they may not even make it that far.
45 posted on 08/28/2003 11:01:52 AM PDT by mr.pink
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To: Mr. Mojo
Can you tell us how you really feel about Georgia Frontiere?
46 posted on 08/28/2003 11:03:01 AM PDT by TravisBickle (Are you talking to me?)
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To: dfwgator
Parcells is only interested in his own career, a big fat paycheck, and being an active "Hall of Fame" coach. He's overrated, underinspiring, and has repeatedly shown he'd flee a team in midstride for a minor temptation elsewhere. Parcells best skill was in spotting good assistant coaches, unfortunately for him his cadre has jobs elsewhere and aren't joining him in Dallas. Parcells will do two or three years (his standard) and bail leaving the franchise a trainwreck on his way out the door, actually if they show serious signs of going 0-fer expect him to leave in mid-season, having a zero win season will seriously damage his shot at getting in Canton and he won't tolerate that.
47 posted on 08/28/2003 11:03:07 AM PDT by discostu (just a tuna sandwich from another catering service)
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To: bedolido
The Rams are so over. Like a rookie knuckleball pitcher in the Bigs...the rest of the league has them figured out already. They'll be lucky to make the playoffs. Just MHO. But then, I'm a Patriots fan. Did you know the Rams lost to them in the Superbowl? Belichick figured them out. So will everyone else.


48 posted on 08/28/2003 11:03:51 AM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts ()
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To: Texas Federalist
Our secondary didn't get much improvement in the offseason. They won't be able to make a serious run with third rate pass defense. Luckily the rest of the AFC North is in heavy flux so we've got a good chance of making the playoffs, just expect another early exit.
49 posted on 08/28/2003 11:04:34 AM PDT by discostu (just a tuna sandwich from another catering service)
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To: Bloody Sam Roberts
I'm a Patriots fan. Did you know the Rams lost to them in the Superbowl? Belichick figured them out. So will everyone else.

Yeah I lost a bunch of money on that game...

Swine Patriots!


50 posted on 08/28/2003 11:06:10 AM PDT by bedolido (None of us is as dumb as all of us!)
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