[RobFromGa]

Nothing follows.

[Republican Red]

Fred Barnes was discussing this on Special Report tonight. He seems to think that Arnold might be able to entice McClintock to drop out by pledging no new taxes or/and financially backing McClintock for a run at Boxer's Senate seat. Barnes seems to think that the only thing McClintock hasn't had in his past state campaigns is enough financial support. It would be sweet (in my Georgian opinion) to have Arnold win and then have McClintock be set-up to beat Boxer.

[Tamzee]

Her Highness is NOT amused...

[South40]

Mcclintock's up to 13%?

At this rate it'll take him 4 months to take the lead. That's much longer than the "vote-for-Mcclintock-even-if-it-means-a-bustamante-win" crowd said it would take.

What gives?

[JoeSchem]

From a duplicate thread:

"David Dreier, a GOP Congressman from California who is a representative of the Schwarzenegger campaign, just completed an interview on Chris Matthews' "Hardball."

Apparently there a new Field Poll has been completed, but the results have been embargoed until tomorrow.

However, Dreier spilled the beans and gave away the results of the poll.

When will you guys realize that if THEY tell you something, they do it FOR A REASON.

[pgkdan]

What's McClintock's number if Arnold drops out?

[gitmo]

Who conducted this poll? What was the population that was polled?

[KQQL]

08/15/2003 Field Poll

The first public poll since the recall campaign began is out, and for Gray Davis, the news is terrible.
The Field Poll says the recall is ahead
58-37 among likely voters and
57-34 among all registered voters.

VS.

09/09/2003 Filed Poll

Field poll to be released Tuesday:
YES on Recall 55% NO on Recall 40%

[Dave S]

Fox News was reporting tonight that these numbers match up closely with the internal polls taken by both the Republicans and Democrats.

[dalebert]

The Republicans can band together and take the state from the Dems or they can duke it out and let the Dems keep it.

[Momaw Nadon]

Watching this recall election is like watching a train wreck in slow motion.

Bustamante will win if both Schwarzenegger and McClintock remain in the race.

One of those two Republicans must drop out of the race.

Ueberoth needs to drop out. He has no chance of winning, and is siphoning off votes that could be going to either McClintock or Schwarzenegger.

It's painful to see the infighting going on now between supporters of Schwarzenegger and McClintock.

This current infighting will seem like a love-in at tea time when the day comes that members of Free Republic will be pointing fingers at each other about who is responsible for the MEChAs controlling California.

Does nobody else see this coming?

Will Republicans snatch defeat from the jaws of victory?

I've been cringing for a while now.

[HitmanLV]

The Field poll then asked the ballot without McClintock

Bustamante 31% Schwarzenegger 33%

I bet without Uberroth is will be 35-31 or 36-31, making it a much easier night!

[Dave S]

Where is this big McClintock surge that I keep hearing is about to happen. McClintock himself last week said that he had gone from an asterisk to 13% in a week or so and he expected to be over 20% by this week. Guess he found out it takes more than hot air and expectations to rise.

[Gritty]

Bustamante............- 30%
Schwarzenegger....- 25%
McClintock...........- 13%
Ueberoth...............- 7%
others (est)............- 6%
undecided(est).... - 19%
........................._____
total....................-100%

It's the huge number of "undecided" who will decide this contest.

[Congressman Billybob]

Almost a month ago now, I wrote an article on UPI, also on FR, "Nuts and Bolts in California." It laid out the effects on the poll results when the voters faced this most complicated ballot in California history. Here's the summary:

Bustamante's numbers will shrink, because he depends on the maximum proportion of "Palm Beach voters" who will be unable to cast a valid ballot. The smaller polling candidates, McClintock and Ueberoth will be unable to reach their reported percentages, because they have too little money and too few people to cover the polls.

Bottom line: I stay with the prediction that Schwarzenegger will win with a larger percentage of the replacement vote than Davis gets on the recall vote. The replacement question, however, will draw about 7% fewer valid votes than the recall one gets.

Congressman Billybob

Latest column, "We Are Running for Congress -- Maybe," discussion thread on FR.

[Amerigomag]

After reading through this thread it is becomming apparent that Tamsey and many others are frustrated because they have misjudged the nature of this forum.

They can't seem to convince others that Schwarzenegger is an acceptable alternative. Their zeal to succeed is, I fear, frustrated by a false assumption.

The problem for Tamsey et al appears to be that they feel FreeRepublic is a Republican arena. It is not. It is a conservative forum and many if not most on this forum vote their political philosophy, regardless of the candidate's party affiliation or the affect on any political party.

Trying to convince conservatives that a liberal will do is a classic application of the 2nd law of thermodynamics. I suspect that if forum members were polled only a plurality would be registered Republicans.

[Republican Wildcat]

If this is correct, looks like you'd be better off voting 'no' on recall. Keeping a damaged liberal Democrat in office would be better than a strong liberal Democrat.

[DoctorZIn]

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[FrontlinesofFreedom]

The New Nixon? The specter of 1962 haunts Schwarzenegger's campaign.

[Brandon]

It is possible this problem will solve itself. We've been listening for the past two weeks as McC's supporters were claiming he was surging. Now we've got a new Field Poll -- no surge. Survey USA is due out tomorrow. If their numbers more-or-less confirm these, with McC still in the low teens, and Schwarzenegger trailing Bustamante by five points or so, that will be confirmation that McC's campaign has no traction. At that point, even if McC hangs on, it may be that enough of his supporters will do the right thing. At the very least, they may hold off casting absentee ballots until closer to the election. I've certainly seen a lot of people here on FR say they want to vote for McC, but will wait until just before the election for the final polls, to see if he has a chance. If enough people do that, the problem might be solved even if McC doesn't withdraw.