Posted on 04/05/2016 11:46:43 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
With his decisive victory in Wisconsin, Sen. Ted Cruz has not only shaken up the Republican presidential race, but heading into the homestretch, he has suddenly become the odds-on favorite to win the nomination in Ohio.
With 16 primaries and caucuses remaining, Donald Trump has to win 70% of the delegates to secure the 1,237 needed to win a first ballot at the Republican convention. Several states are coming up that are more favorable territory for Trump than Cruz, especially New York and Pennsylvania where Trump still has significant leads.
Even so, winning more than two thirds of the remaining delegates is a daunting challenge for him. In the 36 primaries and caucuses leading up to Wisconsin, Trump won only 46% of the delegates. And now he heads down a tough homestretch with Cruz seizing the momentum.
In a year crammed with surprises, no one can say for sure what will unfold in Cleveland, Ohio. But there are two likely outcomes: First, Cruz and Trump have each vowed to vote against a change in the GOP's Rule 40. That's an obscure provision that requires any candidate to win at least eight primaries and caucuses before he or she can be nominated....
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
So, this must mean that Cruz is favored to win New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island...right? What if he doesn’t...what does that mean?
I see a lot of Trump is done.
I don’t see a lot of how Ted can win.
In 3 weeks Ted with have no path remaining to a clean nomination. None. 0.
David ‘Rodham” Gergin?
Trump will prevail. NY, NJ, CA, PA etc. This is getting ridiculous. Ted NEEDS the contested convention and even then what will the millions (millions more than Ted) of voters do when they see it being taken away from them? Ted’s supporters are going to need to hold their breath and hope for a miracle, while Trump just needs some more wins to get to 1237.
David ‘Rodham” Gergin?
Oops...
David “Rodham” Gergen?
LOL!
You guys are like over excited little girls, now.
As an aside, very telling who you Cruz supporters are citing for solace and reassurance: CNN and David Gergen. Another Cruz supporter posted another story from Salon that dutifully bashed Trump.
Sorry, but you Cruz supporters just do not seem very confident despite what you’re saying.
Sounds like going all-in preflop with 2 - 7 offsuit. #badodds #notgoodforyourbankroll
Before tonight there were 867 delegates remaining. To reach 1237 delegates Trump required 56% of the remaining delegates. To reach 1237 delegates Cruz required 88% of the remaining delegates. After tonight there are 825 delegates remaining. To reach 1237 delegates Trump requires 58% of the remaining delegates. To reach 1237 delegates Cruz requires 89% of the remaining delegates.
Cruz is nearing elimination.
You guys are like over excited little girls, now.
_______________________________________
Have you heard Limbaugh lately? He couldn’t contain himself about the importance and significance of this Wisconsin win for Cruz. Stranne, but he never seems interested in talking about the upcoming primaries in New York, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island. Hmmm?
LMAO. I knew journalists were bad at math, but not that bad. Ted Cruz will be mathematically eliminated by April 26.
David Gergen? LOL. Not even going to brother reading this.
#PainfulEliminations
Wisconsin did not help Tedtanic.
Does the upcoming primaries include the 12 that are supposed to go hillary and ate they open or closed?
All BLUE STATES
Yes, and it will be nice to grab those to go along with the SOUTH.
Even if he had 11 more Wisconsins it wouldn’t be enough, he’d be eliminated. He’s just too far behind.
Last quarter of the championship game. The favorite is up by 61 to 38 points (Trump and Cruz have 61% and 38% of the delegates they need), but the challenger makes a free throw. The challenger is now the “odds on favorite to win”?
Really?
to be fair, Ted had his chance in the south where he should have cleaned up.
He didn’t.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.