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It's down to New Hampshire if this trend continues
538

Posted on 09/20/2016 1:41:31 PM PDT by Sybeck1

I've just started looking at 538 for a couple of weeks now. This is the highest chance of winning Trump has gone since I have been looking at it. He's up 2% since this morning. A lot can change but little New Hampshire is the highest non Trump state but it is up also. Looking at the snake graph at the bottom little NH with the other states and we would be saying President Trump with right over 270 electoral votes. The establishment has got to go scorched earth now.



TOPICS: New Hampshire; Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: newhampshire; trump
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1 posted on 09/20/2016 1:41:31 PM PDT by Sybeck1
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To: Sybeck1

Colorado seems winnable too.


2 posted on 09/20/2016 1:43:33 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Sybeck1

Not giving up on Colorado. The last poll there had Trump up. This is one of those states where Johnson and Stein’s impact will really be felt, hopefully more against Cankles, of course.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/co/colorado_trump_vs_clinton-5751.html


3 posted on 09/20/2016 1:44:03 PM PDT by NohSpinZone (First thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers)
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VA isn’t winnable?


4 posted on 09/20/2016 1:44:16 PM PDT by KavMan
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To: Sybeck1

I predict Trump will win NY too.

Not sure about CA yet.. they are way too nuts


5 posted on 09/20/2016 1:46:15 PM PDT by Mr. K (<a href="https://imgflip.com/i/1adpjl"><img src="https://i.imgflip.com/1adpjl.jpg" title="made at im)
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To: KavMan

Northern VA, Fairfax County, e.g., has turned into a cesspool in recent years due to its proximity to DC and Maryland. I think Trump will do better than Romney but note sure about taking it over.


6 posted on 09/20/2016 1:46:33 PM PDT by NohSpinZone (First thing we do, let's kill all the lawyers)
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To: Mr. K

Trump is up 5 in NM.


7 posted on 09/20/2016 1:47:08 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Trump will win New York.)
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To: Sybeck1

I am (for non-political reasons, obviously) a resident of the People’s Republic of Maryland - a socialist hellhole supported mainly by your federal ta dollars. We are third from the bottom, above only DC (supported by federal tax dollars), and Hawaii (supported by federal military spending and by tourism).

Trump is not going to win my state, I assume, but I’m still not seeing any Hillary signs or bumper stickers. Her fans seem unwilling to admit they are supporting a terminal medical case who refuses to tell the truth even when lying hurts her.


8 posted on 09/20/2016 1:48:56 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: KavMan
In my opinion, VA is stacked with too many gubbermint workers to overcome in the north. Plus the dem gov just gave felons the right to vote.

There is a slight chance though in VA. If Larry Hogan can win in MD and Cuccinelli barely lose in an election where polls wrongly suggested (by design) a blowout, then its possible.

9 posted on 09/20/2016 1:49:42 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: KavMan

I don’t live there, but I know part of it has been invaded by federal employees that mostly vote democrat for their own benefit.


10 posted on 09/20/2016 1:50:29 PM PDT by Rusty0604
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To: NohSpinZone

Mr. Speaker not lifting a finger to help Trump win WI. Then again he couldn’t win his home state when he was on the ballot.


11 posted on 09/20/2016 1:50:40 PM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: KC_Conspirator

There was a recent poll showing Trump doing well in one of the wealthy VA beltway suburbs (Loudoun County). It’s an uphill battle but he’s got a shot in VA, IMO.


12 posted on 09/20/2016 1:52:43 PM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: Sybeck1

We need backup for NH because Red Hampshire may turn away again.


13 posted on 09/20/2016 1:53:05 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Trump-Pence, 2016)
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To: Sybeck1
Nate Plastic's "Who would win the presidency today?" actually has him at 47.9%, which is up from 42ish a few days ago.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

14 posted on 09/20/2016 1:53:11 PM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: EQAndyBuzz

I would be willing to travel there since it’s close if I could help. Or I’ll see if the Trump campaign or GOP has intrastate phone banking like I did last time.


15 posted on 09/20/2016 1:56:16 PM PDT by Rusty0604
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To: Sybeck1

Funny how I keep being told by the Media that Hillary is ahead, but I can barely find Clinton supporters. Although I do see a lot of Trump supports and I live in a liberal area.

Strange too that I see thousands at Trump rallies and Hillary’s rallies are tiny, but were told Hillary, who stole the nomination from Sanders splitting the DNC is winning.

If Hillary wins, then you can rest assured it was stolen and this country is gone.


16 posted on 09/20/2016 1:57:53 PM PDT by Enlightened1
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To: Voluntaryist

That’s how it will end except Trump will win NH and Maines 2nd. For 270.

Colorado, Virginia could be I play too. Hope he doesn’t waste time in PA or MI.


17 posted on 09/20/2016 1:58:14 PM PDT by nhwingut (Trump-Pence 2016 - Blow Up The GOPe)
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To: Sybeck1
That seals it.I'm gonna contact Trump's NH office and offer my services.Maybe I can do transportation to the polls on Election Day.The problem with that is that my car has Massachusetts plates and I can imagine what Rat operatives might make of that.
18 posted on 09/20/2016 1:59:32 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Proud Member Of The "Basket Of Deplorables")
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To: KC_Conspirator

Fairfax county likes Republicans


19 posted on 09/20/2016 1:59:36 PM PDT by personalaccts (Is George W going to protect the border?)
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To: Sybeck1

Look at the trendline... its almost even.

Looks good for Trump. Back in August, Nate gave Hillary a 90% chance of winning.

Its not even October yet!


20 posted on 09/20/2016 2:00:00 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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