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Update: Category 5 Hurricane Rita - Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 1:36:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Category 3 Hurricane Rita became the fifth major hurricane of the 2005 season during the night. Hurricane Rita threaded the needle through the Florida Straits and moved into the Gulf of Mexico. Storm damage in the Florida Keys and South Florida Peninsula was light, with scattered power outages, scattered tornados, and mild to moderate flooding.

Mandatory evacuations are in effect for Galveston County TX and New Orleans. Additional evacuation orders in the Greater Houston Metropolitan Area are anticipated throughout the day.

Crude oil prices reacted as oil producers shut down and evacuated workers from platforms in the Gulf of Mexico.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Eastern Gulf of Mexico
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico

Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Still Image

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; katrina; katrinassister; rita; tropical; twinhurricanes
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To: jacquej

and here's a little tidbit from the King Ranch homepage:

It is a shorter drive between New York and Philadelphia; or Pittsburgh and Cleveland than it is from one end of the Ranch to the other.


1,421 posted on 09/21/2005 11:56:08 AM PDT by Zechariah_8_13 (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
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To: Zechariah_8_13

She has three young boys. When I spoke to her, the one thing I DID know I could tell her was that her travel plans could get delayed and she needed to know if her kids had coverage.


1,422 posted on 09/21/2005 11:56:32 AM PDT by HostileTerritory
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To: Howlin


The Weather channel anyways has now taken North Eastern Mexico and Southwestern Louisiana out of the cone for the eye. It's going to hit the Texas coast folks. Get out if you are near the shoreline.

1,423 posted on 09/21/2005 11:56:41 AM PDT by dogbyte12
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To: dirtboy

Yes and no. The distance from Port Lavaca (west side of Matagorda Bay) to Galveston is the distance from Katrina's center's landfall to Mobile, and they had a 10-20' (depending on the source) storm surge, heavily damaging Dauphin Island.


1,424 posted on 09/21/2005 11:56:45 AM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: Dane
On a much light headed harry reid note, I heard on Rush that harry reid is going to call for hearings of why the response in Texas is so much more organized than with Katrina in Louisiana.

Was Rush joking?

Not that I'd be surprised, but still...

1,425 posted on 09/21/2005 11:57:40 AM PDT by Howlin
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To: LA Woman3
The irony of that statement is Galveston had snow this past December.

That, and the fact that he gave that stupid speech in NYC on the coldest day there in sixty years. You'd think even someone as dense as he would have taken the hint, but alas, he is too far gone even for that.

1,426 posted on 09/21/2005 11:57:54 AM PDT by laz (They can bus 'em to the polls, but they can't bus 'em out of the path of a Cat 5 hurricane.)
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To: jacquej; RDTF

History:

King Ranch was founded in 1853 after Captain Richard King traveled north from Brownsville to attend the Lone Star Fair in Corpus Christi. King’s route took him through the Wild Horse Desert where he encountered the Santa Gertrudis Creek, the first live water he had seen in 124 miles. The creek was an oasis shaded by large mesquite trees and offered protection from the sun as well as cool, sweet water to refresh the traveler.At the Fair, King and a friend of his, Texas Ranger Captain, Gideon K. "Legs" Lewis, formed a partnership to establish and operate a livestockoperation with its headquarters on this Creek.

The land the partnership purchased was the 15,500 acre Mexican land grant known as the Rincon de Santa Gertrudis. King’s first effort to set up a cow camp and tame the Wild Horse Desert was the beginning of a dream he would pursue the rest of his life. In the years since King’s death, King Ranch has been a bellwether of America’s ranching industry - the founder of two major American beef breeds, a producer of some of the all-time top running and performance horses, and a source of technology that has led to many significant advances in livestock and wildlife production and management. Because of this vision, King Ranch is generally recognized today as the birthplace of the American ranching industry. King Ranch continues to play a significant role as a leader in the multinational agricultural business world.


1,427 posted on 09/21/2005 11:57:59 AM PDT by Zechariah_8_13 (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
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To: jacquej

The King Ranch is the largest ranch in Texas, maybe in the US. It used to be the largest in the world. Miles of acreage with nothing but grass, scrub brush, and some tree breaks. Oh, and cattle. Cattle can usually take care of themselves in a storm as long as they don't have to swim out of a flood. They'll know this thing is coming by tomorrow, and they'll head up north away from the coast.


1,428 posted on 09/21/2005 11:58:02 AM PDT by sinkspur (Just west of DFW Airport. We can take in four or five and two dogs.)
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To: laz
May we please try to weaken this hurricane by dropping Gore into the eyewall? Pretty please?

If I have anything to say about it, yes.

1,429 posted on 09/21/2005 11:58:14 AM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: jacquej
King Ranch
1,430 posted on 09/21/2005 11:58:45 AM PDT by RedWhiteBlue
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To: dogbyte12

Ah that little tip in the green is not Mexico:')


1,431 posted on 09/21/2005 11:59:05 AM PDT by CindyDawg (Brownsville Texas)
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To: All

Thanks for the info on King Ranch... never knew about it, and it is impressive!


1,432 posted on 09/21/2005 11:59:18 AM PDT by jacquej
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To: WoodstockCat

The ECMWF model was closest, I believe...which is not one of your choices...


1,433 posted on 09/21/2005 11:59:35 AM PDT by Knitting A Conundrum (Act Justly, Love Mercy, and Walk Humbly With God Micah 6:8)
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To: jacquej
Just curious, because there have been several posts about the King Ranch being the best place for the storm to hit, but I do not know what the King Ranch is, or why it would be the best place.

Look at a map of Texas. See the first bay along the coast up from the southern tip? The southern tip is Brownsville and Harlingen, otherwise known as the Valley. That first bay is Kingsville. And everything between is the King Ranch.

Any hurricane going in just north of Brownsville will strike an undeveloped Padre Island and an entire Texas county that is nothing but ranchland. Bret hit there in 1998, and is the only Cat 4 to hit the mainland US and not have its name retired, because all it did was knock down some ranch structures and kill some cattle.

1,434 posted on 09/21/2005 11:59:44 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drool overflowed my buffer...)
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To: Diddle E. Squat


Hi Diddle E.! Yep, I was concenred about you... thank you for replying.

You nailed Kat's landing and I know you'll nail Rita's too. Please try to remember to ping me to your posts.


1,435 posted on 09/21/2005 11:59:47 AM PDT by onyx (North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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To: sinkspur

Yeah, it's looking like it may head straight for Austin when it comes ashore. Them things can go a long way before they peter out. Katrina went what, almost to New York.


1,436 posted on 09/21/2005 12:00:02 PM PDT by johnb838 (Logic and reason are tools of the white oppressor.)
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To: WoodstockCat
Can someone refresh me on which model was closest on Katrina 3 days out between : GFS,BAM,UKMET or GFDL?

Out of those the GFDL was the best. But the bestest was LBAR.

1,437 posted on 09/21/2005 12:00:36 PM PDT by numberonepal (Don't Even Think About Treading On Me)
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To: Pyro7480

Probably back in the 40s. This kind of season is not unprecedented, no matter what the greens and the rats and the leninists try to spin and sell.


1,438 posted on 09/21/2005 12:01:07 PM PDT by johnb838 (Logic and reason are tools of the white oppressor.)
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To: numberonepal

But for Nagin it was FUBAR


1,439 posted on 09/21/2005 12:01:15 PM PDT by bwteim (Begin With The End In Mind)
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To: NautiNurse

Bump till I get home.


1,440 posted on 09/21/2005 12:01:33 PM PDT by SeeRushToldU_So (It is hotter than two rats screwing in a wool sock in GA.)
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