[neverdem]

I made that comment because if I don't read that HIV is a harmless virus, ala Duesberg, then I get comments that the prevalence of HIV/AIDS is overestimated because of the lack of HIV serology, and that the real numbers are obscured by TB, malaria, etc. Kenya has some real numbers, now.

[conservative in nyc]

I get comments that the prevalence of HIV/AIDS is overestimated because of the lack of HIV serology, and that the real numbers are obscured by TB, malaria, etc. Kenya has some real numbers, now.

Well, the official UNAIDS numbers from the pregnancy sentinel model WERE historically overestimated because of the lack of HIV serology in many cases, and ARE obscured by TB, malaria AND pregnancy (which sometimes causes false positives), since the UN methodology sometimes allowed for a single positive ELISA blood test to be determinative. The ORC Macro/USAID Kenyan methodology required a second test to limit false positives.

The UNAIDS agency has likely been overstating the African AIDS rate for years, in part to justify its own funding.

[dsc]

"I get comments that the prevalence of HIV/AIDS is overestimated because of the lack of HIV serology, and that the real numbers are obscured by TB, malaria, etc. Kenya has some real numbers, now."

If the new, lower numbers are closer to correct, then it seems that it was indeed the case that the real numbers were previously obscured.