Posted on 04/05/2007 8:14:01 AM PDT by Unmarked Package
Latest New Hampshire telephone poll shows Romney's support nearly doubles to 25% to tie McCain; Giuliani trails at 19%
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has rocketed to the top of the field of contenders for the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary crown, running dead even with Arizona Sen. John McCain at 25% each, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows. With Romney’s ascension, the GOP presidential race looks just like the Democratic contest – a three–way battle!
While McCain has held mostly steady at the top of the Republican field in New Hampshire, losing just one point since January, Romney has made the big move up from 13% two months ago. Rudy Giuliani, the former mayor of New York who is the toast of Republican primary voters nationally, finds himself in third place in the Granite State at 19% support, falling slightly from 20% in January to 19% this week.
Fred Thompson, the actor and former senator from Tennessee won 6% support in this latest survey of 502 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters, which was conducted April 2-3, 2007, and contains a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.
Pollster John Zogby: “Score this as a big week for Mitt Romney. These poll numbers, together with the small increase in Iowa and a huge fund–raising effort, puts him into the top tier and makes him a major player in the race for the GOP nomination. John McCain’s support stays steady and makes him a contender and gives him a boost in an otherwise lackluster week. Move over, Rudy. You’ve got a real race on your hands!”
Romney has a slight edge over McCain among men – 27% support Romney while 25% favor McCain. Giuliani gets 19% support among men. McCain wins support from 25% of women, followed by Romney (23%) and Giuliani (18%).
McCain is the favored candidate among younger respondents – nearly half (48%) of those 18-29 said they would vote for the former war hero–turned senator. There is also strong support for Romney among this age group, as 37% said they would support the former Massachusetts governor. Giuliani gets the most support from those age 30 to 49 at (28%) and leads the field over all other candidates among this age group.
Asked about the strength of support for their candidate, McCain shows a slight edge over the other top candidates – 88% of McCain supporters said their backing was strong, compared to 86% of Romney supporters and 85% of those supporting Giuliani.
|
Republicans in New Hampshire – 2007 |
Apr. 3 |
Jan. 18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Romney |
25% |
13% |
|
McCain |
25% |
26% |
|
Giuliani |
19% |
20% |
|
Hagel |
1% |
3% |
|
Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
|
Hunter |
1% |
1% |
|
Paul |
2% |
1% |
|
Brownback |
<1% |
<1% |
|
Tancredo |
1% |
3% |
|
Fred Thompson |
6% |
-- |
|
Tommy Thompson |
<1% |
-- |
|
Not sure |
17% |
15% |
More than half of respondents (54%) said they were more likely to vote for a candidate who is generally more conservative, while 37% said they would favor a more moderate candidate. Romney is the top choice of those who identify themselves as “conservative” and “very conservative”.
The vast majority respondents (85%) said they would be more likely to vote for a candidate who stands up for what they believe in, regardless if they can win the general election. Younger respondents (age 18 to 29) were more likely than older respondents to favor a candidate who will stand by his or her beliefs – 96% in this age group feel this way, compared to 79% of those age 65 and older. Women (89%) are also more likely than men (82%) to say they would vote for the candidate who puts their beliefs first. Overall, 11% said they would rather have a candidate who can win.
Running neck and neck with McQueeg isn’t much of an accomplishment.
Wait, what happened to RUDY?
McCain’s mysterious skin spot is his big opportunity to drop out with his self-respect still in tact. Should he hang on, it’s going to be a slow and painful decline and I don’t have high hope that he’ll go down gracefully... unfortunately.
N.H. Presidential Preference Poll (New Hampshire: it's either Rudy McRomney, or else RON PAUL)
McCain, Giuliani Tied In Poll of New Hampshire GOP (CNN Poll)
McCain, Giuliani tied in poll of N.H. GOP (Rudy, Romney tied at 24 amongst conservative GOP voters)
Check my post #6. All these polls came out yesterday. Now which one is accurate? Zogby or these? We will never know.
...Since the Presidential election of 2000, I think Zogby has been in the trash can as far as predictions....they appear to lean to the left as far as their politics go....IMO
Rudy has peaked. The truth of who he is is spreading. Bye-bye Rudy.
Of course you would say that. But that is to be expected. I don’t see that happening yet though. When it does tell me. I’ll be sure to tell the Americans that are voting for him.
You beat me to it, sorry for the double posting!
Too funny. The GOP cannot win with a pro-abort gun grabber. He is toast.
And this is even BEFORE New Hampshirites found out Mitt is a lifelong hunter! Wow!
Fred Thompson at 6 percent? Don’t they know that he is the salvation of the social conservatives? Why, people think he’s president already because he played one on television. All we have to do is confuse them a little, distort their perceptions of fiction versus reality, and we can get the losers and perverts who outnumber us to vote for a social conservative (wink, wink).
Now that the baseball season has started the Bostonian will never trail the New Yorker in the polls again in New England...
He’s not toast actually. But I guess if its said enough you might think people will believe it. But don’t count on it. I believe you guys said “Stick a Fork in Him” when the first ‘YouTube” Video came out. Didn’t work. And this won’t work either. The American people are not stuck on one issue only.
Good, I consider Romney the only electable one of the three. If Rudy can’t even secure the support of the northeast states, he’s done.
Mitt is IT!
The American people are not stuck on one issue only.Nor is Rudy bad on just one issue. He is a crony of the corrupt Kerik. He is bad on abortion, guns, immigration and more. He toast.
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