Hurricane Dean Live Thread [Now Cat 4]

NOAA/NWS ^ | August 16 2007 | NOAA/NWS

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane warnings have been issued for Dominica and St. Lucia as Hurricane Dean races westward into the Caribbean Sea at 24mph. This motion should bring the center of Dean near the Lesser Antilles on Friday. The increased forward speed of the storm has lessened preparation time for Caribbean Islands in its path. Hurricane Dean has favorable conditions to develop into a major hurricane over the next several days.

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Category	Wind Speed	Barometric Pressure	Storm Surge	Damage Potential
Tropical Depression	< 39 mph < 34 kts			Minimal
Tropical Storm	39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts			Minimal
Hurricane 1 (Weak)	74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts	28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more	4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m	Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2 (Moderate)	96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts	28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb	6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m	Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3 (Strong)	111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts	27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb	9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m	Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4 (Very strong)	131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts	27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb	13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m	Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5 (Devastating)	Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts	Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb	Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m	Catastrophic building failures possible

[prairiebreeze]

Yes I remember that about the bottom 1/4 of the tank. Thanks for the other info.

[Pebcak]

Lowes up here had moved the hurricane prep items to the front of the store and also moved the prices up, too.

FYI for Vally-ites, water is already disappearing from Walmart. If you need it, get it now.

[CindyDawg]

I’m going at midnight.

[Pebcak]

You’re probably going to get it a lot worse than we are, if it comes this way. We’ll hold you and your family in our Prayers. RVGTx also.

The infamous storm dog stopped running in and out when Erin turned north. I’ll ping you guys when and if she starts again.

Midnight shopping is a darned good idea!

[rwfromkansas]

True; the more it tracks north, the more likely the low may catch it, so it does bear watching. But, of the hurricanes that have tracked in its area, it has historically either been Mexico or a recurve way northeast toward Florida, so we will see what actually does transpire.

[RGVTx]

Batteries, canned chicken, ham, and tuna. Bottled water and soft drinks. Some of the dollar stores are like mini grocery stores.

[RGVTx]

Hubby is at McCoys buying plywood for clients. His list of homes to board up is getting longer. McCoys said plywood is selling fast. They will get more plywood stocked by Monday but the price will be higher than today.

Thanks for your prayers. Sending my prayers to all in the path of this storm.

I’ll be here to report on conditions as the storm approaches. I’ve got wireless and wireless mobile, so hopefully, I’ll be able to stay online. Motorhome is ready for evac. Hope we don’t have to leave!

Glad Emily is getting some rest before Dean winds her up again...lol!

[mjwise]

CLP5 is not really a computer model in the same way that the others on that list are. It is more an aggregation of historical storm tracks. It’s very unlikely Dean could make that sort of movement - there’s a big honkin’ high pressure squatting over the southeast that won’t allow that movement. It’s sort of a baseline for measuring how good a computer model is, because generally the CLP5 is quite poor. I wouldn’t put any weight on it at all.

[shield]

Nope, finally landfall will be northeastern Mexico...

[I got the rope]

It looks like it made a slight turn west now....straight for Jamaica.

[CindyDawg]

Thanks. Even on a regular Sat, I stay away from that place. I think this is tax free day too.

[CindyDawg]

Mine went grumbling earlier to McCoys. He’s also one of those “fix anything” guys. Gets him in trouble every year. We cut boards and then he uses them for something else during the year.

[CindyDawg]

I might check it out. I have plenty of food but I’m sure I can find something I didn’t know I needed:’)

[eyedigress]

You are very good at keeping folks abreast of the Oceans Storms. Folks should heed the dissemination of information which you gather, and warnings which follow. (esp a cat 4 or ^). :^)

[CindyDawg]

I lost internet the last time we had a tropical storm. This year if we get visited, I’ll call my sister and maybe she will post for me.

[ichabod1]

A moose bit my sister once.

[RGVTx]

Our plywood is marked for each window and kept stored and ready. Makes it easier and faster to board our home. It’s all the other homes he has to board that becomes worrisome. He just returned with 20 sheets of plywood for clients’ homes.

[NautiNurse]

Thanks for your kind thoughts. Much appreciated.

[RGVTx]

It’s comforting to hear what’s going on around me during these hurricanes. Tell your sis I’d appreciate her assisting you with reports should you lose your internet.

[smug]

I had 220 running throughout my house. Fried the TV...

Had that happen after Hugo too. Hugo got the downstairs kitchen appliances. Crews borrowed from Atlanta got the upstairs kitchen appliances.