Posted on 02/20/2008 12:46:28 PM PST by Responsibility2nd
Allow me a dose of hardened market realism concerning Barack Obama’s landslide victory in Wisconsin. The race is over. Hillary Clinton is over. Her electability is over. Bill Clinton’s political invincibility is over. The Clinton Restoration is over.
It’s over.
Obama got to the far left faster than Hillary did. He out-organized her, out-fundraised her, out-speechified her, out-hustled her, out-dressed her, and out-presidentialed her. He outbid Hillary for votes, one promised government check at a time. His 17-point margin of victory in Wisconsin was incredible. It says he can’t be stopped.
Outside of the whacko ultra-left Madison college population, which is even worse than the Ohio State population, Wisconsin is a lot like Ohio. And Ohio campuses will go for Obama. Think faculty voters, grimly determined for a left-wing takeover of America “from the bottom up,” to use the Saul Alinsky community-organizer phrase. As goes Wisconsin, so goes Ohio.
Not even Hillary’s last-minute bashing of business, free trade, and free-market capitalism — which was a complete repudiation of her husband’s presidency — could save her. Obama got there first, with a style and elegance that Hillary simply couldn’t match.
And it came out of nowhere. On the eve of the Wisconsin primary, Hillary did a hard-left imitation of John Edwards’s populist and demagogic soak-the-rich rhetoric. She trashed some of the greatest businesses in America — oil, credit-card, insurance, and pharmaceutical firms. Wall Street and lending firms. It all must have come as quite a shock to the alumni of the Bill Clinton White House who are working for her campaign.
Robert Rubin may have been too busy tending to Citigroup’s sub-prime collapse to keep Hillary on the reservation. But where were Wall Street’s Roger Altman and Washington’s Gene Sperling when Hillary discarded the pinstripes for the polyester lefty-union pantsuit?
Bashing business comes naturally to Obama. But for Hillary it was a complete failure. Exit polls from Wisconsin say the trade protectionists went with Obama. Union members? Obama. People who think the economy’s in trouble? Obama. Folks who don’t think it’s in trouble? Obama. People making less than $50,000 a year? Obama. More than $50,000 a year? Obama.
And it only gets worse.
Voters went with Obama on healthcare by 8 points, on the economy by 16 points, and on Iraq by 20 points. Churchgoers and non-churchgoers went with Obama. Most qualified to be commander-in-chief? Obama. College degree or no college degree? Obama. Democrats, Republicans, and independents went with Obama. So did blacks and whites.
White women did in fact lean toward Hillary, by a small 52 to 47 percent margin. But Hillary only got 31 percent of the male vote while tying the female vote. White males? They went with Obama by a full 29 points.
Obama won both married men and women, and he tied on unmarried women — a heretofore Hillary stronghold. Most likely to unite the country? Obama, by almost 30 points. Most interested in improving relations with the rest of the world? Obama, 56 to 40.
You think these trends are going to change in Texas, Ohio, and Pennsylvania? I don’t — no matter what last-gasp neutron-negativism tactics the Clinton team employs.
Bash Obama for plagiarizing Deval Patrick? That negativism backfired. Go after Michelle Obama’s incredible anti-American speech? Women are coming ’round to Obama, so try again. Go super-negative over the next two weeks? That’ll mean Obama beats Hillary by 35 points instead of 20. Lift the sanctions on the Michigan and Florida delegates? That’s an Obama trump card. Bribe or rent the super-delegates? Make my day, Obama is thinking.
If Hillary wants to preserve her career as a professional politician her best bet is to pull back in Texas and Ohio as a prelude to withdrawal. Bill will say no, ’cause his career is even deader than hers. But Hillary has more class than her husband. She also has some vague sense of reality — of the difference between right and wrong.
The Intrade pay-to-play prediction market showed Obama with a 10 point gain after Wisconsin, giving him an insurmountable 81 to 19 lead. It’s as if Hillary has suddenly become a steeply inverted yield curve, with a rapidly declining credit rating and a liquidity pool that’s quickly drying up. She won’t be able to raise two wooden nickels going forward. Not even Bill can raise enough money in Dubai to keep her out of bankruptcy.
The market has officially pulled the plug on Hillary, terminating her campaign. What’s left for her now is to muster some grace, humility, and character and begin the process of pulling out. To do otherwise will destroy the Democratic party, and what’s left of the Clintons’ badly tarred and tattered reputation.
Oh noes! Don’t stop her! Goad her on! More fun that way!
No, it’s not a duplicate. I’m just linking the two discussions together, since they both refer to Kudlow’s analysis on this line (mine to the Corner item, yours to the follow-up article).
Yup. B. Hussein will end up in Ft. Marcy Park, three gunshots to the back of the head — an apparent suicide — and no questions will be posed to the Clintons.
He says he ain't gonna put a check-mark for any of these three, but will vote to try and have a positive impact on the House and Senate. I am sure leaning that way with him.
Exactly. We want her to win either Ohio or Texas, but not both. Just enough to keep the fun going.
He should probably stay off the balcony.
Most analysts say she must win all three, and not by a small mrgin.
Yes. Hillary’s fatal mistake was trying to run a general election campaign in a Democratic primary. She knew that if she veered too hard left, the nomination would be worthless in the general election. She tried to juggle all of it and failed.
There will be little or no violence. People riot and burn things down when it is hot outside. It is cold in November in most parts of the country.
I’ve been posting the heyword “itsover” on many, many threads today. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/keyword?k=itsover
I think today - 02/20/2008 - is the point of no return for the Hillary campain. If we can point to the one day when we can say regarding the Clinton 2008 campain that “it’s over”, then this is the day.
Hallelujah!
They might then stay home in droves.
LOL! That’s about like saying cat poop smells better than horse poop.
Purrfect!
Have you been reading the replies on this thread of places Obama should avoid?
Ft. Marcy Park
Hotel kitchens
Balconies.
On and on.
Someone should post a separate thread. The mods would “No thanks” it, but still....
It’d be a laff!
If so, that is a very nice birthday present for me.
McCain looks tired, he's an old man with cancer. And quite a few people will compare the (relative) youth and vigor of Obama to grandpa and go with Obama. Not saying it's right, just making an observation.
That’s such a good comment.
Time to update my tagline
We all know horse poop smells better :)
Don’t sugarcoat it Larry, tell us what you really feel! :-)
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.