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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: Royal Wulff; texasredtop

No Dude... Red Top has been upfront ALL DAY about where she is..

You, are late to the “party”....


1,061 posted on 09/12/2008 2:12:06 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: MeekOneGOP; devolve; ntnychik; PhilDragoo; dixiechick2000; STARWISE; NautiNurse

Prayers for your Dad Meek. I’m not replying to pings as I’m two days backed up, lol.

My Brother, in the Nassau Bay area, issued a report that a 20 ft surge is expected there and ALL homes in that area will be flooded! They are shutting down the city offices. His home is right across the street from the bay by Koema [sp?]

CNN reserved 18 rooms in a local motel here in Victoria and Port Lavaca is under mandatory evacuation. On the Houston channel 11 they said homes have already collapsed just from the water surge. I assume those are in the Galveston area.

I have not been reading on the thread so this may all have been reported already.

I am boarded up and ready for what ever I get here. Prayers for all and thanks for all good wishes.


1,062 posted on 09/12/2008 2:12:22 PM PDT by potlatch ("OUR LIVES BEGIN TO END THE DAY WE REMAIN SILENT ABOUT THE THINGS THAT MATTER")
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To: Royal Wulff

It’s always suspect when a newbie shows up in the middle of some big event and makes big claims........ I’m about 50 miles inland and will openly admit I’m afraid of this storm. We won’t have to worry about coastal flooding, but if the predicted winds hit us we are going to be in for a rough night.


1,063 posted on 09/12/2008 2:12:43 PM PDT by WhyisaTexasgirlinPA (The only difference between Obama and Osama is BS......)
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To: wolfcreek

that is pretty good agreement for the models, I think


1,064 posted on 09/12/2008 2:12:54 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: Moose4

I’m really going to miss “Miss Kitty’s Purple Cow” at Surfside.. Greatest GREASY BURGERS in the world..


1,065 posted on 09/12/2008 2:13:29 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA

Maybe someone should make a graphic of where the Freepers are who are in the area of Ike.


1,066 posted on 09/12/2008 2:13:32 PM PDT by pnz1
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To: ghost of texasredtop
I’m just turning the tv back on.

There's television on The Other Side?

Are the commercials as bad as they are here?

1,067 posted on 09/12/2008 2:13:50 PM PDT by backhoe (For a Real Change, Vote Palin)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...
Ike is located about 135 miles SE of Galveston Bay. Moving NW
at 12 mph. Flooding in coastal MS, LA occurring with Ike
hundreds away from the affected areas.

Coastal storm surge flooding of up to 20 feet with a few spots to
near 25 feet above normal tides along with large and dangerous
battering waves can be expected near and to the east of where
the center of Ike makes landfall.

Winds 105 mph, 955 mb.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

1,068 posted on 09/12/2008 2:14:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Palin won more votes in her Wasilla Mayoral race than Biden got in his 2008 Pres run)
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To: AFPhys

When I copied that gif, it was totally different. They changed it before I posted it. STG

Everything is a little weird right now.


1,069 posted on 09/12/2008 2:15:21 PM PDT by wolfcreek (I see miles and miles of Texas....let's keep it that way.)
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To: Fatuncle; AFPhys

Interesting. I went and filled up our van today and gas at our usually high local station was DOWN 5 cents from yesterday, in NYS.

I called mr. mm and told him to fill up on the way home.


1,070 posted on 09/12/2008 2:15:21 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: SomeCallMeTim

“I’m really going to miss “Miss Kitty’s Purple Cow” at Surfside.. Greatest GREASY BURGERS in the world..”

Nope SW Tookies at Nasa Road 1 :)


1,071 posted on 09/12/2008 2:15:37 PM PDT by Syntyr (Voss and Woodway 77057)
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To: nwctwx

For the last three days at least the NHC forecasters have all stated Ike would strengthen during the last 12-24 hours of approaching the coast. Somewhere I saw it suggested there is some historical precedent for that in hurricanes approaching TX. I’ve seen no good reason other than that for their intensity call, though.

If Ike got organized, they’ll certainly be right.

As far as the surge goes, though, it no longer matters.


1,072 posted on 09/12/2008 2:16:25 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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Comment #1,073 Removed by Moderator

To: Syntyr
Nope SW Tookies at Nasa Road 1 :)

Also a good spot! :-) Probably, also GONE!

1,074 posted on 09/12/2008 2:17:02 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: WhyisaTexasgirlinPA

I am about 75 miles north of Galveston on I-45 and I am getting a tad nervous myself, especially since they began talking about the storm heading north along I-45.


1,075 posted on 09/12/2008 2:17:15 PM PDT by SaveTheChief (Chief Illiniwek (1926-2007))
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To: NautiNurse; All

(Repost)

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/texas-news-coverage-hurricane-ike

Texas news coverage Hurricane...
Live Stream


1,076 posted on 09/12/2008 2:17:43 PM PDT by maggief (Read my lip-stick!)
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To: nwctwx

http://www.khou.com/video/news-index.html?nvid=282028

An update from Dr. Neil Frank.


1,077 posted on 09/12/2008 2:18:11 PM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: jeffers

good to see you :) Been in and out- trying to catch up now on this damn storm.


1,078 posted on 09/12/2008 2:18:32 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
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To: ghost of texasredtop

Since you’re “over there” now..... could you please ask my Mom if she’s proud of me???

;-)


1,079 posted on 09/12/2008 2:19:01 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( When you find yourself going through Hell, keep going!)
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To: potlatch
His home is right across the street from the bay by Koema [sp?]

Kemah

1,080 posted on 09/12/2008 2:19:18 PM PDT by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun.)
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