Posted on 09/25/2008 10:06:04 AM PDT by Chet 99
Some of them are (well, most of them are, and virtually every media poll is), but not Gallup. This is the only one that I trust even to be in the ballpark of accuracy, although I also like to follow Rasmussen as a reality check of sorts.
FWIW, I read on an earlier thread today that Obama looked really bad and shaken today when giving his address to the Clinton Global Initiative this morning. The posts said he looked off his game. Again, FWIW.
If you take out the ABC/Wash Post poll (that had over 20% blacks in their sample and a 3:2 Dem to Rep ratio), the average is Obama by 2.5 (a statistical tie)
Fixed.
Oh for... Political races do not fluctuate this radically day to day.
I’m beginning to think people saying they don’t know how to poll this year are accurate.
I’m just going to average RASS and Gallop together. I’m staying with my opinion that this race is tied and the debates matter.
Excellent news.
Can you imagine the result if you got to vote separately for Prez and VP? McCain might still squeak in, but Palin would win 70-30 over Biden.
Sheeh! These polls are a manic-depressives delight. He’s up (Yay!). He’s down (OMG!). He’s up (whew!).
This and every election is all about motivation and *turnout*. I don’t know about others, but I’m totally jazzed this year about voting.
Let’s make a vow to never again second guess McCain’s shrewd moves, those that the rats call Hail Marys. Obviously, he has the BEST minds on his side, and his gut instinct is, so far, spot on.
“OBVIOUS OUTLIER CBS Poll ...”
I think you mean ABC/Wash Post. The last CBS poll was O+2, I believe.
Holy Bejeezers BATMAN!!!!!!!
The Washington comPost/ABC poll was so filled with crappola everyone knew it was phony.
Even so, the pollsters are still weighting the dems 10% more than repubs.
Just beware the addition of a special sauce, i.e; an extra percentage of african americans.
Yesterday, the DC gambit, was the 24th. So, depending on when during the day people were polled, it could have had an impact on 1 of the 3 days included in the sample.
“Something isn’t right about these polls.”
Ya think?
In 1988, Dukaka was ahead of Bush1 by 17% nationwide. But in the election, Dukaka lost to Bush who won 40 states! LOL
These polls are the last gasp of Obonker’s media campaign connection.
well Said. And I think Gore was ahead late in 2000 also.
November 4th can’t get here quick enough.
The scary thing is, the election is going to be decided by people who have trouble making up their minds.
TelePrompTer was on the fritz. In other words, the "training wheels fell off the bike".
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