Posted on 11/02/2008 12:30:36 PM PST by Retired Greyhound
On a brief jump flight from Philadelphia to Scranton, McCain adviser Charlie Black and Kansas Sen. Sam Brownback came back to talk up the campaign's conviction that the glass if half full. "Four years ago at this point, George W. Bush was down five points in Iowa," Brownback said. "Today John McCain is down one point in Iowa."
He was citing an unreleased internal McCain campaign poll of the state, which was completed last Thursday, said Black. (The campaign stopped doing its own polling after Thursday, he added, because television time through the election all had to be purchased by Friday.) However, public polls in Iowa suggest that McCain is still in a big hole. Last week, the Des Moines Register poll, which has a good record of prediction in that state, put McCain's deficit at 17 points, with Barack Obama garnering 54 percent of the support.
"McCain is in a good position to win every red state," Black said. "Plus he is probably going to win Pennsylvania and Iowa." Polls have narrowed sharply in Pennsylvania in recent weeks, though Obama still has a sizable lead of 7 points in the Real Clear Politics average. Black said he had seen a poll recently that showed McCain tied in the Philadelphia suburbs, a crucial swing region of the state.
(Excerpt) Read more at swampland.blogs.time.com ...
McC will win ALL the Bush states? I don’t see him with a prayer in NM or CO.
And the ACORN factor in OH has me worried too.
I have to call BS on that one. LS can tell you that they don’t fool around on internals, they want to know EXACTLY where they stand. They don’t need something to make them feel better. Internal polling is done by third parties without a dog in the fight to get the real sense of where the candidates stand.
Case in point, I am sure we’ll find out after the fact, that Obama’s camp realized about two weeks ago that they were losing their edge with women. That is why the 150K Palin wardrobe story was blasted on the news at the EXACT SAME TIME that Obama went to see “dying” grandma. It was an attempt to stem the tide with women. Likewise, the stage Halloween photo op with his kid the other night was the same deal. Inside the Obama camp, they know that they don’t have enough support to win.
Outside, they are keeping the facade, hoping that they can suppress turnout on the GOP side. But I guarantee you, they know they don’t have enough to win. And I believe the McCain camp knows they really do have enough to win if the base shows up. Sarah Palin “guaranteeing” victory in PA last week wasn’t a fluke.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
I’m not surprised this adviser’s pronouncement, but I am surprised at the omission of NH and WI. And if McCain/Palin win IA, then MN and MI should be right there as well.
I have been all over the Philly suburbs with a friend the last two months, and based on our observations, admittedly a completely unscientific measurement, surprisingly, campaign signs for McCain/Palin appear to be in the greater majority, and thus I would believe Obama/McCain are at least tied in the Philly subburbs.
Still praying for a victory Tuesday!!! Obama MUST NOT win!!!
My vote will be offset by multiple fraudulent ACORN votes....I know they even bussed in mentally handicapped voters to Cleveland Election Hqtrs., filled their ballots out, and had them sign....(Heard from a WITNESS to such actions).
Supposedly Carter’s internal pollsters told him he was toast on the Friday before the election in ‘80, even though the public polls had him slightly ahead.
Just vote and screw the lackadaisical following of the agenda of the biased machine of the media.
The media whores will start calling this election when the polls close on the east coast for BHO...don’t be fooled...it’s McCain’s all the way......
Absolutely right, watch the Philly fraud. Didn’t one Philly ward record a 105% voter turnout in a recent election?
Why don’t you and your wet towel take the day off.
Your premise is correct. But the media will start spinning and being ‘careful’ if things look good for McCain. That will be the indicator that we are going to win - that the media doesn’t call Obama the clear winner by 9pm.
Also, look for those annual lawsuits to keep polls open in heavily black areas in Ohio, PA, VA and such. If you see those spring up in states that should be safe for Obama it means he knows he’s in trouble.
Is anyone concerned they stopped internal polling on TH?
By going until Monday, they could adjust some last-minute things.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
“Hate to say I told you so but . . .
“Congratulations, President . . . McCain” (Congratulations, President McCain”
You sure are confident...You are going to take a lot of heat if we lose. :( I hope the heck you are right. :)
These are your basic Democratic/Union/tradesmen guys with calloused hands.
Out of a couple of hundred guys, I found one (1) Obama supporter. They're all supporting McCain.
And this was in Boston.
it makes sense, but we always see leaks of internal polls showing good news for each side every election.
One of the polls has to be wrong. Of course, they are cherry-picking some stuff for public perception, so maybe you are right.
the REAL internal polls have to be accurate. They pay a lot of money for them, after all.
Amen bro! That's exactly what we did.
Here in Scott county Iowa, early voting is still a relatively new thing (I think since 2000). The head of the county electioneers said that 38% of the registered voters in the county had already voted.
I don't see NH as a problem either. It's an excellent opportunity for a win. I just don't understand why this adviser didn't add it to the equation of blue-state wins.
Very impressive.
Only one Obama supporter in a union watering hole in Boston.
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