Posted on 11/14/2008 10:20:53 AM PST by RobinMasters
Karl Rove has a rosy assessment of the GOP's chances in 2010 in today's WSJ. An excerpt:
History will favor Republicans in 2010. Since World War II, the out-party has gained an average of 23 seats in the U.S. House and two in the U.S. Senate in a new president's first midterm election. Other than FDR and George W. Bush, no president has gained seats in his first midterm election in both chambers.
Since 1966, the incumbent party has lost an average of 63 state senate and 262 state house seats, and six governorships, in a president's first midterm election. That 2010 is likely to see Republicans begin rebounding just before redistricting is one silver lining in an otherwise dismal year for the GOP.
In politics, good years follow bad years. Republicans and Democrats have experienced both during the past 15 years. A GOP comeback, while certainly possible, won't be self-executing and automatic. It will require Republicans to be skillful at both defense (opposing Mr. Obama on some issues) and offense (creating a compelling agenda that resonates with voters). And it will require leaders to emerge who give the rig
(Excerpt) Read more at media.nationalreview.com ...
Listen to what strategy Rove and his fellow GOP appartchiki are advocating: Fresh, new packaging for the same Bushonomics we've had for the last eight years and doing a better job at getting the message out.
Here's a news flash, Karl: When what the GOP is offering is just democrat party lite, voters will default to the real thing every time. If you really want to win, get back to your conservative roots. It works every time.
Which is because Karl Rove hadn't yet burst on the scene and Bush was still locked up in rehab somewhere.
Anybody know whether there’s a log being kept right from the start as to what campaign promises the president has broken/will break? Not assumptions or b.s. on “what he’s gonna do”, but hard data on what he said and how he broke each promise?
Rove has jumped the shark in my book. He’s just trading on his past success in a quirky environment — trying to build up the ‘stash’ when the SHTF.
Because they were in the majority, for the last two elections Republicans had more senators at risk, like 22 vs 12 Dems in this election. In the coming elections in 2010, 2012, 2014, it will be more Democrats up for re-election, plus the Obama regime will strip 3-5 current entrenched Democrat senators from the ranks (Obama, Biden, and Hillary, and maybe a couple more).
As Reagan said, our job isn’t to run toward the middle or the ethnic groups - it’s to bring them over to your side. There are no “moderates” in the middle that the Republicans have to shift left toward. These “moderates” are for the most part those not engaged in or observant of political activities. They are the mindless “Jay-walkers” that Jay Leno plays up regulary, who couldn’t even tell you who’s running unless it’s on MTV or YouTube. They are easily persuadable with a good message. Republicans lately just haven’t been good at messages. Paris Hilton did a better commercial along these lines than the McCain geniuses did.
Following Rove and these other clowns who say that the path to victory is in the middle have a record of defeat. Ronald Reagan who said we should emphasize our differences in “bold colors”, not “faint pastels” won every time.
I definately agree, run as principled conservatives, not RINO’s.
Karl, we want Conservatives, not RINOS.
Rove is a legend in his own mind. He lost Congress and he split the party with his strategy of trying to co-opt Dem issues such as amnesty, precription drugs, education, etc.
LOL
E Cartman?? Eric is my favorite Character on SP. Inside us we all have an Eric that wants to be completely self centered and fool people to get what we want, but we can’t for many reasons. So we watch SP.
If these were normal times, he would be right. Unfortunately these are not normal times because there will be a firmy entrenched democrat dictatorship in two years.
He is a man who can spend hundreds of millions of contributed dollars to no perceptible effect. Many depend upon his psychic, nay clairvoyantly accurate, prediction that "Latinos are the Republicans of the Future." Who, I ask you, can forget his memorable handling of GW's election against Gore, in which he turned a potentially boring landslide for Bush into an intensely fought, thrilling cliff-hanger that wound up in court? All of this on a tight, $1/2 Billion budget. And those GW commercials? Who else could have chosen a Democrat ad agency to make them?
Wadda guy!
So which 33 or so Senators are up in O ten?
It’d be nice if Rove would stop saying that Bush won 44% of the Hispanic vote in 2004. He did not. That figure was not only later corrected by the exit polling company that provided it on election day, it was also thoroughly debunked from analysts on both the Left and Right.
Bush most likely won 38-40% of the latino vote in 2004; good for a Republican, but at the same time a standard double-digit blow out.
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