“HCR had a ‘slightly’ negative effect”
Slightly ? SLIGHTLY???
Yup just as there will be a ‘slight’ smackdown in November.
Man, people need to be brutalized before they start to think for themselves rather than just believing what they are told on the boob tube. About time.
The shift toward Republicans raises the possibility that the healthcare bill had a slightly negative impact on the Democrats’ political fortunes in the short run.
Gee, Ya think!?!
Zero will not be happy about this.
We haven’t even gotten to cap and tax yet.
gallup just sux out loud.I bet they played hell fudging the numbers just to get this close.
Registered voters, not "likely" voters. Likely voters are the correct sample. You generally have to add about 2-3 pts to a "registered voters" poll in a regular election. For an off year with an unpopular President, a lousy economy, an energized GOP, an apathetic Democrat base, and high levels of voter frustration, you probably need to add 5-7 pts. to the GOP total.
Just a teeny weeny impact...
“The shift toward Republicans raises the possibility that the healthcare bill had a slightly negative impact on the Democrats’ political fortunes in the short run.”
If Gallup had the courage to make it likely (rather than registered) voters it would be interesting to see how “slightly” the “negative impact” might be.
If the Republicans can not turn this into an historic landside, then they are too stupid to continue to exist as a party.
Only slightly?
*sigh*
I guess we should all get used to the socialist state taking over. :(
From Rasmussen Reports:
Tuesday, March 30, 2010Rasmussen nails it.Support for candidates from both parties surged following Congress' passage of the national health care plan, but Republican candidates still hold a seven-point lead over Democrats in the latest edition of the Generic Congressional Ballot.
A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 46% would vote for their district's Republican congressional candidate, up three points from last week, while 39% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent, up four points from the previous survey.
Voter support for Democrats is at its highest level measured since early December 2009, while GOP support matches the highest level measured since weekly tracking began in early April 2007.
Forty-five percent (45%) of voters not affiliated with either major party now prefer the Republican candidate, while 25% like the Democrat. Unaffiliated support for Republicans held steady from last week, but support for Democrats is up six points from the previous survey.
One week after President Obama signed the health care bill into law, 54% of the nation's likely voters favor repealing the it.
Following passage of the health care bill, Obama experienced a modest bounce in support in the Rasmussen Reports daily President Tracking Poll. But his support came primarily from increased enthusiasm among Democrats, while the views of GOP voters and unaffiliateds were largely unchanged.
Two weeks ago, Republicans posted a 10-point lead on the Generic Ballot, their biggest margin in nearly three years of weekly tracking. GOP candidates started 2010 ahead by nine points, while support for Democrats fell to its lowest level over the same period. Towards the end of 2009, Republicans enjoyed a more modest lead over Democrats, with the gap between the two down to four points in early December. Still, since the beginning of the year, the Republican lead hasn't dipped below seven points.
Throughout the fall and winter of 2008, support for Democratic congressional candidates ranged from 42% to 47%. Republican support ranged from 37% to 41%. When Obama was inaugurated in January 2009, Democrats enjoyed a seven-point advantage on the Generic Ballot.
The two parties were very close on the Generic Ballot throughout the spring of 2009, but in late June - around the same time Democrats began their campaign for health care reform -- Republicans pulled ahead for good.
Don't get complacent though.