Posted on 07/03/2010 2:51:17 PM PDT by Brices Crossroads
I suspect it helps Palin to this extent. Since she has already been vetted, no one will find anything to derail her. If she wins Iowa and SC, her momentum will make her unstoppable anyway. If someone else scored a win, their record and integrity would be scrutinized and they could be taken down. It hurts Mittens the most because it makes his money advantage less significant.
Ping! Please ping the entire Palin list.
They still need to close the primaries.
GOP primaries should be closed to all but registered GOP members. No more candidates like John McCain getting the nomination.
This is completely meaningless as long as we keep letting non-republicans choose our nominee. States in which anyone can vote for our nominee guarantees another Bush, Dole, Bush, McStain, and now Romney.
Thanks for the window dressing GOP
1
“””Palin Ping List”””
pinged the list
This looks like it will actually help big money candidates. By forcing campaigns to run nationally it prevents someone getting knocked out by a close 2nd place finish in big states like Florida or NY. So a candidate would need major operations in a state like CA while also running in the east coast. It certainly makes Iowa, NH and SC far less important.
bad news for Romney but excellent news for Sarah!
It won't be "inevitable" if conservatives are able to run popular "favorite son" candidates in the early states, and the larger states. Then you have a situation where we go into the convention without it being settled. The best part is this could be done at the grassroots level and no one needs the blessing of the RNC bosses.
They'll hate every minute of it, but it will go a long way toward an early anointing of another Bob Dole or John McCain who's "turn" it is to be the nominee. Meanwhile the convention will be packed with delegates chosen by the local favorite sons and there will be a whole slew of choices like Michelle Bachman, Sarah Palin, Fred Thompson, Ron Paul, Tom McClintock, Jim DeMint, Steve King etc. etc.
People are so fed up with the same-ol, same ol' that this kind of trend could catch fire if it gets started early and successfully in a few of the early primary states.
Wouldn’t the state legislatures and the Democrat Party would have to agree on a state-by-state basis to close primaries?
“This looks like it will actually help big money candidates.
It certainly makes Iowa, NH and SC far less important.”
I am not sure about that. I think whoever wins IA, NH and SC is still guaranteed to get $200 million worth of free press. Whoever has a huge checkbook or is well known could overcome a loss in two of the three. But it would take time. If the primaries come in rapid succession, the nomination could be sewn up before the nominee is scrutinized.
A candidate without the money needs the positive boost to compete with the mega wealthy candidate in California, for example
ONLY closed primaries.
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
Kinda sounds like a Romney-driven agenda.
“It won’t be “inevitable” if conservatives are able to run popular “favorite son” candidates”
There would be no favorite son candidate in any of the first three. And if one arose, he/she would be an asterisk. In these early states, the voters want their votes to count. They don’t want to be 15 delegates out of 2000 at a brokered convention. And I don’t think conservatives should hope for that. Let’s settle it at the ballot box. As a Sarah Palin partisan, I am good with that. Let the voters decide. And let’s do something we haven’t tried in 30 years. Let’s give them a conservative to choose. They will make the right choice. Even in open primaries, the independents will break for a conservative, not a moderate. Independents who would vote in a GOP primary are not independent because they GOP is too conservative. They are independent because the GOP is too conservative, but because it is not conservative enough.
Well at least they are doing something to change that process. I said if the RNC didn’t they don’t deserve my vote. No more McCains!
Meant to say:
“They are independent because the GOP is is not conservative enough.”
Good analysis. It’s unclear if the first four states have to be proportional with their delegates too but, if so, it helps eliminate a repeat of 2008 which I think most conservatives would favor - a bunch of open primary states going for McCain before anyone could go “but, but, he’s not really a Republican...”.
From this brief report, I’d say it is good news. The only downside is that more money will get spent in the primaries so there will be less cash on hand for the general.
Wining certainly helps but it's hard for a "ko'd" candidate to get people to donate and people go to their #2. If it's still a big field and no clear favorite the money might be spread around more and states may even decide that being up front in the process isn't that important. Imagine CA sitting back now and in great position to be the kingmaker. Florida could do the same.
Winning
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