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LIVE THREAD: Australian Federal Election Count as it happens
21st August 2010

Posted on 08/21/2010 12:49:31 AM PDT by naturalman1975

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To: naturalman1975

The Prime Minister has held her seat - with about 75% of the vote.


141 posted on 08/21/2010 3:27:26 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: naturalman1975

A Greenie, huh? Give him an extra assignment along with his detention! LOL.


142 posted on 08/21/2010 3:27:29 AM PDT by onyx (Sarah/Michele 2012)
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To: onyx

I think if I caned him for voting the wrong way, I’d get in trouble :)


143 posted on 08/21/2010 3:30:22 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: naturalman1975

I seem to remember during your last elections that the Liberals pulled a good number of seats closer to the end of voting. I hope the West comes through this year.


144 posted on 08/21/2010 3:34:52 AM PDT by Brytani (There Is No (D) in November! Go Allen!!! www.allenwestforcongress.com)
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To: naturalman1975

Labor: 67
Liberal/Nationals: 59
Other: 3

These are predictions - not calls.

That’s the first trend back our way in a while.


145 posted on 08/21/2010 3:35:40 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: Brytani

Brisbane falls to the libs.


146 posted on 08/21/2010 3:35:59 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: Brytani

Western Australia is likely to go more our way than Labor - so the margin at that point matters a lot.


147 posted on 08/21/2010 3:37:19 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: sunmars

Perth should to. Not much different than the States where the Dems get their votes from the large cities with rural areas being conservative.


148 posted on 08/21/2010 3:38:01 AM PDT by Brytani (There Is No (D) in November! Go Allen!!! www.allenwestforcongress.com)
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To: naturalman1975

Called seats from the Electorial Commission.

ALP: 60
Coalition: 50
Independent: 3
Greens: 1


149 posted on 08/21/2010 3:38:37 AM PDT by Dundee (They gave up all their tomorrows for our today's.)
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To: All

Both Stephen Smith (Labor) and Nick Minchin (Liberal) predicting hung parliament as likely.


150 posted on 08/21/2010 3:42:09 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: naturalman1975

Labor: 67
Liberal/Nationals: 62
Other: 3

These are predictions - not calls.


151 posted on 08/21/2010 3:42:50 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: naturalman1975

The 3 Independent seats; how do they play in the mix?


152 posted on 08/21/2010 3:43:49 AM PDT by Brytani (There Is No (D) in November! Go Allen!!! www.allenwestforcongress.com)
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To: naturalman1975

Anthony Green making tentative prediction

Labor 76
Liberal/National 72

No. I do not like.


153 posted on 08/21/2010 3:44:30 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: Brytani

Hard to say.

All used to be members of the conservative parties and went independent for different reasons.

Which is more important to them? Their overall conservatism - or the reasons they left?


154 posted on 08/21/2010 3:45:35 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: naturalman1975

that 76 is based on probabilities but smith looks like they will lose 4 of those, so lab down to 72.


155 posted on 08/21/2010 3:48:47 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: naturalman1975

Labor: 68
Liberal/Nationals: 62
Other: 3

These are predictions - not calls.


156 posted on 08/21/2010 3:48:48 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: naturalman1975

If the breakdown works as predicted and those 3 remain solid in principle, it may work out well for Conservatives. Gridlock is a good possibility if 1 person can be swayed away.

I’m a bit surprised though, I thought Abbott had a good chance of winning, albeit by a small margin.


157 posted on 08/21/2010 3:50:24 AM PDT by Brytani (There Is No (D) in November! Go Allen!!! www.allenwestforcongress.com)
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To: naturalman1975

Labor: 69
Liberal/Nationals: 62
Other: 4

These are predictions - not calls.

Basically lots of waffling - nobody seems to be able to make any type of overall call.


158 posted on 08/21/2010 3:51:13 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: Brytani

We were a long way behind to start with - 88-59 nominally.


159 posted on 08/21/2010 3:52:11 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: naturalman1975

Labor: 70
Liberal/Nationals: 64
Other: 4

These are predictions - not calls.


160 posted on 08/21/2010 3:55:24 AM PDT by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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