Skip to comments.Senate: Dem 47, GOP 46, Tossup 7 (and GOP LEADS in 6 of these 7).
Posted on 09/15/2010 8:51:37 AM PDT by Notwithstanding
New polling in Ohio has moved that state's U.S. Senate race from Toss-Up to Leans Republican.
Other recent changes came from polling in Alaska, Kentucky, North Carolina and West Virginia, Washington.
Current projections suggest that the Democrats would hold 47 seats after Election Day while the Republicans would hold 46. Seven states are in the Toss-Up category (California, Colorado, Illinois, Nevada, Wisconsin, Washington and West Virginia. All seven Toss-Ups are seats currently held by Democrats
Republicans have the edge in five Democratic-held Senate seats--Arkansas, Indiana, North Dakota, Delaware and Pennsylvania.
At the moment, no Republican-held seats appear headed for the Democratic column.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
AHHH...its tea time.
GOP leads in Rasmussen’s latest polls in 6 of the 7 toss-up states!
Wait till Connecticut tilts into the “toss up” or “leans GOP” column.....
Oops. Old news. Rasmussen moved Delaware from leans R to leans D last night.
Delaware is listed as “Lean Republican” based on a September 7 poll.
But after yesterday, it is now considered “Lean Democrat.”
He’ll be doing some more moving in the weeks ahead.
OK, but someone needs to fix that Delaware entry. GOP doesn't have the edge there anymore.
Delaware will move to toss-up at best now possibly leans Democratic now though.
This has DE as Leans Republican as of Sep7. I’m sure today they’ll change that... but you know what... I bet they were right the first time. DE Leans Republican.
It takes a Carter to give us a Reagan (and it takes an 0bama to give us GOP senators in California, Wisconsin and Nevada).
I am taking that Tuesday and Wednesday in November off from work. This is all I’ll be paying attention to. I won’t be able to think clearly enough to work anyway.
Don’t forget - Obama also gave us a GOP senator in Mass. and good governors in NJ and Virgina.
There hasn’t been a poll yet. Moving to “leans Dem” is just speculation for right now. Give it 3 days and a new poll and I think we’ll see it back to the “leans Pub”
Tim Kaine was on “Fox and Friends” this morning claiming that the Tea Party successes have improved the Democrats’ chances of winning some seats which six months ago they expected to lose. Of course he is head of the DNC and was putting the most optimistic spin on things.
If so, then the corrected version is:
Dem 48, GOP 45, Tossup 7 (and GOP LEADS in 6 of these 7).
Final score: Dem* 49, GOP 51.
* 2 of the 49 Dem are not actually even Dem, but are independent/3rd party.
Tea Minus 49 Days and counting.
What you probably don’t know is that Tim had to have a double Botox eyebrow shot last night to keep it from jumping off his face this morning as he was telling fairy tales.
The GOP servants of the people ought to be more concerned about grass-roots GOP voters than the dipwads at msnbcnnabcbs.
I agree. I think this is definitely winnable. Out of the gate, however, she might be starting below the commie party candidate, that’s all I’m saying.
There is a very important piece missing from these numbers. If you factor in the “enthusiasm” of the GOP you find that turn out suggest 30% higher than Dems. What this means is that a republican candidate who is behind by 3 or 4 percent is very likely to win. This is what we just saw in the O’Donnel race. In the polls she was either tied or up by only 3%, but the enthusiasm of the conservative base was high, so Castle lost by a much bigger margin.
Yep, even the Maine twins had to notice a RINO getting primaried in a blue state because of his pro-Obama-agenda votes.
>>> claiming that the Tea Party successes have improved the Democrats chances of winning some seats which six months ago they expected to lose. Of course he is head of the DNC
Well it’s certainly true in Nevada and Delaware. No way Harry Reid and a decent opponent would be tied. Nevada is conservative enough that they can still win but it shouldn’t be anywhere near this close.
And Delaware speaks for itself.
I wouldn’t overgeneralize beyond these two though.
I predict at least 5 of the 7 “toss-up” states will go Republican.
...for those interested. :D
for your information only...and NOT get overconfident, its only a poll.
How is that possible? Ras needs at least a day lead time to prepare any kind of decent poll, if not a week of polling, and it's barely been 12 hours. This must be a "gut" poll projection.
Maybe he's still using the numbers he had when both Castle and O'Donnell were being considered. But knocking one of them out changes the dynamics considerably.
It will stabilize toward O'Donnell as November looms closer.
Oops. Old news. Rasmussen moved Delaware from leans R to leans D last night.———————
Nope, that was someone using the name Rasmussen and posting a rear clear politics statement.
I'll believe THAT when I see it!
Latest Rasmussen results in toss-up states:
GOP 1. Nevada Senate: Reid (D) 48%, Angle (R) 48%
GOP 2. Ohio Senate: Portman (R) 49% Fisher (D) 41%
GOP 3. California Senate: Fiorina (R) 48%, Boxer (D) 47%
GOP 4. Wisconsin Senate: Johnson (R) 47%, Feingold (D) 46%
GOP 5. Illinois Senate: Kirk (R) 41%, Giannoulias (D) 37%
GOP 6. Colorado Senate: Buck (R) 47% Bennet (D) 44%
Dem 7. West Virginia Senate: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 45%
??? 8. Delaware voters are likely to shift support to O’Donnell now that Castle is out of the picture and O’Donnell is the GOP standard bearer.
Delaware Senate: Castle (R) 48%, Coons (D) 37%
Delaware Senate: O’Donnell (R) 36%, Coons (D) 47%
I hope and pray that Obama will give us a sweep this year and again in two years. I'd like to see a gain of 9-12 Senate seats this year and again in 2012. I just hope the Republicans we are choosing have the testicular fortitude to follow through with legislation to bring our government back within its proper boundaries and within a reasonable budget.
He has indicated it is now 48-45, moving Delaware from “Leans Republican” to “Leans Democrat”.
The 20 States suing the FedGov over the unconstitutional insurance mandate will highlight the out-of control policies of the Democrats.
FedGov suing states for enforcing immigration laws will show the anti-American nature of the Obama administration.
Revolution is in the air.
They're the ones working from "old data". They're WRONG about DE. The people of Delaware are engaged, and they, not the elites or the media, will put O'Donnell in the Senate.
I hope GOP wins the Senate, but without a Juan McShame win!
I shall NOT vote for this corrupt, senile, back-stabbing RINO under any circumstance.
He did polling of the general election matchups for both Castle and O'Donnell last week, and his current rating is based on O'Donnell's poor showing in that poll.
He will do a new poll over the next couple of days, but I presume it will still show her down, because it will include the shell-shocked Castle Supporters who might well say they are voting democrat.
By next week, I expect a lot of them to either come back to Republican fold, or to just decide not to vote. So I expect she'll improve some over the next two weeks, but I think she'll still be a long-shot polling-wise.
I guess the conclusion to be drawn from this graph is that the Republicans suck, but the Democrats suck worse!
Rasmussen has been polling both Castle and O’Donnell vs. the Democrat Coons for some weeks, now. In most recent poll, Coons was leading O’Donnell. That will be changing, soon, I suspect....
I usually take the day after Presidential elections off, on the theory that I may be up late into the night waiting for returns to come in.
Except for 2008, when I couldn’t even bear to watch.
My prediction; GOP with a 52 strong majority in the Senate and a tidal wave in the House. In two years, Obama is toast.
“Rasmussen moved Delaware from leans R to leans D last night.”
That’s okay. We can and will overcome that. If everyone would donate say $5 to Christines campaign that would probably do the trick. Her dimoKKKRAT opponent is said to have a two million dollar warchest.
didn’t the Dems control congress already in 2006?
Portman's had a decent 5-10 pt lead for a while now.
Christie is THE MAN.
Look for him in higher places someday ifyaknowwhatimean.
WOW. That second graph should be pasted on every single GOP poster in America and thrown up every time some Dem talks about deficits being caused by Republican policies.
no, the Dem majority came in in Jan 2007.