Skip to comments.Senate: Dem 47, GOP 46, Tossup 7 (and GOP LEADS in 6 of these 7).
Posted on 09/15/2010 8:51:37 AM PDT by Notwithstanding
New polling in Ohio has moved that state's U.S. Senate race from Toss-Up to Leans Republican.
Other recent changes came from polling in Alaska, Kentucky, North Carolina and West Virginia, Washington.
Current projections suggest that the Democrats would hold 47 seats after Election Day while the Republicans would hold 46. Seven states are in the Toss-Up category (California, Colorado, Illinois, Nevada, Wisconsin, Washington and West Virginia. All seven Toss-Ups are seats currently held by Democrats
Republicans have the edge in five Democratic-held Senate seats--Arkansas, Indiana, North Dakota, Delaware and Pennsylvania.
At the moment, no Republican-held seats appear headed for the Democratic column.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
I agree. I think this is definitely winnable. Out of the gate, however, she might be starting below the commie party candidate, that’s all I’m saying.
There is a very important piece missing from these numbers. If you factor in the “enthusiasm” of the GOP you find that turn out suggest 30% higher than Dems. What this means is that a republican candidate who is behind by 3 or 4 percent is very likely to win. This is what we just saw in the O’Donnel race. In the polls she was either tied or up by only 3%, but the enthusiasm of the conservative base was high, so Castle lost by a much bigger margin.
Yep, even the Maine twins had to notice a RINO getting primaried in a blue state because of his pro-Obama-agenda votes.
>>> claiming that the Tea Party successes have improved the Democrats chances of winning some seats which six months ago they expected to lose. Of course he is head of the DNC
Well it’s certainly true in Nevada and Delaware. No way Harry Reid and a decent opponent would be tied. Nevada is conservative enough that they can still win but it shouldn’t be anywhere near this close.
And Delaware speaks for itself.
I wouldn’t overgeneralize beyond these two though.
I predict at least 5 of the 7 “toss-up” states will go Republican.
...for those interested. :D
for your information only...and NOT get overconfident, its only a poll.
How is that possible? Ras needs at least a day lead time to prepare any kind of decent poll, if not a week of polling, and it's barely been 12 hours. This must be a "gut" poll projection.
Maybe he's still using the numbers he had when both Castle and O'Donnell were being considered. But knocking one of them out changes the dynamics considerably.
It will stabilize toward O'Donnell as November looms closer.
Oops. Old news. Rasmussen moved Delaware from leans R to leans D last night.———————
Nope, that was someone using the name Rasmussen and posting a rear clear politics statement.
I'll believe THAT when I see it!
Latest Rasmussen results in toss-up states:
GOP 1. Nevada Senate: Reid (D) 48%, Angle (R) 48%
GOP 2. Ohio Senate: Portman (R) 49% Fisher (D) 41%
GOP 3. California Senate: Fiorina (R) 48%, Boxer (D) 47%
GOP 4. Wisconsin Senate: Johnson (R) 47%, Feingold (D) 46%
GOP 5. Illinois Senate: Kirk (R) 41%, Giannoulias (D) 37%
GOP 6. Colorado Senate: Buck (R) 47% Bennet (D) 44%
Dem 7. West Virginia Senate: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 45%
??? 8. Delaware voters are likely to shift support to O’Donnell now that Castle is out of the picture and O’Donnell is the GOP standard bearer.
Delaware Senate: Castle (R) 48%, Coons (D) 37%
Delaware Senate: O’Donnell (R) 36%, Coons (D) 47%
I hope and pray that Obama will give us a sweep this year and again in two years. I'd like to see a gain of 9-12 Senate seats this year and again in 2012. I just hope the Republicans we are choosing have the testicular fortitude to follow through with legislation to bring our government back within its proper boundaries and within a reasonable budget.
He has indicated it is now 48-45, moving Delaware from “Leans Republican” to “Leans Democrat”.
The 20 States suing the FedGov over the unconstitutional insurance mandate will highlight the out-of control policies of the Democrats.
FedGov suing states for enforcing immigration laws will show the anti-American nature of the Obama administration.
Revolution is in the air.
They're the ones working from "old data". They're WRONG about DE. The people of Delaware are engaged, and they, not the elites or the media, will put O'Donnell in the Senate.
I hope GOP wins the Senate, but without a Juan McShame win!
I shall NOT vote for this corrupt, senile, back-stabbing RINO under any circumstance.
He did polling of the general election matchups for both Castle and O'Donnell last week, and his current rating is based on O'Donnell's poor showing in that poll.
He will do a new poll over the next couple of days, but I presume it will still show her down, because it will include the shell-shocked Castle Supporters who might well say they are voting democrat.
By next week, I expect a lot of them to either come back to Republican fold, or to just decide not to vote. So I expect she'll improve some over the next two weeks, but I think she'll still be a long-shot polling-wise.
I guess the conclusion to be drawn from this graph is that the Republicans suck, but the Democrats suck worse!