I think the “tsunami” is over.
BS I don’t buy this crap..but after all, don’t forget that there are a lot of stupid people out there..2008 reminded us all of that so anything can happen
Dems’ playbook- “Tell ANY lie to suppress the vote”.
What changed? What caused the swing?
I have thought all along that we are counting too many chickens before they hatch.....
There’s a trend emerging from the media and the pollsters. Media: Voters are depressed; won’t go out to vote (that means “us.”) Pollsters: Dems are surging! (get excited Dems, get out and vote!)
If america does not start voting for integrity and traditional values for our representatives, they will get what they deserves and when the collapse occurs I for one do not want to be close to any major city.
The tin foil side of me wonders if these polls, combined with Pelosi and company’s comments about retaining Congress, isn’t a setup to mask massive voter fraud this November.
Ask yourself - what has changed in the past two weeks to cause any race to swing towards the Democrat?
First all, the media don’t understand statistics and always report it wrong.
Just because person A leads person B by a margin smaller than the margin of error, doesn’t mean it’s a “statistical tie”.
Secondly, look at the composition of the polls.
The 9/2/2010 poll the same company had a Paul lead of 55-40,
in that poll the party affiliation was 47 Dem, 42 Rep.
In this poll with a 49-47 lead, the party affiliation was 51 Dem, 36 Rep.
That’s a +4 to the Dem and -6 to the Rep.
That’s probably worth at lead 8 points in the numbers. If you adjust the party affiliation to the 47-42 number, you’d probably get 53-43 number.
These polls are just scams to make the crats feel better.
Leni
Pay special attention to the composition of party affiliation of those polled.
No need to flip out over individual polls -- look at the overall picture.
NEW POLLS SHOW FIORINA AND PAUL FADING THANKS TO SCREWY SAMPLES
Bruce Drake - former vice president for news at NPR (and formerly of the Politico), started at CQ July 2009 in the new position of General Manager of CQ
This is an outlier. Too many wild variations in a SUSA sample. Let’s see what Ras says.
I dont care what polls say...and how much Paul is ahead. You folks in KY need to get to work, and keep working till after the election.
Get To it. Git Er Done!
New polls show Fiorina and Paul fading — thanks to screwy samples
Why doubt the numbers? Because, as political consultant Mike Murphy pointed out last night on Twitter, the sample is absurd.
Including leaners, the breakdown between Democrats, independents, and Republicans was … 55/9/35. To put that in perspective for you, the exit poll sample in California from the 2008 presidential election was 42/28/30.
For the Boxer/Fiorina numbers to be right, you have to believe that, in this year of the big red wave, somehow California Democrats and left-leaning indies are way more motivated to vote than they were at the height of Hopenchange with Obama at the top of the ticket. Anyone seriously believe that?
That said, while the poll of polls has Fiorina within three, I’m a little worried that Boxer seems to have built a steady five- or six-point lead over the past few weeks even in polls with respectable samples.
As hard as it is to believe, The One’s job approval rating in the state — even according to Rasmussen — is well over 50 percent, which makes me wonder if any Republican can win in California ever again. If 20 years of Boxer and two years of The One aren’t enough to get them to cast a protest vote, what is?