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Gibson Suddenly Leads in NY-20 By the Mad Max (Repub surge in NY?)
National Review - Campaign Spot ^ | 10-26-2010 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 10/26/2010 9:46:05 AM PDT by Frantzie

In New York’s 20th Congressional District, Siena finds a huge late surge for one of the candidates we’ve urged you to help:

Entering the final week of the campaign, Republican Chris Gibson has reversed an early campaign deficit and turned it into a 51-42 percent lead over Democratic Representative Scott Murphy,

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: elections; gibson; murphy; ny
Anyone following this race? A late surge by a Repub in NY??
1 posted on 10/26/2010 9:46:11 AM PDT by Frantzie
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To: Frantzie

was this expected? Or is this truly one of those races that shouldn’t be competitive, but now is??


2 posted on 10/26/2010 9:51:21 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Frantzie
Suddingly!!!?... As the week gets closer to the election the polls may mysteriously start reflecting reality..

You know... so they will not seem too far out of line after the election..
SOoo... Deny-abliity of actively messing with the election must be addressed..
Which everybody knows thats what polls Do!!...

The early polls are ALWAYS propaganda.. some of them remain that way..

3 posted on 10/26/2010 9:55:26 AM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole....)
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To: hosepipe

Polls should be ILLEGAL...


4 posted on 10/26/2010 9:56:39 AM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole....)
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To: ConservativeDude

It was expected by the few of us who know the district well. However, most analysts wrote the seat off after the special election loss in 2009. The people of the district rejected the Republican because of his indecision on the stimulus bill, not because they loved Murphy or wanted to be represented by a Dem. Quite the contrary, actually. They’ve been looking for a Republican worth supporting for some time and Gibson is the first to come along. Things like that can slip by with 435 districts to look at I guess.


5 posted on 10/26/2010 9:59:42 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (The worst is behind us. Unfortunately it is really well endowed.)
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To: Frantzie

There is a surge here in NY, I think we take back 8 or 9 seats this year.


6 posted on 10/26/2010 10:03:56 AM PDT by PMAS
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To: Frantzie

As we head into counting on election night, these races all are in the states that close their polls at 7 PM.

If we envision the beach with various sand castles lined up in straight lines at various parts of the beach, if the water hits the first line it will mean X number of house seats to the GOP.

Below are four early polled races and what they likely tell us about the GOP wave:

Leans GOP — SC-5 / IN-9 — GOP will win the house ... 40+ seat gain

Tossup — GA-2 / GA-8 / KY6 — Looking at a 55 to 75 seat gain

Leans Dem — KY-3 ... looking at a gain of 75 to 90 seats

Likely Dem ... GA-12 looking at a gain of 90 to 120 seats


7 posted on 10/26/2010 10:04:37 AM PDT by DontTreadOnMe2009 (So stop treading on me already!)
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To: hosepipe

Pushing polls is one of the symptoms of the utter bankruptcy of journalism. Why not report the issues and the actions, records, and statements of the candidates and let the readers make up their own minds. Oh, wait,...I forgot they have an agenda.


8 posted on 10/26/2010 10:05:23 AM PDT by Mad_as_heck (The MSM - America's (domestic) public enemy #1.)
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To: hosepipe

I don’t trust ANY polls.

The GOP had better run like there is NO TOMORROW.

Cheating will be at a RECORD HIGH.


9 posted on 10/26/2010 10:07:19 AM PDT by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: DontTreadOnMe2009

bttt


10 posted on 10/26/2010 10:10:38 AM PDT by petercooper (Imam Obama)
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To: Frantzie

Establishmedia needs to get credibility after they did all the damaage they could w/fake polls.

Pray for the Election


11 posted on 10/26/2010 10:11:42 AM PDT by bray (A November to Remember)
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To: perfect_rovian_storm

thanks...this seems like a “surprise” then and is turning hard gop in light of the gop wave....which is turning out, I think, to be quite large!!!!


12 posted on 10/26/2010 10:44:33 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Frantzie

There’ve been several polls, half favor the pelosibluelapdog Murphy, the others, Col Gibson...been a nail biter

But those of us on the ground, could see this surge coming,
Dems must to, as they are sending Bubba up this week, and MoveOn..

another thread (diff source) on this same poll
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2615025/posts

This used to be a RED district, and we are gonna take it back!


13 posted on 10/26/2010 5:45:13 PM PDT by Hush44 (http://www.chrisgibsonforcongress.com/)
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