Posted on 10/30/2010 4:15:25 PM PDT by Notwithstanding
Based on my own analysis of the tea leaves.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
The new “Religious Right” is fairly pro-illegals.
So...that's 8...and a hopeful 8 at that.
Harry’s going down.
harry loses, boxer loses. 10
A year ago I said +100 and I am sticking with it.
Pray for the Election
I don’t believe any religious right is pro-illegals. Where did you get that information?
I predicted 9 and 73 back in May on another forum, I haven’t moved from that. I like your numbers better, but I don’t believe they are realistic.
+6 in the Senate
+45 in the House
In order of likelihood
ND R+1 A lock
IN R+2 In the bag
AR R+3 Blanche is done
PA R+4 Polls show Toomey’s lead growing. Sestak’s toast.
WI R+5 Good riddance Russ. Don’t let the door hit your freedom of speech abridging arse on the way out.
NV R+6 Angle opened up a four point lead on Dingy Harry.
CO R+7 Buck holds a consistent small lead amongst all pollsters.
IL R+8 Seems like Kirk leads narrowly. A Republican take unless the Cook County dead vote snatches it away.
WA R+9 Tossup that will depend on turnout. Right now Democrat bastion King County is lagging from its 2006 numbers more than other parts of the state.
WV R+10 Trending Democrat. Raese is down by 3 or so heading into the final weekend.
CA R+11 Narrowing to within MoE. The reefer proposition should doom Fiornia however by bringing dirty hippies to the polls.
CT R+12 Unlikely, but if CT falls, Democrats are in for tsunami. Should be 6 point Blumenthal win.
DE R+13 If the Dems lose DE, they’re screwed. You’re looking at an absolute wipeout. My guess is that this ends up Coons +8.
I think the Republicans may have eight or nine at this point and could easily get to 11. As far as the House goes, my guess would be that we’re in the low-to-mid-60s. There could be some shockers out there that haven’t been polled to push it into the 70 range.
How can you call WV for our side, and CO as well? I think you are being far too optimistic, but I still love your positive attitude. /s
The Catholic wing, for one. (Most illegals being Catholic)
I wouldn’t be surprised at that number. I am figuring 80 + 10.
Thank you for remembering.
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
Cook: “Over a quarter of the entire 255-member House Democratic caucus have trailed GOP opponents in at least one public or private survey, and nearly half have tested under 50 percent of the vote in at least one poll.”
Holy smokes...
We are talking 60 seat loss easy, 80+ seat loss possible.
I know that makes me the high bidder, but it's a tough job somebody has to do.
Harry reid will be defeated,
Washington-Rossi is surging,
WI Johnson is up big, and there are even articles on politico stating that the Democrats have pretty much given it up.
CA is doable
You may be right on CT, but that is the only one that I can see, and WHAT if there is an actual surprise that we aren’t even seeing right now, say Hawaii? The say Djou is doing well and Aiona is also picking up support, and the last poll I saw for Cam Cavasso was that he was only down 13 on Akaka!
The religious right counts a fair percentage of the Catholic laity.
Somebody may simply have their "right" nomenclature screwed up ~ a minor problem since we own both of the major "right" uses these days.
I don't think I've seen a CO poll with Bennett up this month. Buck's consistently polling 2-4 points ahead with a tie poll here or there.
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