The KeyHouseRaces Election Night Open Thread

KeyHouseRaces.com ^ | 2 November 2010 | Interceptpoint

[InterceptPoint]

It's been a fun ride watching our list of Vulnerable Dems grow and the predictions of our six "Experts" move in the GOP direction week after week.

But today is the day when we cash in on all of the hard work. I hope everyone has voted and is ready for the Super Bowl of midterm elections. Grab your popcorn, settle back in that easy chair and watch the Dems squirm while they explain to all of us that it really is just anger over the "Bush Recession" and not Obama's policies that is causing the American public to turn on their party and vote them out of power in the House of Representatives and perhaps in the Senate as well. You can also expect to hear the lame "We just didn't do a good job selling Obamacare" argument ad nauseum on CNN and MSNBC. And you must watch those channels tonight - they are way more fun than Fox on election nights like this.

This thread is focused on the competitive House races that we have been tracking for the better part of a year - the races on the KeyHouseRaces Master List. If you looking for general election news covering the Senate or the Governor races your best bet will be the Election Day 2010 LIVE THREAD.

We will be generating update summaries of the House races that have been called by trustworthy sources and will post those updates on KeyHouseRaces.com and here on FR. We will also be posting on Twitter as we see races that are on our list where the winner has been called.

We will be monitoring FR for our data so we are hoping that Free Republic stays up and that Freepers will be doing their normal good job of posting the latest poll results.

Just for reference, here are the Poll Closing Times via SwingStateProject:

[goodnesswins]

Thanks...GREAT WORK!

[ken5050]

That one came out of nowhere after the clip was posted of her getting off the private jet...

Here in Florida we are rid of Alan Grayson..yippee!!

[Drango]

After IP’s guide....here is the second best guide to tracking tonight’s outcome. Yeah it’s the NYSlimes but Nate Silver is an honest broker of info.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/02/3225/?ref=politics

[presently no screen name]

FYI.

[presently no screen name]

Great news but how do you know already?

[Hush44]

File downloaded.

For a side note...
Made a list of those in the “Progressive Caucus” that are on the KHR list...see how many of that group are knocked out, of the 79 of them in the House. Knocking any of them out is an added bonus.

FReeper Rome2000 posted a full list of the Caucus in this post
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2618022/posts?page=16#16

I grabbed the ones that apprear on the KHR list here.

Master List (7)
Raúl Grijalva (AZ-7, Tucson) - Co-Chair
Alan Grayson (FL-8, Orlando)
Dave Loebsack (IA-2, Cedar Rapids)
Chellie Pingree (ME-1, North Haven)
Barney Frank (MA-4, Newton) - Chairman, House Financial Services Committee
John Hall (NY-19, Dover Plains)
Maurice Hinchey (NY-22, Saugerties)

Tier2 (2)
Ben R. Luján (NM-3, Santa Fe)
Peter DeFazio (OR-4, Eugene)

Long shots (7)
Bob Filner (CA-51, San Diego) - Chairman, House Veterans Affairs Committee
Jan Schakowsky (IL-9, Chicago)
André Carson (IN-7, Indianapolis)
John Tierney (MA-6, Salem)
Bennie Thompson (MS-2, Bolton) - Chairman, House Homeland Security Committee
Frank Pallone (NJ-06)
Dennis Kucinich (OH-10, Cleveland)

[ken5050]

He’s trailing in the polls..and voter turnout is reported very high..

[presently no screen name]

Great! I thought it was your wishful thinking at first.
One nut job down.

[workerbee]

Thank you!

[Alas Babylon!]

Well, Sir, you’ve done an outstanding job!

After tonight, take the rest of the week off! That’s on me. Tell your boss I said so.

[HuntsvilleTxVeteran]

Thank you for the live thread and BTTT!

[RobFromGa]

Beautiful job on these lists!

[Rome2000]

We have to get the marxists to go back underground, not stand around as they change their name to "Progressive" and agitate for socialism out in the open without fear of retribution from the imbeciles at the RNC.

If the GOP leadership wont target and denounce these red sons of bitches as straight up marxists via their membership in the subversive organization known as the "Congressional Progressive Caucus, the the Tea Party must.

[GoCards]

Woo Hoo! Hi Everyone! What is everyone drinking tonite? I’m buying.

[GoCards]

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2619927/posts

so far from Drudge, up now, exit polling

[metmom]

I’m calling NY 25 for Ann Marie Buerkle.

Her signs are up absolutely EVERYWHERE and she’s endorsed by the Independence party along with Republican and Democrat. I almost never see the Independence party not go Dem.

I got a laugh....

I was perusing DU to see the meltdown and they had an ad for her at the top of their screen. She’s pro-life and as conservative as they come. If only the DUers knew.....

[InterceptPoint]

Polls are closed in Indiana and Kentucky. Here are the races to watch.

KeyHouseRaces Master List
District		Seat	Democrat	Winner		Republican	Tier 2	Experts	District		Pacific
IN	2	Incumbent D	Joe Donnelly			Jackie Walorski		Leans D	IN	2	3:00
IN	7	Incumbent D	Andre Carson			Marvin Scott	Longshot	Safe D	IN	7	3:00
IN	8	Open D	W. Trent Van Haaften			Dr. Larry Bucshon		Likely R	IN	8	3:00
IN	9	Incumbent D	Baron Hill			Todd Young		Toss-Up	IN	9	3:00
KY	3	Incumbent D	Jon Yarmuth			Todd Lally	Tier 2	Likely D	KY	3	3:00
KY	6	Incumbent D	Ben Chandler			Andy Barr		Leans D	KY	6	3:00

[InterceptPoint]

From the Kentucky & Indiana Live Thread:

WTHR Already calling IN-08 for Buschon!!!

[greyfoxx39]

FYI Ping

[bigjoesaddle]

Drinking now...

Don't worry...I'll keep you all posted when I drink something else!!!