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Fear of 'Catastrophic' Crash Rising Despite Bull Market
CNBC ^ | 02/18/2011 | CNBC

Posted on 02/18/2011 4:30:12 PM PST by The Magical Mischief Tour

In an unprecedented move, the number of investors fearing a catastrophic stock market crash is rising even with the stock market at 2 ½ year highs.

The unusual dislocation comes from two distinct reasons: a lack of trust in the U.S. financial markets following the so-called Flash Crash last May and the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2007.

This means the Flash Crash Advisory Commission that met on Friday has a long way to go in restoring confidence to the point that will bring the individual investor back into a market still ruled by high frequency trading, exchange-traded funds and leveraged hedge funds.

The Yale School of Management since 1989 has asked wealthy individual investors monthly to give the “probability of a catastrophic stock market crash in the U.S. in the next six months.”

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy
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1 posted on 02/18/2011 4:30:13 PM PST by The Magical Mischief Tour
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

How can it be going up on such awful news? That alone makes it suspect. I think it is a big scam.


2 posted on 02/18/2011 4:34:31 PM PST by screaminsunshine (34 States)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

I think the unduly and overly optimistic stock market is in a bubble which is going to burst.

I think a major correction is way overdue and that correction could be as much as 500 or 600 points in one day.


3 posted on 02/18/2011 4:34:51 PM PST by Ev Reeman
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

It is really hard to know where to put your money - cash earns nothing and I am not confident in the market, although I have money in both.


4 posted on 02/18/2011 4:37:19 PM PST by GnuHere
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

Considering how much new money has been and is being “printed” the market should keep going up.


5 posted on 02/18/2011 4:40:37 PM PST by DungeonMaster (My dad put his arm around me like that once, to this very day he wears orthopedic shirts.)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour
Folks,
The stock market is being run by computers. They trade on probabilities with no emotion attached. These machines make decisions just like Watson and care not for the likes of man.
6 posted on 02/18/2011 4:42:31 PM PST by lucky american (If you think the Libs care about your health.....LOLOLOL)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

Bookmark


7 posted on 02/18/2011 4:45:49 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: screaminsunshine
How can it be going up on such awful news?

Two thoughts: You may not have been paying attention, but we just finished Q4 earnings season--US corporations are making healthy and sustained profits.

Second, remember the drivel from obama and other economic illiterates about corporations "sitting on trillions in cash?" Guess what. Nobody sits on cash at that level. Major corporations have been spending hundreds of millions and even billions to buy back their own stock, thus reducing the supply and shoring up the market price.

Yes the market seems to be ignoring bad news in the macro world, but this is a classic bullish indicator, not a cause for concern.

8 posted on 02/18/2011 4:46:16 PM PST by hinckley buzzard
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To: screaminsunshine
How can it be going up on such awful news?

Because the Federal Reserve is depositing 6-8 Billion dollars of cash in big bank trading accounts most days. This is the ultimate government-issued funny money. Trading credits for the big boys. Should end by June. What do you think will happen then or October, at the latest? What do you think the big players will do with their shares when the end of the Fed-sponsored Wall Street party draws near?

9 posted on 02/18/2011 4:46:48 PM PST by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture (Could be worst in 40 years))
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To: lucky american
Probably not, but what you just described is a capitalistic ideal--the "efficient market." If it were true it would be a good thing.
10 posted on 02/18/2011 4:48:06 PM PST by hinckley buzzard
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To: steve86

They appear to be chucking it into commodities and chatting up “inflation” to support the ruse.


11 posted on 02/18/2011 4:48:43 PM PST by RegulatorCountry
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

“restoring confidence...”

There’s a reason con-men are called con-men.


12 posted on 02/18/2011 4:49:12 PM PST by djf (Sometimes you are The Old Man and the Sea. But most times, you are the fish!!)
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To: hinckley buzzard
US corporations are making healthy and sustained profits

Is that why junk stocks are partying like it 1999? Not sure of the connection between profits of IBM or the ilk and the wild speculation involving almost every asset class. The explanation for all of it is free liquidity, not fundamental business issues.

13 posted on 02/18/2011 4:50:52 PM PST by steve86 (Acerbic by nature, not nurture (Could be worst in 40 years))
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To: lucky american
Folks, The stock market is being run by computers.

Oh, thank you...For a while there I was sure the Wall Street was run by criminal insiders and super wealthy corrupt banksters looking for more suckers to draw in....

Now that I know it's perfectly safe from insiders and frauds, I'll dump a bunch of money in....

:o

14 posted on 02/18/2011 4:51:17 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

The market by it’s nature is manipulated and has always been. The big boys look out at the future economic picture and then proceed to go thru their accumulation/markup/distribution routine. That’s why the market gets out of whack.

There’s a number of reasons the market’s going up, not the least being Bernanke’s Magical Money Making Machine running at full capacity. I’m seeing small cracks though starting to develop. I think we’re making the last big rush to the top to suck the public in so the pros can unload, and then the crash.


15 posted on 02/18/2011 4:51:25 PM PST by Free Vulcan (Vote Republican! You can vote Democrat when you're dead.)
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To: djf
“restoring confidence...”

There’s a reason con-men are called con-men.

lol...They'll pull the rug out once enough suckers are standing on it.

16 posted on 02/18/2011 4:54:12 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: screaminsunshine
How can it be going up on such awful news?

From October 2010, FWIW....

Stock Market Rally October 2010 Due to Federal Reserve Influence

17 posted on 02/18/2011 4:54:55 PM PST by mewzilla (Hey, Schumer, your Lockerbie report left quite a bit out.)
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To: GnuHere
It is really hard to know where to put your money

Commodities? Metals Silver, Gold, etc, have done well for almost a decade.....

Uh oh...I bet I just started the raining of fire and flame....

18 posted on 02/18/2011 4:55:30 PM PST by cbkaty (Never yield to force. Never yield to the apparently overwhelming might of the enemy---W Churchill)
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To: Ev Reeman

That would not really be much of a crash, would it? More like a minor correction, about 2%.


19 posted on 02/18/2011 4:56:59 PM PST by proxy_user
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To: The Magical Mischief Tour

Just as a statistical matter, busts always occur after booms. Why don’t these geniuses tell us when it’ll happen? I’ll sell short!


20 posted on 02/18/2011 4:58:55 PM PST by Batrachian (9/11 confirmed everything I already knew about Islam. Not that it needed much confirming.)
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