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Posted on 08/20/2011 4:22:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Irene has developed from Invest 97 in the Western Atlantic Ocean, east of the Leeward Islands.
Buoy Data:
Caribbean Sea
Florida
Last night’s run of GFDL takes the storm smack into NYC.
Sitting here in Southern Shores NC, one block away from the ocean, watching the projected eye of Irene move eastward. Have hurricane shutters ready to go and all loose outside items put away.
Irene is now up to Cat 3 as of the 8AM intermediate advisory.
Are you serious?....I thought we were out of the cone?
Yes, heard it about 20 minutes ago. Checked ‘Skeetobiteweather’ but no change in track. Maybe they mean the Keys.
I told you you would know for sure thursday evening, You thought I was joking?
From NWS AT THIS TIME...THE MAIN CONCERN WITH HURRICANE IRENE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS OF PALM BEACH...BROWARD AND MIAMI DADE COUNTIES.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND VERY ROUGH SEAS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE AREAS FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS. ALONG THE COAST...THE
MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE HAZARDOUS SURF...RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE
SEVERE BEACH EROSION...PARTICULARLY ALONG COASTAL PALM BEACH
COUNTY. IN ADDITION...GUSTY WINDS UP TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN
SQUALLS OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST FLORIDA ARE
POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST.
&&
.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN MIAMI AROUND NOON...OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
South Florida: tropical cyclone watches or warnings are currently not in effect...
nor are they likely under present circumstances. No storm surge impact is
expected across South Florida. Moderate to severe beach erosion will become a
possibility.
Ocracoke Island NC: Tourists have been ordered to evacuate the island today.
Residents are advised to leave the island tomorrow.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
I guess Irene is headed for New York......................
Lot of the models are leaning way out right now, but the way NC sticks out into the Atlantic, it’s hard to miss.
Sure glad granddaughter is in Texas now and not on the NC coast. One left in the mountains, but that way away from the salt water.
If Irene delays her turn north by 12 or 18 hours there are gonna be alot of angry people from Florida on north. I think people rely too much on the models, especialy with a storm of this size and strength. If the models are within a couple hundred miles of your location, 2 days out, I would be very vigilant in my monitoring.
2nd Request: Anxiety levels are understandably running high with this major hurricane. Do not post "official" watch/warning/evacuation information until verified with a separate source. Provide a link to online source information.
It is much more important to wait until you obtain accurate information for this storm than to be the first one to post inaccurate info. Thank you.
Very true. I’ve awakened to the sounds of hammers when the night before the storm was supposed to go “right on by”.
As Momma used to say, hurricane season begins every year on June 1st, there is no reason to not be ready.
Florida is not preparing (from my limited observation) because we are supposedly out of the cone....
..but I just have a bad feeling about this one....(not scientific I know!)
My dad's nursing home has stopped worrying....no evacuation plans....and they can only handle a level 1 hurricane.
I hope these forecasters are as sure as they seem to be.
Lives are counting on it.
This is an interesting graphic showing track change and consumption (not for dialup or weak stolen wireless)
http://i158.photobucket.com/albums/t86/Rainman32_2007/AL09FA4A.gif
Amen! Yesterday one of the Jacksonville FL stations asked the question “When you will you feel safe that irene won’t hit here?”
... when it has passed us
It’s good to see you are running this- I don’t check in here much since Miss Emily died last summer- just too many old memories.
What The Kid ( her Golden Retriever ) and I are doing now is here:
http://www.freedominion.com.pa/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=132803&p=1639983#p1639983
( Scroll back for more )
My own “Hurricane Prepper” is here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1507830/posts
My kind regards to you, and all.
Gee, that ‘track evolution’ shows that everything from Key West to Boston has been at the center of ‘the cone’ at some point or another in the past week.
This makes that bit of NHC disclaimer about ‘4-5 day tracks averaging 200-250 miles of error’ look optimistic. Good post.
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