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Rick Perry As Front Runner?
RedState ^ | August 24, 2011 | Erick Erickson

Posted on 08/24/2011 2:27:57 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife

I wrote just last week that it was too soon to declare Rick Perry the new front runner in the race for the Republican nomination, but a week later things are starting to shape up well for him.

Gallup polling dispels the idea that Perry cannot beat Barack Obama. They are tied among registered voters, which would more than likely put Perry ahead in likely voters. Mitt Romney still polls better against Obaam and has more money, but Romney also has higher name identification. Interestingly, as Perry’s name ID goes up, his favorable ratings go up too.

Right now, though, the polls that matter are state by state polls.

In Iowa, Democrat leaning PPP reports that Rick Perry is now in first place with 22% with Romney at 19%. More surprisingly, PPP polled on Sarah Palin’s effects in the race. Surprisingly, for both Romney and Perry a Palin candidacy was statistically meaningless — both only dropping a single point. Palin herself came in below Ron Paul. This suggests, more than anything, that it is time for Palin to fish or cut bait.

PPP also reports that it will release a poll today showing Perry with a double digit lead nationally and, if it were a two man race, he’d be trouncing Mitt Romney with more than 50% of the vote. Lastly, PPP has a poll showing Barack Obama beating Perry, but by only six points. That’s actually not good for an incumbent President right now. Carter’s lead over Ronald Reagan’s at this point was double digits.

All this suggests that Perry is rapidly becoming the front running and consolidating the lead. In this is also a problem. The attacks on Perry will no doubt escalate and come from all sides. There are six months to go so Perry will have to take a lot and risks the Democrats and media defining him early.

Frankly, the media is going all out to prove it has a liberal bias disconnected from most Americans. From calling him a “human tornado” to working overtime to claim Perry had absolutely nothing at all to do with Texas’s economic boom — just like they’d have you believe Barack Obama has done nothing to keep the economy broken.

Perry may be ascendent, but it is a long time still before we have a Republican nominee.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: 100dollarwagyabeef; 290wine; gopprimary; ipledgeallegiance; milliondollarbuses; mymuslimfaith; perry; perry2012; polling; rickperry; texas; undermyplan
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1 posted on 08/24/2011 2:27:59 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: All
The attacks on Perry will no doubt escalate and come from all sides. There are six months to go so Perry will have to take a lot and risks the Democrats and media defining him early.

Don't undercut Texas higher ed - [personal transformation whine as Rick Perry pushes efficiency]

So how does Rick Perry get away with it? (people are laughing at him)

HOWEVER!

Texas Gov. Rick Perry May Have the Cure for an Ailing Economy

2 posted on 08/24/2011 2:44:23 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: All
Rick Perry: The God-Fearing, Know-Nothing, Pistol-Packing Embodiment of Liberals’ Worst Nightmares ………” “It is almost as if Perry’s political persona was constructed by bundling together all the fears and phantoms in the left-wing anxiety closet.”…………..


3 posted on 08/24/2011 2:57:47 AM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Sarah will not announce until Perry begins slipping in the polls. Like you said, we are a long way from selecting a candidate.


4 posted on 08/24/2011 3:29:31 AM PDT by Louis Foxwell (O assumes the trappings of the presidency, not its mantle. He is not presidential.)
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To: Louis Foxwell

As soon as it becomes obvious that Palin isn’t running, the nomination will become a two person race between Romney and Perry. Perry will win Iowa and if he can win or come in a close second in New Hampshire, he will become the nominee.


5 posted on 08/24/2011 3:56:49 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
Yes and Obummer will get four more years.
6 posted on 08/24/2011 4:17:57 AM PDT by org.whodat (What does the Republican party stand for////??? absolutely nothing.)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
As soon as it becomes obvious that Palin isn’t running,...

When will that occur?

7 posted on 08/24/2011 4:26:55 AM PDT by Louis Foxwell (O assumes the trappings of the presidency, not its mantle. He is not presidential.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Wonderful, the Perry spam thread starts early. When will Hoover change its name to Perry.


8 posted on 08/24/2011 4:31:39 AM PDT by org.whodat (What does the Republican party stand for////??? absolutely nothing.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
At present, intentionally or not, Perry is just running interference for Romney. He's taking all the media/democrat flack while Romney skates through glad-handing the public.
9 posted on 08/24/2011 4:35:17 AM PDT by Roccus (Obama & Holder LLP, Procurers of fine arms to the most discerning drug lords (202) 456-1414)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

“...but a week later things are starting to shape up well for him. “?????

The more I read the less I like him.
He takes position based on which way the wind is blowing. Texas was a democratic state and he was a happy AL GORE democrat...the winds change and Texas became republican so he became a republican.

He was for giving lot of benefits to illegals... the winds changed and now he is against it.

Perry = McCain


10 posted on 08/24/2011 4:45:34 AM PDT by Bulwinkle (Alec, a.k.a. Daffy Duck)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

“...but a week later things are starting to shape up well for him. “?????

The more I read the less I like him.
He takes position based on which way the wind is blowing. Texas was a democratic state and he was a happy AL GORE democrat...the winds change and Texas became republican so he became a republican.

He was for giving lot of benefits to illegals... the winds changed and now he is against it.

Perry = McCain


11 posted on 08/24/2011 4:45:48 AM PDT by Bulwinkle (Alec, a.k.a. Daffy Duck)
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To: Bulwinkle
Texas was a democratic state and he was a happy AL GORE democrat.

Except JFK would be too conservative for current democrats.

12 posted on 08/24/2011 5:26:28 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
More surprisingly, PPP polled on Sarah Palin’s effects in the race. Surprisingly, for both Romney and Perry a Palin candidacy was statistically meaningless — both only dropping a single point. Palin herself came in below Ron Paul. This suggests, more than anything, that it is time for Palin to fish or cut bait.

Honestly, I'm tired of Palin. IMO, she is a good lightning rod for controversial issues, but she's not demonstrating that she can put out the fires.

13 posted on 08/24/2011 5:36:55 AM PDT by Badabing Badablonde (New to the internet? CLICK HERE)
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To: org.whodat

“Yes and Obummer will get four more years. “

If he does, it will because idiot “conservatives” will keep beating up on the Republican nominee, giving aid and comfort to Obama.

These same idiot “conservatives” would rather see Obama have four more years, than to support a Republican candidate who is less than what they had hoped for. It’s the principle of the thing.


14 posted on 08/24/2011 5:40:13 AM PDT by Lucas McCain
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To: Lucas McCain

“These same idiot “conservatives” would rather see Obama have four more years, than to support a Republican candidate who is less than what they had hoped for. It’s the principle of the thing.”

That mentality is the biggest threat to removing the O. It scares me.


15 posted on 08/24/2011 5:54:45 AM PDT by Dudoight
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To: Lucas McCain

We have no conservative nominee, what country do you live in, we have primaries in the united states not coronations. And that Perry ring around your neck seems to be showing.


16 posted on 08/24/2011 5:55:11 AM PDT by org.whodat (What does the Republican party stand for////??? absolutely nothing.)
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To: Lucas McCain

We have no conservative nominee, what country do you live in, we have primaries in the united states not coronations. And that Perry ring around your neck seems to be showing.


17 posted on 08/24/2011 5:55:49 AM PDT by org.whodat (What does the Republican party stand for////??? absolutely nothing.)
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To: Bulwinkle

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/08/22/MNKT1KQCNH.DTL#ixzz1VuNp1ShJ

4 year old boy run over by illegal alien in Santa Rosa,CA.


18 posted on 08/24/2011 6:21:48 AM PDT by magna carta
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To: org.whodat

I have not expressed my preference for any candidate; I am still monitoring the situation. What I have done, and will continue to do, is express my contempt for any suggestion that it is better to allow Obama another term than to support a less than perfect Republican, such as Rick Perry.

I know, for you Rick Perry doesn’t even rise to the level of “less than perfect.” He may, however, be the best than we can get. One thing is for sure: he is a great deal better than Obama.


19 posted on 08/24/2011 6:24:16 AM PDT by Lucas McCain
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To: Lucas McCain
As I said we have no nominee, you said we did, and Perry is not one bit different than Obummer, except in the shade of skin. And it will be a cold day in hell when I vote for an open boarders amnesty supporter like Perry.
20 posted on 08/24/2011 6:30:31 AM PDT by org.whodat (What does the Republican party stand for////??? absolutely nothing.)
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