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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: AFveteran

So true. Santorum is pathetic.


1,121 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:22 PM PST by JosephMama (Who to choose, who to choose...)
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To: Cato in PA

Still favorable counties for Santorum: Franklin, Madison, Worth.

Monona and Harrison too close to call in how that’s going to go. Woodbury got swung to Santorum

Santorum performed way strong in NW IA, outpolling Huckabee’s numbers in some districts which is a shock. Means some Perry/Bachmann voters went to him.


1,122 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:22 PM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: AFveteran

Santorum will insure an Obama victory. A social conservative is not what we need right now.


1,123 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:31 PM PST by Signalman
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To: CedarDave

All that $$$$ Romney spent really hurt Newt but did NOTHING for Romney—He is where he was back in the begining

Santorum was the beneficiary


1,124 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:41 PM PST by uncbob
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To: CainConservative

A VERY impressive victory shown on that map no matter how the final 10% comes in.


1,125 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:41 PM PST by Proud2BeRight
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To: CedarDave

Fiesta Bowl Santorum = the Okie State of politcians

Win Rick Win!


1,126 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:42 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Prokopton
FOX projects Gingrich will finish 4th, Perry 5th.

Both of them "out of the money".

We’ll see.

Have you ever heard of “the Angle” at Gettysburg? It is also referred to as the The High-water Mark of the Confederacy.

That’s Rick Santorum tonight.

There are many more battles to come.

1,127 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:46 PM PST by Yankee (ANNOY THE RNC AND THE MEDIA: NOMINATE NEWT GINGRICH!)
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To: Shortstop7

People high on meth love Ron Paul..that and Anti Semites who hate Israel..mix those together and you have a Ron Paul supporter


1,128 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:46 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: CainConservative

Santorum/Newt. Delegate wise, Rick’s in the driver seat.


1,129 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:53 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Wisconsinlady

Not who, what. They’ll go back to smoking pot, free love, and all the other wonderful things they enjoy so much.


1,130 posted on 01/03/2012 8:22:53 PM PST by Cato in PA (Hope and pray for the Santorum surge!)
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To: jwalsh07

Yeah, he was a GREAT conservative when he supported Specter over Toomey.


1,131 posted on 01/03/2012 8:23:07 PM PST by AFveteran (Enraging liberals is simply one of the more enjoyable side effects of my wisdom. -Rush)
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To: jwalsh07

We must unite to beat Obama and Romney. Santourm likes to really go after those he disagrees with so plan on that in the next debate. He would be the right guy to bash Romney.


1,132 posted on 01/03/2012 8:23:12 PM PST by Mozilla
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To: Proud2BeRight

True dat : )


1,133 posted on 01/03/2012 8:23:28 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: grey_whiskers
Please read post #846, sniff or something.

I read it, and commented immediately, with righteous indignation. I recommended the zot, too.

1,134 posted on 01/03/2012 8:23:28 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: darrellmaurina
Fairfield, Iowa, home of the “meditator” nuts in a Hindu-themed college

OMG, I've been there. Truly a strange place. A former employer had a branch office there, and we paid a visit. Most of the employees had pictures of the bagwan (or whatever he is) on their desks! They told me all about the powers of collective meditation.

1,135 posted on 01/03/2012 8:23:33 PM PST by matt1234 (Bring back the HUAC.)
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To: Wisconsinlady
I was disappointed that Palin did not endorse Santorum tonight on Greta.

If she were to endorse Santorum, waiting is still better. Like others are saying, Santorum's Iowa win cuts two days out of Romney's media push going into New Hampshire. Palin could knock an additional day or two out of it by holding off. Or, since Romney will pick up NH anyway, she could help give Santorum (or whoever) another surge going into SC. There's just no point changing the news yet when it's favorable.

1,136 posted on 01/03/2012 8:23:54 PM PST by Styria
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To: CainConservative
We saved you Perry supporters a seat in the caboose.

Perry is clearly closest to Santorum. If Perry drops out, Perry supporters will be welcome at the front of the Santorum train. Newt can watch it go by from the station.

1,137 posted on 01/03/2012 8:23:54 PM PST by Prokopton
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To: Signalman

Santorum will go on to win.


1,138 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:01 PM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: Rodm

So typical to resort to name calling others “heathens” since they disagree with you. But hey I guess that’s dogma.


1,139 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:01 PM PST by JosephMama (Who to choose, who to choose...)
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To: AFveteran

Where did you come from??

A lot of FReepers here are those “bible thumpers” you so casually denigrate.


1,140 posted on 01/03/2012 8:24:11 PM PST by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamination.)
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