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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: NKP_Vet

Via Twitter;

@Sheya

Sheya RT @TheHenry:

BREAKING: Bachmann campaign manager says she may drop out


1,341 posted on 01/03/2012 8:49:40 PM PST by Rational Thought
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To: onyx
If he's not the nominee,he sure needs to be Secretary of State with a total free rein.

Sweet Onyx, how are ya?

No UN Ambassador, Bolton's old job so he can verbal Beeotch slap all those Socalist Potentates back to stone age where many belong.

1,342 posted on 01/03/2012 8:49:56 PM PST by taildragger (( Palin / Mulally 2012 ))
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To: Wisconsinlady

Santorum, has great social values but has problems with being a fiscal conservative, earmarks, lobbyist connections and backing Spector over Toomey. Not sure how the NRA rates him?


1,343 posted on 01/03/2012 8:49:56 PM PST by make no mistake
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To: SamAdams76

95 in Santorum up by 69. 1 percent is about 1000 votes, so this one should go the distance.


1,344 posted on 01/03/2012 8:49:56 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Prokopton

Southerners could care less how many times someone has been married. Newt wins SC going away.


1,345 posted on 01/03/2012 8:50:13 PM PST by NKP_Vet
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To: BenKenobi

No doubt, now Rick is up by 68 with 96% in. This is an incredibly close race.


1,346 posted on 01/03/2012 8:50:27 PM PST by digital-olive
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To: NKP_Vet

Not as delusional as Rick Perry will be.


1,347 posted on 01/03/2012 8:50:39 PM PST by Mozilla
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To: CainConservative

That is my prayer! This vote seems to have had lots of prayer behind it.....


1,348 posted on 01/03/2012 8:50:51 PM PST by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: BenKenobi

Despite the reputation, Iowans really aren’t that conservative. Iowa evangelicals supported Catholic Santorum, but I’m skeptical Southerners will.


1,349 posted on 01/03/2012 8:50:56 PM PST by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: onyx
it's disgusting that the same folks who claim to hate those ads, were swayed by them.

I so agree.

1,350 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:01 PM PST by nicmarlo
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To: onyx

“NH is the same: OPEN primary”

I read where a lot of people from Massachusetts are coming to New Hampshire to help out Romney. Liberals sticking together.


1,351 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:01 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: Rational Thought

YES! Bachmann dropping out would be excellent news for Perry, Santorum, and Gingrich. I’d take any of them over Romney.


1,352 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:16 PM PST by Cato in PA (Hope and pray for the Santorum surge!)
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To: Prokopton

If it’s Obama v. Gingrich, Gingrich will be my man.


1,353 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:20 PM PST by Chandalier (Perfect is the enemy of good.)
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To: NKP_Vet

Nice she’s remaining positive ...but Michelle, the People HAVE spoken now ...


1,354 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:37 PM PST by LibsRJerks
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To: pollywog

I will be happy as long as the liberal Romney loses.


1,355 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:47 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: VinL

No offense taken.


1,356 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:56 PM PST by tennmountainman
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To: Windflier

If people like me answer conservative on Gallup’s poll then it seems logical that the term conservative has meanings that do not reflect the ideologies of most here. When you point to conservatives being a large plurality, you’re adding people like me into that mix. From your tone I suppose you’d rather me stay home on Election Day than accept a vote from someone not considered pure by FR standards.


1,357 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:56 PM PST by xkaydet65 (IACTA ALEA EST!!!')
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To: varina davis

Well, I guess we’ll see in the days ahead.


1,358 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:56 PM PST by Rational Thought
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To: magritte

Ron Pul was born in Pittsburgh and lived in greentree...(I used to live there)


1,359 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:13 PM PST by angelcindy ("If you follow the crowd ,you get no further than the crowd!")
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To: Proudcongal

“The Mitt camp (and MSM/Fox/Rep. Establishment/dems) cannot be happy right now. Even if he managed to pull out a squeaker, he’s got to know that conservative Republicans just don’t like him and as candidates like Bachmann, Huntsman and Perry drop out, he’ll do worse. It’s going to be even harder to win in SC and FL. If there are upcoming debates, I hope Newt kicks butt. Newt will win SC and FL. Go Newt!”

Oh, there’s plenty debates coming. Go Newt/Santorum! Beat Willard!


1,360 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:18 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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