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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: MagUSNRET

I didn’t cathc the corporla’s name as the CNN feed froze and they cut away during the interview. But by that point he had already said he voted for Ron Paul and expressed his opinion that Iran was Israel’s military business and not ours.


741 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:22 PM PST by kristinn (Dump the Chump in 2012)
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To: ScottinVA

Romney received 25.23% in 2008. He’s not there yet and I suspect Santorum will do relatively better in the late reporting precincts.


742 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:22 PM PST by JohnBovenmyer (Obama been Liberal. Hope Change!)
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To: FastCoyote

“The establishment needs to be very careful about getting what they wish for. They may need magic underwear to keep the GOP from breaking up if the push Romney over the line. Especially if Romney loses the General! Whoo boy, hell to pay then - they’ll be blamed for Dole-McCain-Romney. DoMcRo.”

And they are like Baskin-Robbins. They’ll have another flavor of idiot here in four years to throw the election to the Democrats. They love this game. It works every time. Has since Willkie.


743 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:25 PM PST by Luke21
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To: A_Tradition_Continues

As your hero, Gov Perry told Willard, “I’m NOT in the the betting game, hombre!”


744 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:25 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: ScottinVA

Romney received 25.23% in 2008. He’s not there yet and I suspect Santorum will do relatively better in the late reporting precincts.


745 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:36 PM PST by JohnBovenmyer (Obama been Liberal. Hope Change!)
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To: gswilder
I am not saying I like Romney, or he will beat Obama. But none of the other republicans can beat Obama.

I've heard that from many libs and elites, but I've heard no evidence to support it.

I believe that obama-supporters are pushing romney in order to suppress the evangelical and conservative vote in the general election.

746 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:42 PM PST by matt1234 (Bring back the HUAC.)
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To: Rational Thought
I would have voted for Santorum tonight but he needs to keep the whine and the thine out of his repertoire.

And he and NEwt need to pound the crap out of Romney because if ROmney gets to hang around he will end up with the most delegates since the big states sure to go for him will all be winner take all.

747 posted on 01/03/2012 7:22:42 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: onyx

She’s talking good about everyone.

She wants a cabinet position.


748 posted on 01/03/2012 7:23:36 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
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To: deport

Oh no!!


749 posted on 01/03/2012 7:23:42 PM PST by bd476
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To: All

The WHO feed wasn’t live.


750 posted on 01/03/2012 7:23:56 PM PST by Mozilla
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To: Sioux-san

Nonsense!
You could not fill a gas station rest room with more than a handful of ATTORNEYS who agree with your crack pot ideas about citizenship!
I can’t stand Obama, but Natural Born Citizen means CITIZEN AT THE MOMENT OF BIRTH and nothing else.


751 posted on 01/03/2012 7:24:19 PM PST by Kansas58
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To: Sioux-san
Nonsense!
You could not fill a gas station rest room with more than a handful of ATTORNEYS who agree with your crack pot ideas about citizenship!
I can't stand Obama, but Natural Born Citizen means CITIZEN AT THE MOMENT OF BIRTH and nothing else.
752 posted on 01/03/2012 7:24:49 PM PST by Kansas58
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To: thecodont
Paul’s Iowa vote will be discounted,

Wasn't there a Governor of one of those states who said to ignore Pauls numbers because he had observed and took note of the Paulbots operations in his state and how they were going about things there?

753 posted on 01/03/2012 7:24:49 PM PST by caww
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To: katiedidit1

Newt will be OK. He will leave Iowa (The Harkin State), and have a very good showing in the South.


754 posted on 01/03/2012 7:24:49 PM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
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To: Palladin

Do they have more serial adulterers down south?

722 posted on Tuesday, January 03, 2012 10:19:48 PM by Palladin (No Newts!)


I believe they have sinners of all kinds in the south.

Thankfully, God forgives.


755 posted on 01/03/2012 7:24:58 PM PST by Reagan69 (I supported Sarah Palin and all I got was a lousy DVD !)
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To: ScottinVA

Does anybody know if the later report caucus sites tend to be more or less conservative...?


756 posted on 01/03/2012 7:24:58 PM PST by MSF BU
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To: jeltz25; All

OK...
Before ya’all get too excited, try to remember that Iowa went for HUCKABEE in 2008.

And most of FR was for Duncan Hunter, until he drew just 1% in Iowa.


757 posted on 01/03/2012 7:24:58 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: Kenny
I hope Perry and Newt both stay in. Santorum is a late surge and hasn’t been hacked to death like the other front runners. If he takes heavy damage after Iowa, I’d like to think we had options.

Interesting to see how Santorum holds up after the media and Romney go after him.

I am amazed at Ron Paul's results. I guess a lot of it is that anyone can vote in a caucus.

758 posted on 01/03/2012 7:25:09 PM PST by Irish Eyes
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To: Kansas58

No it does not...


759 posted on 01/03/2012 7:25:19 PM PST by ICCtheWay
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To: varina davis; onyx

Newt is on cspan now..magnificient. Just remember this about Santorum..he voted to raise the debt ceiling EIGHT times. He is NOT a fiscal conservative. He voted for the bridge to nowhere in Alaska and is known for supporting earmarks. He is a good man on SOCIAL issues and America needs more civility for sure...but we need a savvy fiscal conservative and that man is definately Newt. We know about the rest of the candidates. Newt is our hope


760 posted on 01/03/2012 7:25:25 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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