Posted on 01/29/2012 10:36:59 AM PST by Steelfish
NBC/Marist Poll: Romney Up 15 Over Gingrich In Florida
Domenico Montanaro
Mitt Romney may be on his way to a decisive victory in the Florida GOP primary Tuesday, according to a new NBC/Marist poll.
Romney leads Newt Gingrich by 15 points, 42 percent to 27 percent in the crucial state. Rick Santorum is third with 16 percent, followed by Ron Paul with 11 percent. Just 4 percent said they were undecided. "The bottom line in all this is Romney's sitting in the driver's seat going into Tuesday," said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion at Marist College, who conducted the poll.
If Romney pulls off a victory of that magnitude, he could be on a glide path to the nomination. But there are warning signs for the Republican Party that the primary has taken a toll on Romney and the rest of the GOP field. Each of the candidates struggles in a general-election matchup with President Barack Obama in this swing state, especially with independents.
(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL POLL.) (CLICK HERE FOR POLL OVERVIEW AND MARGIN OF ERROR.)
How Romney wins: Consolidates supporters, women
Romney beats Gingrich and the rest of the field by winning broadly across many subgroups -- those who are not Tea Party supporters (52 percent), those who are liberal or moderate (49 percent), make more than $75,000 a year (49 percent), identify as "conservative" (47 percent), and, in particular with women.
There was a stark gender gap between Romney and Gingrich. Women said they preferred Romney by 47-26 percent over Gingrich. The gap is closer with men, but Romney leads with them as well, 38-29 percent.
"He's winning both," Miringoff said, "but runs up the score among women."
Romney also does well enough with Tea Party supporters, splitting the vote....
(Excerpt) Read more at firstread.msnbc.msn.com ...
I live near the Villages and everyone I know is Newt. Most have voted early. Tuesday night will tell us how mitt really doesn’t add up in floriduh especially with his romneycare with so many retirees in the state.. Go Newt.
Not just the women. You've also got to contend with the couch potato men who get their knowledge of the issues from the mainstream media.
BTW, off the topic, but since you brought up gender, you reminded me of my all-time favorite "Calvin and Hobbes" cartoon:
Rubio is the most over-rated Republican ever. Just another politician who is held in high esteem because he isn’t white. Someday, being non-white won’t be a positive anymore, and voters will judge people on the content of their character and their votes in Congress.
I think you nailed it.
Mittens over 40% and beating Newt by 15%. BS
A January Poll. Before SC Primary? After SC Primary?
Without knowing more details this poll is worthless.
Newt’s first lady answer really hurt him, I fear.
I heard Rubio’s speech in the senate a while back. It was fairly long, I recall about an hour long. It was one of the best, most thoughtful and masterfully delivered speech I have ever heard. This guy has everything going for him, youth, looks, verbal skills, voice, and best of all his espousal of liberty and freedom to succeed in America.
Never should of given those people...women.. the right to vote. Country is has been going to hell ever since... should of left it at smoking...
Romneycare is Mitt’s Achilles’ heel, and it will take Obamacare off the table as an issue in the general if Romney were the nominee. We cannot have this Trojan Horse as the GOP nominee. He will further redefine conservatism as something it isn’t, but the public perception will be perverted for years to come with Romney.
I don’t believe the spread in this poll. The enthusiasm for Newt will prompt a better turnout for him, and hopefully, will propel Newt to a win on Tuesday.
I can’t imagine Newt will quit even if he loses in a landslide. The objective is to go one on one with the bas*ard once SAntorum steps down which he MUST do. Makes no sense for him to stay in the race after Florida.
Secondly, it’s one thing for Palin to say vote for Newt, it’s another thing for her to get off her butt and come down and campaign with him.
Newt is attracting huge crowd and Mitt is scoring high, something is not making sense here ?
One needs look no further that Clinton and Obambi that MANY (not all) Women think no further than the Candidates hairline when they enter the Voting Booth.
Sad but true.
“I just live here.” Hahahahahahaha!
I'm thinking of my poor BIL when my sister goes nuclear (and rightly so) on their son.
Women can vote?
Boy, if this isn’t Exhibit A for repeal of the 19th Amendment.
Anybody remember who had “no chance” in the Florida straw poll according to pollsters and talking heads but then smoked the competition? I’m not buying polls.
Look at the brighter near future. Most of us Baby Boomers will be going away during the next two decades.
Don't get me started. It is embarrassing that so many women vote white teeth, good hair and youth. It makes me sick to my stomach.
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