Posted on 05/03/2012 2:20:27 PM PDT by Drew68
WASHINGTON -- It’s been more than 50 years since a candidate has won the White House without carrying at least two of the three swing states of Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, and a new poll shows Mitt Romney neck and neck with President Obama in two of them.
Romney, who trailed Obama 49% to 42% in Florida and 47% to 41% in Ohio in late March, is now statistically tied with the president, 44% to 43% in Florida and 42% to 44% in Ohio, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll of voters in the three states.
Obama, however, has improved on his lead in Pennsylvania, where he beats Romney 47% to 39%, up from the 45%-42% lead he enjoyed in March.
Quinnipiac surveyed 3,467 voters in the three states in interviews on cellphones and land lines from April 25 through May 1. The results of the survey, which has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points, led Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the university’s polling institute, to conclude that Obama is doing “slightly better” than Romney in the three states.
“What appears to be keeping Romney in the ballgame, at least in Florida and Ohio, is the perception he can better fix the economy,” Brown said.
(Excerpt) Read more at chicagotribune.com ...
I live in Pennsylvania. The good news is, outside the largest cities, the majority is fairly conservative.
The bad news is, the probable nominee is not a conservative.
I predict Romney will get less than 200 electoral votes in November.
“...if you like playing with 270, do this, if you will...click PA and NV to blue, as RCP has already done, and then look at the winning possibilities that result yields...ten possibiities for dogmeat and five for Romney...and all five require a FL victory, and four others require both FL and OH...on the other hand, the dog eater has three possibilities without winning FL or OH, unlikely as they may be...I have no idea how you conclude this election is Romney’s to win, minus a screwup...he could play every card perfectly and still lose, his margin of error is that thin...”
My predictions:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2872829/posts?page=50#50
270 (Romney) to 268 (Obama), unless there is a “Nebraska split”.
I think you're right.I haven't sat down and done the new math required by the census but I think all we have to do is take the same states that W took in 2000.Seems "do-able" to me now that the bloom is off Osama's rose.
Lose Virginia and Romney’s road to 270 just got a helluva lot steeper.
I guess the GOP should have considered the effect nominating a liberal would have on it’s base. May be the elites could have compromised and supported Newt or Santorum. The elites have made it clear that it’s their way or the highway and now they a crying because some chose the highway.
We’ve got to get Obama out of there. I just with we had a better nominee.
This election just has this vibe to it that the Democrats and their media minions are much more nervous than they want to show. Romney takes Ohio and Florida, and Obama is all but over. Obama had a momentum bubble for being the first black President and people always want to be a part of history, but now that that is over states like Virginia, Indiana and North Carolina are coming home. New Hampshire is a lost cause for him with Romney being the strong nominee. Frankly, I look at the map and don’t see a plausible Obama win. He is going to have to fight in blue Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa and Philadelphia. He is competitive but at a fundamental disadvantage in Colorado and Nevada. And even if he wins all of that, all of it, he still loses without Ohio and Florida. Obama needs a game changer or Romney will be President.
“Myth Romney ... and his E-RINO party-thugs deserve “every minute” of the poltical ass-kicking they’re gonna get ... “
and America deserves 4 more years of BO? God Save America.
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