Poll: Obama 49 - Romney 46, But..

Townhall.com ^ | May 22, 2012 | Guy Benson

[FlingWingFlyer]

WaPo/abc “poll”. This means Romney is up by at least 10 points.

[Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America]

[stephenjohnbanker]

: )

[jveritas]

Pathetic results for Obama despite the laughing oversampling of donkeys. It is very clear that Romney is winning the independents in almost every poll and he who wins the independents is going to win the elections... It is that simple...

[SamAdams76]

Just goes to show that every poll is worthless unless you know the internal composition of it and whether or not likely voters or just registered voters were used.

The 32/22/38 Dem/GOP/Independent split is a joke. Not only does it oversample the Dems but add them all up and you still have 8% unaccounted for.

[SunkenCiv]

Thanks Kaslin.

Let's see if I understand this correctly. WaPo/ABC News' sample handed Democrats a ten point edge (three points higher than 2008 -- a banner year for Democrats), and projected that Republicans would comprise less than a quarter of the electorate in November...and Romney is still within the margin of error?

[ozzymandus]

After all the lies they’ve been caught in, WaPo and ABC have no sense of shame whatever.

[pgkdan]

Today’s D/R/I is 32/22/38, which means this model would only be predictive for a turnout model where only 22% of voters are Republican. Just to remind readers, the 2008 turnout split from exit polls showed a 39/32/29 split, and that was considered a nadir for Republican turnout. In the 2010 midterms, the split was 35/35/30.

This isn't a poll. It's an obammy campaign ad!

[bigbob]

in a poll of black lesbian communists maybe...

[Buckeye McFrog]

and he who wins the independents is going to win the elections.

Heaven help us. These are the same people who bring the drive thru to a screeching halt for fifteen minutes because they can't decide what to order off of the Value Menu.

[ZULU]

Problem downloading site but good points presented.

[jveritas]

Unfortunately the history of elections show that they are the ones who decide the winner... Not all independents are “mooshy middle” by the way... You can find a lot of conservatives who consider themselves independents and you can find them right here on this site.

[Lazamataz]

Today’s D/R/I is 32/22/38, which means this model would only be predictive for a turnout model where only 22% of voters are Republican

It's time for the Democrat pollsters to go all out.

Just do a D/R/I of 72/-18/38.

You know, 72% of the voters would be Democrat, NEGATIVE 18% would be Republicans, and 38% would be independents.

The way you count those votes is, when a negative-percenter in the Republican column indicates a preference for Romney, you REMOVE a vote count.

[myself6]

Heh.. They may be right...

I know Im NOT going to go out and vote for the GOP’s socialist candidate.

LOL, whos supposed to keep him in “check” again? Boner?

Best bet for the GOP is to talk enough of the delegates into skipping the first round or voting at the convention, cause I don’t think the folks who say they wont vote for a socialist even if he has a R behind his name are bluffing. I know Im not...

[goodnesswins]

They should NOT be called “independents”...they should be called UNDECIDEDS....

[Diogenesis]

Any conservative COULD win, but
Romney was chosen by the DNC and Soros and
the GOPe because he is a loser, nearly
identical to Obama.

[galloway15]

"These are the same people who bring the drive thru to a screeching halt for fifteen minutes because they can't decide what to order off of the Value Menu."

Yeah, so? What's your point? You know there are a lot of things on that menu and sometimes trying to figure out if A Quarter Pounder is a better buy with Super Sized fries and no coke or with reg fries and a lg coke takes some time....

[cicero2k]

Romney wins 55/45 according to the math.

Only 27% of the independents went for Obama in this poll.

Assume the D/R/I this time is 37/33.5/29.5 which is the average of 2008 / 2010.

Obama 45%, Romney 55%

They know this. They have better quants working than I.

[drypowder]

propaganda to support the dem / obozo ballet fraud come Nov.