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1 posted on 09/18/2012 6:15:41 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
Of all the polls you have seen, there is one poll that has gotten no attention, it is a poll that has been taken monthly, it is a poll that Doug Ross spotted and promoted on his site. It is the Rasmussen Poll of party identification.

They have party identification results online dating back to 2004. Here are the 2012 numbers through August

That shows a GOP advantage in registration this year. So why the heck are they sampling a D+5 in their poll? Makes no sense at all....

2 posted on 09/18/2012 6:18:03 PM PDT by SeekAndFind (bOTRT)
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To: SeekAndFind

Wouldn’t it be a better poll if they used the same percentage for both parties. At least if one side is not polling to their liking. With this lopsided percentages, it does not do any good for either side. Very weird.


3 posted on 09/18/2012 6:18:03 PM PDT by napscoordinator (GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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To: SeekAndFind
You don't have to donate money to make a difference.

If You Live in a Blue State, Here Is What You Can Do To Help Romney Beat Obama

I've made 1600 phone calls from home to NH in the last six days using the system set up by the campaign. Even 100 calls will make a difference. Who will join me?

7 posted on 09/18/2012 6:27:49 PM PDT by Ziva (Check out the great art blog at http://blog.RetroCollage.com/)
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To: SeekAndFind

Have to admit, 0 up 5 in a D+5 survey is a little nerve-racking. Usually, he’s up 3 in a D+12 survey.


8 posted on 09/18/2012 6:29:16 PM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
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To: SeekAndFind

All of the internals are RV — worthless.


10 posted on 09/18/2012 6:32:57 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NC, FL, VA, OH, NE1, IA = 272EV)
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To: SeekAndFind

When the Bancroft family owned the Wall Street Journal, it was a publication without peer in terms of journalistic integrity. The sale to NewsCorp started its slow slide to mediocrity, which has accelerated in recent months. If this poll is as inaccurate as I suspect it is and Romney wins the election handily—as I expect—I will conclude my 27 years of paid subscription to the WSJ. There are plenty of others like me.


11 posted on 09/18/2012 6:36:01 PM PDT by Zebra
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To: SeekAndFind; LS

Let’s see. The poll has a D+5 advantage.

Meanwhile, in Realville, the GOP has a 4.3% advantage nationally.

Further, while this poll has the GOP at about their real national level (37%), nationally, the Dems are only at 33%, not 42%. Further, Indies are WAY undersampled in this one (16% versus the REAL 29% that they have).

So, to adjust the poll, drop the Dems by 9% immediately, and then add 7% to Romney and 5% to Obama, to reflect the way the extra 13% Indies would breakdown, figuring in that a 5-7% chunk of Indies (the remaining 1%) are Libertarians/Greens/Constitution Party/etc. whom neither candidate will get.

Result: Romney 52%, Obama 46%, Other 2%

LS - this seem reasonable?


12 posted on 09/18/2012 6:40:57 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (You can wish in one hand and spit in the other and see which gets filled first.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I wonder if some of those who are thinking the country is headed in the right direction think that way because they believe the Republicans are going to take back the White House, and the Senate. ;o)


14 posted on 09/18/2012 6:46:12 PM PDT by SuziQ
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To: SeekAndFind

Not only oversampled on Dems, undersampled on Indies. And every poll, even the ones with Romney behind, shows him winning Indies by a two-digit margin.


18 posted on 09/18/2012 7:12:13 PM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Poll performed in what Metro area?


26 posted on 09/18/2012 10:35:05 PM PDT by tired&retired
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