Rasmussen: FRI: 10/5: O: 49% R: 47%: Obama -11% "Post Debate Improvement"

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/05/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

[SoftwareEngineer]

Friday, October 05, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows President Obama attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

These results are based upon nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, only about one-third of the interviews for today’s update were conducted after the presidential debate. The single night of polling conducted after the debate did show some improvement for Romney, but it remains to be seen whether that will continue or if it was merely statistical noise. Sunday morning’s update will be the first national polling based entirely upon post-debate interviews.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Rasmussen says:

The single night of polling conducted after the debate did show some improvement for Romney

[nhwingut]

Rasmussen was on OReilly last night and said he expects Romney to be up a couple of points by Monday.

[snarkytart]

We’ll see with this fake unemployment rate released today. Perfect timing, no?

[BlueStateRightist]

Very unclear how today’s job’s report will help or hurt. But the debates, I believe, can hammer the reality of the employment numbers and frame the picture as overwhelmingly bad. A lot of hard work ahead for R&R over the next 30 days.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Good to hear!

It is my personal belief that once Team RR crosses the magic 50% mark in any of the “respected” polls, even the MSM dam will break.

If a Republican challenger is over 50% with just 30 days to go, it is very hard even for the MSM to pretend anymore

It is different when the same situation exists with a Democrat challenger. There is so much manipulation FOR the Democrats that I would have to see a Democrat have atleast an average of 52% in the polls before I believe he is truly winning.

[Nicojones]

Whatever slight movement went towards Romney, it isn't enough to knock down Obama’s lead. Combine that with the media spin on these very weird unemployment numbers and you have Romney stuck behind in the next days polling. Shocking to me but it appears true. We need to start unleasjingthe Ad blitzes and redefining this election. There is not much time left.

[ilgipper]

It is a three day average, so only 1/3 of that result is post-debate. We’ll see tomorrow what is really happening.

[LS]

Sigh. Poll numbers still oversampling Dems as per our ACTUAL numbers in the OH early voting project updated daily on FR. ALL OH counties reporting in at 2010 levels for both Ds and Rs, meaning that all polls are likely to be +2 or +3 over reality.

[Kahuna]

Not so sure that Monday’s poll will be a correct read on whether R&R got a debate bounce or not? The weekend numbers have been historically soft for R’s. Maybe by Wednesday of next week the numbers might be more definitive?

[scbison]

I think the average person see 7.8 unemployemnt and thinks this is still pretty high and this wont’ have that much affect on race.. It is a marcoeconomic number and most people live in a mirco economic world, which is still bad.

[Jim from C-Town]

What you are saying is true to a point. BUT, Most people are working. They can only look at these things anecdotal. I am working =, but my neighbor isn't. My brother in law isn't working and hasn't been in several years even though he was once a top producer in his field, BUT he did start a new COMMISSION ONLY job selling door to door so even though he makes no money and his house is in foreclosure, he would be better off if he wasn't so lazy and was more like me.

It is a strange World we live in. The franchise was never intended to be given to the entire population. The poorly educated where never supposed to vote because they where not sophisticated enough to understand the real issues. The non land owners where never supposed to vote because they had ‘no skin in the game’. Women where never supposed to vote because they are creatures driven by emotions instead of logic.

Say all you want about our Founding Fathers, but they understood human nature and strives to prevent the worst aspects of that nature from destroying our Republic.

[driftless2]

Freepers must remember that every year the number of rational voters dwindles while the number of the truly ignorant and misinformed grows larger. I still expect Romney to win this year, but the problem is the percentage of intelligent voters goes down markedly every election year. Forty years ago a prez with a rotten record like Obama’s (worse than Carter) wouldn’t have a chance of getting elected. Now we have millions more voters who after being shown the facts and watching their hero get hammered in a major debate, still believe Obama is THE ONE!!! Obama shouldn’t be getting much more than 33% in these polls. The fact that he’s ahead of Romney in a number of them is highly discouraging.

[ScottinVA]

Very unclear how today’s job’s report will help or hurt

I certainly don't see how it helps us... American voters aren't going to peer into the facts behind the glowing "media" headlines.

[Friendofgeorge]

This is one of the reasons I do not buy “science” of political polling...the idea that he can tell you on Friday what he thinks the numbers might look like on Monday...

Yes I understand fully the 3 day averaging etc, just saying

I have watched multiple pollsters on tv telling us what or what not the voters will say on a particular subject before hand...mind readers/ESP

I share your tag line btw :)

Romney should be up 10 points in some poll this week, but he will not because it`s all fixed!.

What we are going to be told is that basically.... no bounce for Romney

And now the economy under Obama is roaring...I am going to be sick

[rwfromkansas]

I am seeing a lot of surprise skepticism on CNN sites etc. about these unemployment numbers. I don’t believe everyone posting that is a conservative....so there may be hopefully a lot of independents that don’t buy it either.

[Fawn]

HOw can there be so many stupid ignorant people out there.....this should be a landslide for Romney.....it’s just unbelievable to me.

[Grampa Dave]

Rass with his polling ability probably remembers Carter beating Reagan!

Remember when Jimmy Carter beat Ronald Reagan in 1980?

http://spectator.org/archives/2012/09/25/how-carter-beat-reagan/print

All of the pollsters suck. Rass, sucks a little less!

[grumpygresh]

If a majority of voters cannot figure out that 0bama is an incompetent leader after the first debate, there really is no hope for this nation. It’s not just that 0bama is a despot, it’s that a majority of American people have become ignorant and immoral. We all could be subjected to the tyranny of an ignorant and immoral majority.

[Gay State Conservative]

Perfect timing, no?

Absolutely.And I'll bet the clothes on my back that in the first couple of days of November the Labor Department will publish some kind of "projection" showing the unemployment rate at 7.5%.It goes without saying what Osama and his journalist disciples will do with *that*.

[ltc8k6]

Wait until the October massaged numbers are released...

Probably be 7%, an Obama miracle!