Posted on 10/06/2012 2:47:45 PM PDT by dialup_pundit
When an incumbent Democratic president is virtually tied in a congressional district he carried by high double digits in 2008, and is losing in the suburbs of his hometown, there could be trouble brewing.
In August, a poll by the Joliet, Ill.-based polling firm of McKeon and Associates, found President Obama leading challenger Mitt Romney in Cook County, which includes Chicago and its suburbs, by a 12-point margin 49-37.
That would seem to be a comfortable edge, but it is significantly smaller than traditional margins needed to outweigh the more Republican downstate vote...
Now comes a new poll from WeAskAmerica that finds Obama with just a 2-point lead over Romney, 47-45, in a suburban Chicago congressional district that Obama won in 2008 by 23 points.
Read More At IBD: http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials/100512-628435-polls-show-obama-could-lose-illinois.htm#ixzz28X8nPjpF
(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...
That map is appalling. A district stretching from downtown Chicago in a haphazard and non-compact manner clear out to south of Joliet into a national forest (?!?). Where is the common set of interests for the constituents ? Why would an inner-city member like Bobby Rush give a damn about the needs of huge swaths of suburban and rural areas antithetical to his constituency. A clear-cut case of not only gerrymandering, but willful disenfranchisement. If Republicans tried to do this “in reverse”, putting the bulk of the district in GOP suburbia with a substantial, but minority segment in an urban Black area, all hell would break loose and would be raised in righteous anger.
Keeping these districts compact (or made up of similar interests) ensures maximum representation for all. IL Democrats here clearly don’t give a damn except disenfranchising those who preferred to elect a Republican majority in 2010 under 2002 lines meant to elect a Democrat one.
And that d*ck Cohen took anti-Quinn democrat votes that might have gone to Brady.
Harold “Noonie” Ward is the candidate this city deserves!
Oops, you undercounted WA by 1 vote.
I think that Cohen got votes from an equal number of Republicans and Democrats.
Why would Republicans vote for him?
Once in a store this lady dropped her keys and I picked them up and she just snatched them from my hands without thanking me, *itch.
Thanks for the 411, I vote to retain Robert Lopez Cepero. I’ve voted to retain exactly 1 judge before.
You’re right, WA has 12 EVs now. And given the recent ME poll, Romney would carry the state (but not ME-01) before he would carry IL. So if Romney carried IL, it would be EVs 406-415 for him.
Voter registration for democrats is down just over 225,000 voters. (I think all two Republican's in Chicago are still registered however.)
I don’t know why any Republicans voted for Cohen. I read thousands of them did that, according to exit polls.
I live in Illinois, not far from your family in Naperville. I live in Will County. Let me tell you, Obama will win 3, maybe 4 counties in Illinois. The rest of the state is RED, RED, RED.
If you pull up an election map and look at voting demographics, you'll see three counties consistently DEMOCRAT. Those also happen to be the heaviest populated counties in the State, and typically all any democrat needs to win the state.
True, given his criminal record, he'd make a splendid addition to the type of politician they elect. The problem is he's running as a Republican. If Noonie ran under the party label he actually is, he'd fit right in with Derrick Smith.
Obama is loning ground in downstate Illinois. I can’t imagine him losing the state, given his continued strength in metro Chicago.
In Lake Co. and northern Cook Co., I saw about 10 times as many Romney signs as Obama signs.
Hell, I LIVE in "Obama's congressional district", and there are more Romney signs than Obama signs in my neighborhood (a handful of Romney signs here and there, next to no Obama signs, many Romney bumper stickers and only a handful of Obama bumper stickers, usually among black voters). Granted, I'm in the white suburban part of the district, but it's still majority RAT in my town and there's just no enthusiasm for Obama except from black voters. The white Dems are basically only begrudgingly voting for him because they think Romney is an evil rich man.
Romney is an evil rich man.
Too bad begrudging votes have the same weight as enthusiastic ones.
Or not too bad, cause most of FR is only begrudgingly voting Romney.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.