Skip to comments.Gallup: R-51/O-45
Posted on 10/20/2012 10:08:03 AM PDT by tatown
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If Gallup is accurate this race really might be over
The coup de grâce (deathblow or death shot administered to end the suffering of one mortally wounded) will be Monday night...
Gallup is irrelevant.
You guys need to trust Nate Silvers numbers. Hes yet to be wrong.
LOL, He only called the 2008 election. Wow, that one was a real hard call. The fact that you would even quote Nate Silver tells you are on the wrong forum.
A good “Romney” day may have rolled off but if so, then a good “Romney” day rolled in. Good sign.
Plus, word is that Nate Silver was getting inside polling info from the Obama operation. Most anyone can appear smart with access to that data. And then in 2010, with no more inside info, Silver’s predictive ability was squat.
I don’t know what to make of Gallup’s poll numbers BUT I think Gallup is striking back at Obumbler’s team for crippling his creditably. He probably feels he was targeted unfairly by Obozo’s cronies... VENGEANCE IS MINE says Gallup! I guess Gallup is laughing all the way to the polls.. LOL!
Just what I thought this morning. Romney would be absolutely right and Obama would be headed out the door. Of course, it would be better if Obama ended up at 39 or 40. I say let’s bury him.
What is Gary Johnson? I mean, what is he other than someone to waste a vote on (unless you live in a state that isn’t close)?
He supports amnesty for illegal aliens, and hold the typical, insane libertarian position in support of unlimited immigration.
He has said that Sup Court justices should judge by the original intent of the framers/authors. But how would he reconcile that with his support for gay marriage and abortion? There is no way from an Originalist point of view to say the Constitution demands gay marriage or abortion rights, so would he stick by his guns and nominate someone who he knows would not impose his preferred social views? I doubt it.
But it doesn’t matter anyway as he has no chance. In a swing state, a vote for Johnson is a vote for Obama.
“How do you know Gallup is using a “current heavy weighting of Republicans?”
I don’t know. It is just a guess based on (1) the fact that Gallup is alone in seeing such strong support for Romney, (2) we know from news stories that Gallup has being doing some late-cycle tweaking of its methodology (although admittedly those stories focused on the likelihood that the changes favored Obama), and (3) we know that the Obama folks have put tremendous pressure on Gallup, including the Justice Department’s filing of a lawsuit against Gallup.
You lost all credibility when you directed people to Shill Silver. The man is a hack.
Major win in the first debate, has got all kinds of fund-raising $ rolling in, carpet blasting great ads in battlegrounds, outpolling Obama steadily nationally in the last weeks, picked a conservative star for VP, served as GOP Gov in an 86% Dem state, survived a brutal primarily, earned $250,000,000 as a successful businessman, raised 5 sons.
This describes a useless idiot? Really??
LoL. OButt is going down.
Thanks for the disclaimer with that last sentence. Obama thanks you for your support.
The 47% NUMBER isn’t wrong.
What’s wrong is the part of Romney’s remark that identifies WHO makes up that number that he says will vote for Obama no matter what.
He said, 47% don’t pay federal income tax.
Goes on to conflate ALL who don’t pay federal income tax to be ALWAYS Obama voters.
Many ivy league academic libs, public school teachers, well paid unionists who still have jobs, sports and showbiz and media types, government workers of all types at all levels, DO make high incomes and DO pay federal taxes BUT they also vote Obama and fall into the 47% if that’s Obama’s vote.
And quite a few of the working poor and the lower middle class don’t make enough to owe federal income taxes but will vote Romney - some of them are the “bitter clingers” to guns and religion, some of them are unemployed but blame Obama for it, etc.
And some of the minorities are mad at Obama because of gay marriage, gays in the military etc and have decided to sit home, so even if they don’t pay taxes they will not be among the Obama vote this time.
For all these reasons and more, both Romney and Ryan distanced themselves from the quote.
And Gary Johnson is...???
Yeah, it’ll be in-your-face pardons such as OJ, Rezko, Blago, etc.
[ In a swing state, a vote for Johnson is a vote for Obama. ]
I have no doubt catsup’s vote is going directly to Obama.
The epitome of a drive-by poster!
And yes, 0h0m0 will lose in a MUDslide once the “ignored” NJ and PA continue creeping a little closer toward us next week.
Looks like a dead-cat bounce for the Lizard King.