My experience says that Louisiana is a not a likely win. Landrieu always looks vulnerable and she always ends up squeaking to a win.
I think I’m like many people that think we are beyond throwing the bums out at the ballot box. I no longer believe that we conduct legitimate elections on a national basis, true or not it’s how many people feel. We seem to be run by an unelected bureaucracy, I see very little difference, right now, between the US and Putin’s Russia. I’m not really happy that I feel that way.
Landrieu always looks vulnerable and she always ends up squeaking to a win.
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It depends upon how well the Landrieu machine can mobilize the vote. Landrieu is
polling in the low 40%. Nov. 4, 2014 is still a long ways off.
Magellan-Strategies poll
http://www.slideshare.net/MagellanStrat/magellan-strategies-louisiana-general-election-survey-topline-results-032414
Real Clear Politics - Other polls
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/louisiana_senate_race.html
Well, Landrieu is a name the voters recognize, and that is really the only thing that actually matters.
She will be re-elected.
Landrieu voted against Bush’s amnesty in 2007. That is one advantage she doesn’t have now. They are talking about running a bunch of black candidates in conservative districts so they can get turnout.
http://www.redstate.com/diary/joesquire/2014/03/27/landrieus-strategy-someone-bail/
Fleming holds LA-4, and has been for a while now. He’s a solid conservative that I don’t actually see losing, but there is heavy speculation that Shreveport mayor Cedric Glover, who is term-limited, will run against him. Glover is black, and the hope from the Landrieu camp is that his campaign would bring out a higher black vote that would benefit Landrieu.
My experience says that Louisiana is a not a likely win. Landrieu always looks vulnerable and she always ends up squeaking to a win
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Yes, thanks to the Black vote in New Orleans (N’yawlins if you’re a native), but since Hurricane Katrina, and the long “rebuilding process” after the hurricane, the minority population of New Orleans has decreased dramatically. The Landrieus always counted on New Orleans to bail them out. Well, New Orleans is not the voting bloc it once was. Mary Landrieu barely won in ‘08 when a black Presidential candidate was on the Dem Ticket. Obama is not on the ballot this time. And, every Dem who voted for ObamaCare is accused, now, of casting the “deciding vote” for ObamaCare. BUT, Louisiana folks remember very well, that Mary L. truly was the deciding vote. It cost taxpayers a lot of money for Obama to buy her off. Remember? It was called “The Louisiana Purchase”. LA folks have NOT forgotten that and they can’t wait to vote against her fat a**.
Actually her second and third wins were not that close; the first one was said to have been stolen from Woody Jenkins. But Trent Lott refused to investigate.
I don’t believe she’s ever polled this low and Louisiana REQUIRES a 50%+ majority win to certify. She’ll easily make the runoff but an off election in December where she gets 41% of the vote with a 50%+ negative view of her? She’s toast unless she can score some major victory that gets the local Conservative Dems fired up.